Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 8

Home Win Probability

Florida State 70%

Market (consensus)

Florida State -3

Edge: Florida State -3 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
DukeDuke
71401435
Florida StateFlorida State
280141456

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-728-2142-2156-2856-35
Florida StateDuke

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSDUKFSTD775ydPUNT34ydTD850ydTO21ydTD114ydPUNT60ydTD665ydTD352ydTO319ydTO313ydTO522ydTD164ydPUNT36ydTD1285ydPUNT3-2ydEND1119ydTO38ydTD229ydPUNT31ydTD855ydTO512ydMISS830ydPUNT72ydTD168ydTD567ydTD173ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS640ydTD1073ydPUNT3-12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Duke and Florida State
StatisticDukeFlorida State
Passing13-2614-21
Pass Yards148198
Rush Yards245324
Total Yards393522
Turnovers42
3rd Down5-152-9
Penalties9-706-57
Possession30:4729:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Duke
passing
Chase Brice
7/17, 81 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Mataeo Durant
13 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dennis Smith
2 REC, 37 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
13/18, 192 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Lawrance Toafili
7 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Khi Douglas
3 REC, 77 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Jordan Travis run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the Duke 47

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Jashaun Corbin run for 10 yds to the Duke 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the Duke 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Travis run for 6 yds to the Duke 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 18 yds to the Duke 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 7 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 6

2nd & 12Penalty-3 yds

DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Casey Holman) to the Duke 3

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.13

Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 9 yds to the Duke 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Marwede

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the Duke 44

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Jordan Travis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -2.16

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 3 yds to the FlaSt 42 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the FlaSt 48

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 11 yds to the Duke 41

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the Duke 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.39

Ja'Khi Douglas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Duke 41

2nd & 13Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.27

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 39 yds to the Duke 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 20

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brice pass intercepted Hamsah Nasirildeen return for 25 yds to the Duke 14

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jashaun Corbin run for 14 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 2 yards to the Duke 24

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.90

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 9 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Mataeo Durant

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dennis Smith

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (Jaylen Stinson) to the Duke 31

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

DUKE Penalty, False Start (Shaka Heyward) to the Duke 26

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Keyshawn Helton at the FlaSt 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Lawrance Toafili run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jeremiah Lewis) to the Duke 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 5 yds to the Duke 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.17

Jordan Travis pass complete to Kentron Poitier for 8 yds to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Treshaun Ward run for 26 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Mataeo Durant run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.52

Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 15 yds to the FlaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 26 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 15 yds to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 43

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.81

Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44 Jashaun Corbin fumbled, forced by Leonard Johnson, recovered by Duke Nate Thompson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 42

2nd & 8Penalty+6 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Derrick McLendon II) to the FlaSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.16

Chase Brice pass intercepted Brendan Gant return for no gain to the FlaSt 7

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Kentron Poitier

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.57

Jordan Travis run for 24 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Jordan Travis run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 29

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Travis pass intercepted Nate Thompson return for no gain to the Duke 36

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+64 ydsPPA +5.15

Mataeo Durant run for 64 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 5 yds to the FlaSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 1 yd to the FlaSt 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordan Travis pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 5 yds to the Duke 24

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.53

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Deon Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 20

2nd & 15Penalty+6 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrian Jones) to the Duke 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Deon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Chase Brice run for 10 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jordan Waters run for 3 yds to the Duke 46

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jordan Waters run for 2 yds to the Duke 48

3rd & 5Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.01

Mataeo Durant run for 39 yds to the FlaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 7

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the FlaSt 27

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Travis sacked by Drew Jordan for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 23

4th & 12Punt+45 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 45 yds , Jontavis Robertson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 31

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the Duke 38

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mataeo Durant run for no gain to the Duke 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Darrell Harding Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 9 yds to the FlaSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Deon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Chase Brice run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 35

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jarrian Jones) to the FlaSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devery Hamilton) to the FlaSt 28

1st & 20Penalty-10 yds

DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jacob Monk) to the FlaSt 38

1st & 30Penalty-10 yds

DUKE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Noah Gray) to the FlaSt 48

1st & 40Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Bobo

2nd & 40Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Bobo

3rd & 40Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.09

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

0th & 40End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Duke 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Chase Brice pass complete to Dennis Smith for 8 yds to the Duke 30

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Chase Brice run for a loss of 1 yard to the Duke 29 Chase Brice fumbled, forced by Brendan Gant, recovered by FlaSt Amari Gainer

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the Duke 27

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.07

Jordan Travis run for 27 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 30

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 33

3rd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.73

Luca Diamont run for a loss of 5 yards to the Duke 28

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Lawrance Toafili run for 8 yds to the Duke 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Lawrance Toafili run for 6 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

DUKE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Chris Rumph II) to the Duke 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the Duke 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.79

Jordan Travis pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 10 yds to the Duke 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.11

Lawrance Toafili run for 10 yds to the Duke 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Lawrance Toafili run for 8 yds to the Duke 3

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.08

Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Luca Diamont pass complete to Eli Pancol for 2 yds to the Duke 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Luca Diamont run for 3 yds to the Duke 30

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Luca Diamont run for 6 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Duke 37

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.00

Luca Diamont pass intercepted Travis Jay return for no gain to the Duke 45

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Jashaun Corbin run for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the Duke 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 2 yds to the Duke 27

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Jordan Travis run for 7 yds to the Duke 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jashaun Corbin run for no gain to the Duke 20

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ja'Khi Douglas run for 4 yds to the Duke 16

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the Duke 15

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Parker Grothaus 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Duke 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Luca Diamont pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 7 yds to the Duke 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Luca Diamont run for 1 yd to the Duke 29

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Noah Gray run for 1 yd to the Duke 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Luca Diamont pass incomplete to Noah Gray

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-12 ydsPPA -0.81

TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Duke 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Duke Luca Diamont

3rd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Luca Diamont run for 4 yds to the Duke 22

4th & 18Punt+6 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 52 yds , Keyshawn Helton returns for 6 yds to the FlaSt 32

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ja'Khi Douglas for 68 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Luca Diamont pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.97

Luca Diamont run for 23 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 40

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Luca Diamont run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Deon Jackson pass complete to Dennis Smith for 29 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Lawrance Toafili run for 73 yds for a TD (Parker Grothaus KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Luca Diamont run for 2 yds to the Duke 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Luca Diamont pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for no gain to the Duke 25

3rd & 8Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.30

Mataeo Durant run for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 19

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Porter Wilson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 33

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 37

2nd & 6Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.61

Treshaun Ward run for 28 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Deont Sheffield run for 2 yds to the Duke 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete to Ja'Khi Douglas

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Tate Rodemaker pass incomplete to Lawrance Toafili

4th & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -1.82

Tate Rodemaker pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 6 yds to the Duke 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Deon Jackson run for 9 yds to the Duke 36

2nd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.99

Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kalen DeLoach) to the FlaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Luca Diamont run for 14 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 31

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Luca Diamont run for no gain to the FlaSt 31

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luca Diamont run for no gain to the FlaSt 31

4th & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Luca Diamont pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 17 yds to the FlaSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Luca Diamont pass complete to Nicky Dalmolin for 12 yds to the FlaSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Luca Diamont run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Daniel Karlin run for 1 yd for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.25

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 17

3rd & 18Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.05

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaSt 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Tommy Martin punt for 46 yds, downed at the Duke 41

Situational Analysis

Duke

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
34%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
29%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
31 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play