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← Back to GamesDec 6, 2020Week 14
AlabamaAlabama
55
-Final
17
LSULSU
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 16.5

Home Win Probability

LSU 14%

Market (consensus)

LSU +28.5

Edge: LSU +28.5 (12.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 6, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
21247355
LSULSU
0143017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-2114-3514-3814-4514-5217-55
LSUAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALALSUALATD775ydDOWNS1160ydTD585ydPUNT30ydTD547ydTD995ydTD375ydTD369ydTD375ydPUNT628ydFG1177ydPUNT35ydTD658ydPUNT39ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT515ydPUNT3-5ydTO435ydTO48ydTD634ydFG1041ydFG1029ydDOWNS1574ydUncategorized863yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and LSU
StatisticAlabamaLSU
Passing20-2925-45
Pass Yards385253
Rush Yards26598
Total Yards650351
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-95-16
Penalties4-434-30
Possession32:5226:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
20/28, 385 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Najee Harris
21 CAR, 145 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
DeVonta Smith
8 REC, 231 YDS, 3 TD
defense
DeMarcco Hellams
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
LSU
passing
TJ Finley
14/28, 143 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
John Emery Jr.
7 CAR, 79 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kayshon Boutte
8 REC, 110 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 8 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Najee Harris run for 12 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the LSU 48

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Neil Farrell Jr.) to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.75

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 24 yds to the LSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the LSU 14

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.53

Najee Harris 14 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

TJ Finley pass complete to Tory Carter for 5 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 3 yds to the LSU 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.64

TJ Finley pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

TJ Finley pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 10 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

TJ Finley pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 15 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.26

TJ Finley pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 10 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Tre Bradford

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 9 yds to the Alab 15

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Alab 15

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.87

Tyrion Davis-Price run for no gain to the Alab 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.06

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 27 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+43 yds

Najee Harris run for 28 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (JaCoby Stevens) to the LSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 12 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the LSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Najee Harris 1 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Koy Moore

3rd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.28

TJ Finley sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 47

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaquelin Roy) to the LSU 42

1st & 5Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.13

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 47

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the LSU 38

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Najee Harris run for no gain to the LSU 38

4th & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.07

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 14 yds to the LSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Jahleel Billingsley 24 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

TJ Finley pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 9 yds to the LSU 14

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.28

TJ Finley pass complete to Koy Moore for 4 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Jontre Kirklin

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 1 yd to the LSU 19

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.21

TJ Finley pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Roughing Passer (Christian Harris) to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Tyrion Davis-Price

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

TJ Finley pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 9 yds to the Alab 49

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.20

TJ Finley run for 5 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.75

TJ Finley pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 43 yds for a TD Kayshon Boutte fumbled, recovered by LSU Jontre Kirklin , return for 1 yd, (Cade York KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+65 ydsPPA +5.24

DeVonta Smith 65 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

John Emery Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 31

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Finley, TJ pass incomplete to Jenkins, Jaray, PENALTY ALABAMA personal foul (Wright, Daniel) 15 yards to the LSU46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Jontre Kirklin

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.34

John Emery Jr. 54 Yd Run (Cade York Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 8 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

DeVonta Smith 61 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

John Emery Jr. run for 20 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

TJ Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.25

TJ Finley pass complete to Tory Carter for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.86

John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 44

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.02

TJ Finley sacked by Christian Barmore for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 47 TJ Finley fumbled, forced by Christian Barmore, recovered by LSU TJ Finley , return for 0 yards

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 36 yds, fair catch by DeVonta Smith at the Alab 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 5Penalty-8 yds

Jones, Mac pass complete to Metchie III, John for 4 yards to the ALABAMA20, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Leatherwood, Alex) 8 yards to the ALABAMA8, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 13 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 21

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

LSU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ray Thornton) to the Alab 26

3rd & 5Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +4.16

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 48 yds to the LSU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the LSU 19

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the LSU 12

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Najee Harris run for no gain to the LSU 12

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee Harris

4th & 7Field Goal Good+30 yds

Will Reichard 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 5 yds to the LSU 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 28 yds, downed at the Alab 42

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.32

Najee Harris run for 15 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 14 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Miller Forristall

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee Harris

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.46

DeVonta Smith 20 Yd pass from Mac Jones (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

TJ Finley pass incomplete to John Emery Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

John Emery Jr. run for 9 yds to the LSU 32

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DeVonta Smith at the Alab 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 29

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

TJ Finley pass complete to Koy Moore for 3 yds to the LSU 35

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.19

TJ Finley sacked by Josh Jobe for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 30

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Jaray Jenkins

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 3 yds to the Alab 40

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 33 yds, downed at the LSU 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 4 yds to the LSU 31

2nd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.22

TJ Finley sacked by Byron Young and Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 22

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

TJ Finley pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Zach Von Rosenberg punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 12 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the LSU 43

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee Harris

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.17

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 19 yds Slade Bolden fumbled, forced by Jay Ward, recovered by LSU Derek Stingley Jr. , return for 2 yds to the LSU 26

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyrion Davis-Price run for 2 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

TJ Finley pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 7 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

TJ Finley run for 2 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-3 ydsPPA -1.95

TJ Finley pass complete to Arik Gilbert for a loss of 3 yards Arik Gilbert fumbled, forced by Christopher Allen, recovered by Alab Christopher Allen

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 7 yds to the LSU 27

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.08

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the LSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 23

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the LSU 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Mac Jones pass complete to Brian Robinson Jr. for 6 yds to the LSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Najee Harris 11 Yd Run (Will Reichard Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 3 yds to the LSU 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 13 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Max Johnson pass complete to Tre Bradford for 12 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Max Johnson pass complete to Trey Palmer for 3 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.24

John Emery Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 34

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Jaray Jenkins

4th & 12Field Goal Good+52 yds

Cade York 52 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 41

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.82

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 9 yds to the LSU 21

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.47

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the LSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Deonte Brown) to the LSU 12

1st & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the LSU 9

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.93

Bryce Young sacked by Ali Gaye for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 16

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Bryce Young pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

4th & 0Field Goal Good+34 yds

Will Reichard 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Max Johnson pass complete to Jontre Kirklin for 21 yds to the LSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Max Johnson pass complete to Tory Carter for 13 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Max Johnson pass complete to Koy Moore for 9 yds to the Alab 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Max Johnson run for 3 yds to the Alab 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Tre Bradford

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Max Johnson sacked by Christian Harris and Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 35

3rd & 16Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 15 yds to the Alab 20

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.75

Max Johnson run for 1 yd to the Alab 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Max Johnson pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 9 yds to the Alab 10

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tre Bradford run for 5 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Max Johnson pass complete to Arik Gilbert for 4 yds to the Alab 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Max Johnson run for no gain to the Alab 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Tory Carter

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.21

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Arik Gilbert

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 3

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +1.81

Jase McClellan run for 25 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Roydell Williams run for 7 yds to the LSU 42

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jase McClellan run for 7 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 36

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
71%
34 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
44%
9 plays
60%
5 plays
25%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
60%
15 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
4th
33%
3 plays