Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 29.6

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 4%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas +30

Edge: Arkansas +30 (0.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
10287752
ArkansasArkansas
30003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-33-103-173-313-383-453-52
ArkansasAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKALAARKALAARKARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKALAARKPUNT410ydFG719ydFG1166ydDOWNS722ydTD3-1ydPUNT3-10ydTD849ydTO1-20ydTD15ydPUNT36ydTD872ydPUNT37ydTD1370ydEND20ydTD1489ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT34ydTO730ydTO745ydTO950ydPUNT34ydTO732ydTD180ydEND528yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Arkansas
StatisticAlabamaArkansas
Passing27-339-17
Pass Yards227108
Rush Yards21680
Total Yards443188
Turnovers14
3rd Down10-145-15
Penalties2-238-36
Possession33:1526:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
24/29, 208 YDS
rushing
Jase McClellan
6 CAR, 95 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
John Metchie
5 REC, 72 YDS
Arkansas
passing
Feleipe Franks
8/10, 90 YDS
rushing
Trelon Smith
19 CAR, 69 YDS
receiving
Michael Woods
3 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 16 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Ark 41

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 40

3rd & 11Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.57

Feleipe Franks sacked by Christian Barmore for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 35

4th & 16Punt+22 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 34 yds , DeVonta Smith returns for 22 yds to the Ark 47

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Ark 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee Harris

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.50

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 10 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Ark 28

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Ark 28

4th & 2Field Goal Good+45 yds

Will Reichard 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Trelon Smith run for 16 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mike Woods

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 11 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Feleipe Franks run for 4 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Feleipe Franks run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trelon Smith for 24 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

T.J. Hammonds run for 3 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 7Penalty+8 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Holding (8 Yards) to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 13

1st & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 5 yds to the Alab 8

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Feleipe Franks sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 9

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Trey Knox

4th & 9Field Goal Good+26 yds

Matthew Phillips 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 6 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.24

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 10 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 2 yds to the Ark 47

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Neutral Zone Infraction (5 Yards) to the Ark 42

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 43

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.36

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Ark 46

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Ty Clary) to the Ark 41

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the Ark 47

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 42

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

4th & 11Punt+84 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 42 yds , DeVonta Smith returns for 84 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Ark 27

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.68

Feleipe Franks sacked by Phidarian Mathis and Byron Young for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 23

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.18

Feleipe Franks sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 15

4th & 20Punt+5 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 39 yds , DeVonta Smith returns for 5 yds to the Ark 49

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.89

Najee Harris run for 17 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 6 yds to the Ark 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Ark 24

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Ark 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 13 yds to the Ark 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Ark 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Ark 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Sack-20 ydsPPA -1.31

Feleipe Franks sacked by Christopher Allen for a loss of 20 yards to the Ark 5 Feleipe Franks fumbled, forced by Christopher Allen, recovered by Alab DJ Dale , return for 0 yards

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Najee Harris run for 5 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

T.J. Hammonds run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 21

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

3rd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.18

KJ Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Ark 30

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 42 yds, downed at the Alab 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.01

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Ark 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mac Jones pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the Ark 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Mac Jones pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 4 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ark 34

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.49

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mac Jones pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the Ark 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.35

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 20 yds to the Ark 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty+1 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Catalon) to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Ark 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Ark 32

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Ark 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 6 yds to the Alab 36

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 4 yds to the Ark 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 9 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 8 yds to the Ark 21

2nd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.60

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 17 yds to the Ark 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Slade Bolden

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Brady Latham) to the Ark 20

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Ark 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 9 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 33

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

Mac Jones run for 2 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 10 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mac Jones pass complete to Javon Baker for no gain to the Alab 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 3 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.02

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 23 yds to the Ark 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mac Jones pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 8 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ark 10

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Mac Jones pass complete to Jase McClellan for 1 yd to the Ark 9

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Hayden Henry) to the Ark 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Blake Kern

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Trelon Smith

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

KJ Jefferson sacked by Christian Barmore for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 48 yds, downed at the Alab 34

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 36

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Xavier Williams

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nathan Parodi at the Ark 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the Ark 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Blake Kern

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Trelon Smith run for 1 yd to the Ark 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.26

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Mike Woods for 18 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -3.59

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the Alab 44 KJ Jefferson fumbled, forced by Jaylen Moody, recovered by Alab Byron Young

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Bryce Young pass complete to Javon Baker for 15 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for 6 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Roydell Williams run for 5 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the Ark 11

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.72

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Ark 11 Roydell Williams fumbled, forced by Jonathan Marshall, recovered by Ark Joe Foucha

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.55

Trelon Smith run for 12 yds to the Ark 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Feleipe Franks run for 7 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.30

Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Ark 37

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Ark 42

3rd & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.49

Feleipe Franks sacked by Shane Lee for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 35

4th & 9Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Ale Kaho) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trey Knox for 6 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Alab 42

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.87

Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Alab 39 Trelon Smith fumbled, forced by Josh Jobe, recovered by Alab Jaylen Moody

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.94

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the Alab 45

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Bryce Young pass complete to Thaiu Jones-Bell for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 43

4th & 6Punt+15 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 39 yds , Nathan Parodi returns for 15 yds to the Ark 33

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Feleipe Franks run for 11 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 8 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Trelon Smith run for no gain to the Alab 48

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.35

Feleipe Franks run for 5 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 9 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Trelon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 35

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.43

Treylon Burks pass intercepted, touchback. Brian Branch return for no gain

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Jase McClellan run for 80 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

T.J. Hammonds run for 1 yd to the Ark 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

T.J. Hammonds run for 7 yds to the Ark 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 11 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.43

Feleipe Franks sacked by Tim Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 36

2nd & 18Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.38

T.J. Hammonds run for 17 yds to the Alab 47

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
63%
27 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
46%
13 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
75%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th