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← Back to GamesSep 11, 2021Week 2
TexasTexas
21
-Final
40
ArkansasArkansas

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 30%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas +6

Edge: Texas -6 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 11, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TexasTexas
0071421
ArkansasArkansas
31317740

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-016-023-726-733-740-1440-21
ArkansasTexas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKTEXARKPUNT36ydTO34ydPUNT524ydPUNT31ydFG1257ydMISS741ydTD766ydPUNT3-1ydFG48ydPUNT32ydFG753ydPUNT516ydEND19ydPUNT36ydTO2-1ydTD626ydTD681ydDOWNS719ydFG1038ydTO10ydTD126ydTD1075ydTD875ydTD1475ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas and Arkansas
StatisticTexasArkansas
Passing13-2314-19
Pass Yards118138
Rush Yards139333
Total Yards257471
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-135-11
Penalties4-204-40
Possession28:5731:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas
passing
Hudson Card
8/15, 61 YDS
rushing
Bijan Robinson
19 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Worthy
2 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
14/19, 138 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Trelon Smith
12 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyson Morris
1 REC, 45 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 20

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 18

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 3 yds to the Ark 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trelon Smith for 10 yds to the Ark 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 39

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.35

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 35

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the Texas 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 54 yds , Greg Brooks Jr. returns for no gain to the Ark 4 Greg Brooks Jr. fumbled, recovered by Ark

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

KJ Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 3

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Trelon Smith run for 16 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Blake Kern

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the Ark 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.24

KJ Jefferson pass complete to AJ Green for 9 yds to the Ark 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 47 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Bijan Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 33

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 31

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Hudson Card sacked by Grant Morgan and Tre Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 26

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 44 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 7 yds to the Ark 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 41

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Ark 41

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.82

KJ Jefferson run for 15 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Trelon Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 4 yds to the Texas 40

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the Texas 36

4th & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

KJ Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.17

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 14 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

KJ Jefferson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 11

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Texas 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 3 yds to the Texas 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Cam Little 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Hudson Card run for 1 yd to the Texas 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.90

Hudson Card pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 25 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Bijan Robinson run for 20 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Hudson Card run for 5 yds to the Ark 24

2nd & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.34

Hudson Card sacked by John Ridgeway for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 29

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ark 34

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Cameron Dicker 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Trelon Smith run for 22 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 6 yds to the Texas 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 7 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.32

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for 20 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.47

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Treylon Burks for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 14

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Dominique Johnson run for 9 yds to the Texas 5

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.71

Dominique Johnson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 65 yds , D'Shawn Jamison return for 17 yds to the Texas 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 22

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 21

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 16

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

4th & 11Blocked Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt blocked by Jake Yurachek blocked by Jake Yurachek

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Trelon Smith run for 7 yds to the Texas 7

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Blake Kern for 1 yd to the Texas 6

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Ketron Jackson Jr.

3rd & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Cam Little 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bijan Robinson run for 2 yds to the Texas 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.62

Hudson Card pass complete to Juan Davis for no gain to the Texas 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Hudson Card pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

KJ Jefferson pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 8 yds to the Ark 29

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.17

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.47

KJ Jefferson run for 34 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

AJ Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 33

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

AJ Green run for 7 yds to the Texas 26

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the Texas 26

4th & 4Field Goal Good+44 yds

Cam Little 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 6 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 33

3rd & 14Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 8 yds to the Texas 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 8

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Trelon Smith run for 9 yds to the Ark 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Hudson Card pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 4 yds to the Texas 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cameron Dicker punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ark 29

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 28

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -0.27

KJ Jefferson pass intercepted B.J. Foster return for 9 yds to the Ark 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Ark 22

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Bijan Robinson run for 7 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Ark 12

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Hudson Card run for 2 yds to the Ark 10

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Hudson Card pass complete to Roschon Johnson for 9 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Cameron Dicker kickoff for 65 yds , Raheim Sanders return for 19 yds to the Ark 19

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Dominique Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 18

2nd & 11Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.99

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Tyson Morris for 45 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.46

Dominique Johnson run for 19 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Dominique Johnson run for 12 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Texas 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Trelon Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

2nd & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Vito Calvaruso kickoff for 63 yds , D'Shawn Jamison return for 21 yds to the Texas 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Xavier Worthy

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Joshua Moore

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.83

Hudson Card pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 11 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Bijan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Hudson Card pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Hudson Card run for 3 yds to the Texas 43

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Bijan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 42

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Texas 35

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Texas 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.46

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.22

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 11 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Trelon Smith run for 9 yds to the Texas 11

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Texas 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Dominique Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Cam Little 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hudson Card sacked by Zach Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 26 Hudson Card fumbled, recovered by Ark , return for 6 yds to the Texas 26

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Raheim Sanders run for 26 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 7 yds to the Texas 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Casey Thompson run for 5 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Casey Thompson run for 6 yds to the Ark 38

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Xavier Worthy

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Bijan Robinson run for 1 yd to the Ark 32

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Ark 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Casey Thompson run for 8 yds to the Ark 9

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Ark 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Casey Thompson run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

AJ Green run for 6 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.90

AJ Green run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

AJ Green run for 1 yd to the Texas 49

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Texas 42

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Texas 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the Texas 30

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.26

AJ Green run for 30 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Keilan Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Casey Thompson pass incomplete to Jordan Whittington

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Casey Thompson pass complete to Jordan Whittington for 15 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Casey Thompson run for 9 yds to the Ark 45

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Keilan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.69

Casey Thompson pass complete to Xavier Worthy for 16 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Casey Thompson run for 9 yds to the Ark 21

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.44

Keilan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Casey Thompson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.96

Casey Thompson pass complete to Kelvontay Dixon for 15 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Keilan Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Ark 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Keilan Robinson run for no gain to the Ark 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Casey Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cameron Dicker KICK)

4th & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Cameron Dicker on-side kick recovered by ARKANSAS at the Texas 41 , Treylon Burks return for no gain to the Texas 35 TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Texas 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Josh Oglesby run for 2 yds to the Texas 39

2nd & 8Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.20

Malik Hornsby run for 29 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 14

2nd & 14Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 17

Situational Analysis

Texas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
57%
23 plays
2nd
33%
6 plays
38%
8 plays
25%
8 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play