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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 21.1

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 88%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -31

Edge: UL Monroe +31 (9.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UL MonroeUL Monroe
700310
KentuckyKentucky
141431445

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-721-728-731-738-738-1045-10
KentuckyUL Monroe

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMKENUMTO310ydTD1242ydTD584ydTO33ydTD158ydPUNT514ydTD1484ydPUNT31ydTO220ydPUNT3-1ydTD480ydPUNT35ydPUNT518ydPUNT38ydEND2-3ydPUNT96ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-5ydFG751ydPUNT36ydTD976ydPUNT32ydTO525ydFG1148ydTD868ydEND37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UL Monroe and Kentucky
StatisticUL MonroeKentucky
Passing11-2022-33
Pass Yards70419
Rush Yards17145
Total Yards87564
Turnovers03
3rd Down6-196-11
Penalties3-257-65
Possession28:1331:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UL Monroe
passing
Rhett Rodriguez
9/17, 56 YDS
rushing
Chandler Rogers
7 CAR, 11 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Knight
6 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
18/26, 367 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
19 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Ali
5 REC, 136 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.76

Will Levis pass intercepted Jabari Johnson return for no gain to the Kent 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the Kent 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.89

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 46

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.09

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 14 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the Kent 30

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the Kent 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 15 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kadyn Roach run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 16

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Rhett Rodriguez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 17

3rd & 13Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.16

Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Yusuf Corker for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 24

4th & 20Penalty+12 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (12 Yards) to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Phillips run for 4 yds to the Kent 8

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the Kent 7

3rd & 5Penalty+2 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the Kent 4

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.56

Kadyn Roach 3 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 18

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 22

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 19 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the KENTUCKY 48 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.90

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 33 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Jared Sparks for 1 yd to the LaMon 27

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Rhett Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the LaMon 28

4th & 7Punt+4 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 34 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for 4 yds to the Kent 42 Wan'Dale Robinson fumbled, recovered by Kent Wan'Dale Robinson

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.56

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 58 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Rhett Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the LaMon 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 11 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Zach Rasmussen

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 49

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Levis pass incomplete to Wan'Dale Robinson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 9 yds to the Kent 25

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Formation (Tre Odom) to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.56

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 47

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Will Levis pass incomplete to Izayah Cummings

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaMon 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.13

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 23 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 6 yds to the LaMon 13

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 23

2nd & 14Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 16 yds to the LaMon 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaMon 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Zach Rasmussen

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Jared Sparks

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -1.95

Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the Kent 43 Kavosiey Smoke fumbled, recovered by LaMon , return for 2 yds to the Kent 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Will Derrick

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Rhett Rodriguez sacked by Chris Oats and - Team for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 44

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Kadyn Roach

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +3.79

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 62 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds to the LaMon 13

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Chris Rodriguez Jr.) to the LaMon 18

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 15

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.07

Will Levis pass complete to Wan'Dale Robinson for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 39

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Zach Rasmussen

3rd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.59

Rhett Rodriguez sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 30

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kent 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.37

Will Levis run for 8 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Levis pass complete to Rahsaan Lewis for 4 yds to the Kent 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Rhett Rodriguez run for no gain to the LaMon 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 8 yds to the LaMon 24

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Jared Sparks

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 40 yds, downed at the Kent 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Levis pass incomplete to Kavosiey Smoke

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Will Levis sacked by Zack Woodard and TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 2 yds to the LaMon 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Boogie Knight for 8 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kadyn Roach run for no gain to the LaMon 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Rhett Rodriguez pass incomplete to Boogie Knight

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.05

Rhett Rodriguez run for 14 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Boogie Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 49

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.70

Rhett Rodriguez sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 40

3rd & 22Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.24

Colby Suits sacked by Josh Paschal for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 31

4th & 31Punt+5 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 43 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for 5 yds to the Kent 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 5 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 3Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.15

Will Levis sacked by Ty Shelby for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 30

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 38

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 41

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.94

Chandler Rogers sacked by Jordan Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the LaMon 33

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Wan'Dale Robinson at the Kent 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Levis pass incomplete to Josh Ali, broken up by #

3rd & 8Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +4.47

Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 57 yds to the LaMon 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Levis pass complete to Justin Rigg for 5 yds to the LaMon 14

2nd & 5Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.62

TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kent

3rd & 15Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Will Levis sacked by Ty Shelby for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 27

4th & 18Field Goal Good+45 yds

Matt Ruffolo 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 29

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 49 yds , Wan'Dale Robinson returns for no gain to the Kent 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.93

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Ali for 24 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.28

Will Levis pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 21 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaMon 31

4th & 18Rush+15 ydsPPA -1.27

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 9

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Will Levis pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 5 yds to the LaMon 4

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Andrew Henry run for no gain to the LaMon 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Rhett Rodriguez pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 1 yd to the LaMon 26

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Rhett Rodriguez run for 1 yd to the LaMon 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Devyn McCormick punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 34

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.36

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 31 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Beau Allen pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Beau Allen pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 4 yds to the LaMon 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.26

Beau Allen sacked by Quincy Ledet Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 41 Beau Allen fumbled, recovered by LaMon Ty Shelby , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaMon 46

1st & 5Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 5 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kadyn Roach run for 2 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the Kent 31

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.47

Abraham Alce run for 3 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the Kent 21

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the Kent 20

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 9 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Abraham Alce run for 5 yds to the Kent 6

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.66

Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 11

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Chandler Rogers pass incomplete to Will Derrick

4th & 10Field Goal Good+29 yds

Calum Sutherland 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Michael Drennen II run for 3 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Beau Allen pass complete to Tae Tae Crumes for 10 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.60

Beau Allen pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 31 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Michael Drennen II run for 9 yds to the LaMon 15

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.28

Beau Allen pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 7 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Travis Tisdale run for 4 yds to the LaMon 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Beau Allen pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Michael Drennen II run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jakyle Holmes run for no gain to the LaMon 25

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Jakyle Holmes run for 10 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Jakyle Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 32

Situational Analysis

UL Monroe

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
23%
13 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
33 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play