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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1
AlabamaAlabama
44
-Final
13
MiamiMiami

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 14.7

Home Win Probability

Miami 19%

Market (consensus)

Miami +19.5

Edge: Miami +19.5 (4.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
101714344
MiamiMiami
0310013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-170-200-273-2710-4113-44
MiamiAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAMIAALAMIAALAMIAALAMIAALAMIAALAMIAMIAALAMIAALAMIAALAMIAALAMIAALAMIAALAMIATD775ydPUNT517ydFG1155ydPUNT38ydTD1080ydTO28ydFG40ydPUNT35ydTD774ydPUNT514ydPUNT517ydEND1160ydDOWNS1474ydTD399ydTO20ydTD545ydTD775ydTO54ydFG814ydFG1353ydTO10ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS728ydEND118yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Miami
StatisticAlabamaMiami
Passing28-3923-31
Pass Yards354179
Rush Yards14787
Total Yards501266
Turnovers13
3rd Down10-166-14
Penalties8-817-75
Possession37:0222:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Bryce Young
27/38, 344 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Brian Robinson Jr.
12 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Jameson Williams
4 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Miami
passing
D'Eriq King
23/30, 179 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Cam'Ron Harris
12 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Xavier Restrepo
3 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 12 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 11 yds to the MiaFl 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 7 yds to the MiaFl 42

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.05

John Metchie III 37 Yd pass from Bryce Young (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 7 yds to the MiaFl 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 7 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cam'Ron Harris run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 44

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Zion Nelson) to the MiaFl 39

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 42

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the MiaFl 42

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 38 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 5 yds to the Alab 25

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jameson Williams) to the Alab 20

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.65

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 14 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 3 yds to the MiaFl 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.43

Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 6 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.43

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 20

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Slade Bolden

4th & 13Field Goal Good+38 yds

Will Reichard 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 6 yds to the MiaFl 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 47 yds, downed at the Alab 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryce Young run for 8 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Alab 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.26

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 9 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the MIAMI 49 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (Bubba Bolden) to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST down (Bubba Bolden Ejected for Targeting)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Bryce Young pass incomplete to John Metchie III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.01

Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 16 yds to the MiaFl 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 9 yds to the MiaFl 9

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +1.97

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

D'Eriq King run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.49

D'Eriq King sacked by Christopher Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 33 D'Eriq King fumbled, forced by Christopher Allen, recovered by Alab Phidarian Mathis , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 4 yds to the MiaFl 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.68

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for no gain to the MiaFl 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.77

Bryce Young pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 33

4th & 10Field Goal Good+51 yds

Will Reichard 51 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 2 yds to the MiaFl 25

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 30

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 54 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 10 yds to the Alab 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 11 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Jase McClellan run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.31

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 18 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 25

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.58

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 25 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

D'Eriq King pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 10 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.97

D'Eriq King sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 42

2nd & 14Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.93

D'Eriq King sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 38

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 6 yds to the MiaFl 44

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Roydell Williams run for 8 yds to the Alab 35 Roydell Williams fumbled, forced by Kamren Kinchens, recovered by Alab Roydell Williams

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Bryce Young pass complete to Javon Baker for 10 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu

4th & 11Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 9 yds to the MiaFl 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 7 yds to the MiaFl 39

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 41

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 40

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

D'Eriq King pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike Harley

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 5 yds to the MiaFl 45

4th & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.93

D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 20 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

King, D'Eriq pass incomplete to Rambo, Charleston, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Wright, Daniel) 15 yards to the ALABAMA20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Alab 20

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

Andres Borregales 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 5 yds to the MiaFl 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 7 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 3 yds to the MiaFl 39

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the MiaFl 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.05

D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 17 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.65

D'Eriq King pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 16 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

D'Eriq King pass complete to Michael Redding III for 3 yds to the Alab 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 23

3rd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Cam'Ron Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

D'Eriq King pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

D'Eriq King run for no gain to the Alab 1

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Alab 6

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+94 ydsPPA +7.21

Bryce Young pass complete to Jameson Williams for 94 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Xavier Restrepo

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -0.22

D'Eriq King pass intercepted Malachi Moore return for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 35 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the MiaFl 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Bryce Young pass complete to Javon Baker for 7 yds to the MiaFl 38

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Javon Baker

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 20

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.11

Trey Sanders run for 20 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 7 yds to the MiaFl 32

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 41

2nd & 4Penalty+15 yds

King, D'Eriq pass incomplete to Restrepo, Xavier, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Moore, Malachi) 15 yards to the ALABAMA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

D'Eriq King pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 4 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.75

D'Eriq King run for 11 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

D'Eriq King pass complete to Xavier Restrepo for 29 yds for a TD, (Andres Borregales KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 2 yds to the Alab 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jameson Williams

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.58

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 9 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.17

Bryce Young sacked by Chantz Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 25 Bryce Young fumbled, forced by Chantz Williams, recovered by MiaFl Jordan Miller , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

D'Eriq King pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 7 yds to the Alab 18

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 16

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.10

Donald Chaney Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D'Eriq King pass complete to Donald Chaney Jr. for 4 yds to the Alab 11

2nd & 6Penalty+6 yds

King, D'Eriq pass pass intended for Rambo, Charleston intercepted by Wright, Daniel at the ALABAMA0, Wright, Daniel return 0 yards to the ALABAMA0, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Wright, Daniel) 6 yards to the ALABAMA5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Charleston Rambo

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 5

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.88

D'Eriq King sacked by Phidarian Mathis for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+28 yds

Andres Borregales 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 31

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.37

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 12 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Trey Sanders run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Bryce Young pass complete to JoJo Earle for 9 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Young pass complete to Javon Baker for 4 yds to the MiaFl 38

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (Gilbert Frierson) to the MiaFl 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 6 yds to the MiaFl 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 24

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 18

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.15

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 22

4th & 5Field Goal Good+40 yds

Will Reichard 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+28 ydsPPA -1.76

D'Eriq King pass intercepted Jaylen Moody return for 13 yds to the MiaFl 33 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 48

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 40

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 42

3rd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.00

Trey Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 47

4th & 9Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Van Dyke run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 20

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Van Dyke run for no gain to the MiaFl 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

4th & 11Punt+5 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 53 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 5 yds to the Alab 32 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Alab 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 23

3rd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.12

Paul Tyson pass complete to Jacoby Boykins for 10 yds to the Alab 33 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (Jahfari Harvey) to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 45

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 43

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.97

Tyler Van Dyke run for 18 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
33 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
63%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
100%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play