Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 29, 2020Week 13
MemphisMemphis
10
-Final
7
NavyNavy
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Memphis by 11.8

Home Win Probability

Navy 22%

Market (consensus)

Navy +13.5

Edge: Navy +13.5 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 29, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MemphisMemphis
700310
NavyNavy
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407147-07-77-10
NavyMemphis

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVMEMNAVPUNT36ydPUNT69ydTD883ydTD679ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT517ydMISS46ydDOWNS620ydPUNT3-3ydTO1064ydTO464ydEND23ydDOWNS726ydDOWNS47ydPUNT713ydPUNT516ydPUNT510ydTO733ydFG946ydMISS1047ydPUNT623ydEND315yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Memphis and Navy
StatisticMemphisNavy
Passing18-324-13
Pass Yards20588
Rush Yards75233
Total Yards280321
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-142-13
Penalties5-252-15
Possession26:0233:58

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Memphis
passing
Brady White
18/32, 205 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Marquavius Weaver
15 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Tahj Washington
4 REC, 68 YDS
defense
Navy
passing
Tyger Goslin
3/9, 73 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Nelson Smith
29 CAR, 142 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chance Warren
1 REC, 41 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 34 yds, downed at the Memph 35

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for no gain to the Memph 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 7 yds to the Memph 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.52

Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 3 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Marquavius Weaver run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.33

Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for a loss of 8 yards to the Memph 35

3rd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.22

Marquavius Weaver run for 9 yds to the Memph 44

4th & 11Punt+2 yds

Adam Williams punt for 41 yds , Mark Walker returns for 2 yds to the Navy 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chance Warren run for 4 yds to the Navy 21

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chance Warren run for 4 yds to the Navy 25

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyger Goslin run for 1 yd to the Navy 26

4th & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.18

J'arius Warren run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.10

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Mark Walker for 23 yds to the Memph 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Devin Mathews

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Mark Walker run for 5 yds to the Memph 22

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Nelson Smith run for 22 yds for a TD (Bijan Nichols KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Marquavius Weaver run for 8 yds to the Memph 29

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Marquavius Weaver run for 8 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brady White pass incomplete to Marquavius Weaver

2nd & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.50

Brady White pass complete to Asa Martin for 43 yds to the Navy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Asa Martin run for 6 yds to the Navy 14

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.43

Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 14 yds for a TD (Riley Patterson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Chance Warren, broken up by Jalil Clemons

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jamale Carothers run for 4 yds to the Navy 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Myles Fells run for 1 yd to the Navy 30

4th & 5Punt+23 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 41 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for 23 yds to the Navy 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the Navy 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 1 yd to the Navy 46

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Dylan Parham) to the Memph 49

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brady White pass incomplete to Sean Dykes

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Adam Williams punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Chance Warren at the Navy 10

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 15

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Navy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Devin Mathews, broken up by Sanchez Blake Jr.

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Daniel Davies punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Navy 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds to the Navy 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady White pass incomplete to Javon Ivory, broken up by John Marshall

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the Navy 34

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Riley Patterson 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Navy 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Warren run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyger Goslin run for 3 yds to the Memph 47

4th & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -1.13

Chance Warren run for 1 yd to the Memph 46 Chance Warren fumbled, forced by Sanchez Blake Jr., recovered by Navy Myles Fells

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Marquavius Weaver run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 45

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Marquavius Weaver run for 3 yds to the Memph 48

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Obinna Eze) to the Memph 43

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Brady White pass incomplete to Sean Dykes

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Adam Williams punt for 38 yds, downed at the Navy 19

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyger Goslin sacked by Morris Joseph for a loss of 2 yards to the Navy 17

2nd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Carlinos Acie for 9 yds to the Navy 26

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.95

Nelson Smith run for 3 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Nelson Smith run for 8 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jamale Carothers run for 6 yds to the Navy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Myles Fells run for 3 yds to the Navy 46

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NAVY Penalty, false start (Kip Frankland) to the Navy 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.44

Tyger Goslin pass complete to Chance Warren for 41 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 16

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Nelson Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 17

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.74

Tyger Goslin pass intercepted Quindell Johnson return for no gain to the Memph 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Brady White run for 6 yds to the Memph 20

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brady White pass incomplete to Kylan Watkins

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.12

Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 19 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -2.14

Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 28 yds Tahj Washington fumbled, forced by Jamal Glenn, recovered by Navy Derek Atwaters

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Myles Fells run for 3 yds to the Navy 25

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Navy 25

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady White pass incomplete to Kylan Watkins

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Marquavius Weaver run for 6 yds to the Memph 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 12 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Marquavius Weaver run for 2 yds to the Memph 45

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Marquavius Weaver run for 6 yds to the Navy 49

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brady White pass incomplete to Kylan Watkins, broken up by John Marshall

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj Washington, broken up by Mitchell West

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Myles Fells run for 4 yds to the Memph 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 45

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyger Goslin run for 1 yd to the Memph 44

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.39

Tyger Goslin run for no gain to the Memph 44

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Matt Dale) to the Memph 39

1st & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.61

Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 11 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III

3rd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady White pass complete to Timothy Taylor for 2 yds to the Navy 48

4th & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.42

Brady White run for 4 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Marquavius Weaver run for no gain to the Navy 44

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Marquavius Weaver run for 1 yd to the Navy 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III, broken up by Jamal Glenn

4th & 9Punt+29 yds

Adam Williams punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Chance Warren at the Navy 9 MEMPHIS Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the Navy 14

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nelson Smith run for 4 yds to the Navy 18

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Carlinos Acie run for 11 yds to the Navy 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chance Warren pass incomplete to Jamale Carothers, broken up by Thomas Pickens

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyger Goslin pass incomplete to Carlinos Acie

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Nelson Smith run for 1 yd to the Navy 30

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Fee punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Brady White pass complete to Kameron Wilson for 7 yds to the Memph 35

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Kylan Watkins run for 4 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Asa Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 38

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brady White pass incomplete to Javon Ivory, broken up by Kevin Brennan

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin III

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Adam Williams punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mark Walker at the Navy 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Xavier Arline run for no gain to the Navy 24

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Chance Warren run for 2 yds to the Navy 26

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Nelson Smith run for 7 yds to the Navy 33

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.59

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Navy 37

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.52

Nelson Smith run for 20 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.65

TEAM run for no gain to the Memph 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Memph Cole Mashburn , return for 3 yds to the Memph 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Asa Martin run for 1 yd to the Memph 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.69

Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 9 yds to the Navy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Asa Martin run for 5 yds to the Navy 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brady White pass incomplete to Sean Dykes

3rd & 5Penalty+10 yds

WHITE, Brady pass incomplete to DANIEL, Tyce, PENALTY NAVY holding (MARSHALL, John) 10 yards to the NAVY29, 1ST DOWN MEM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.27

Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 19 yds to the Navy 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Marquavius Weaver run for 1 yd to the Navy 9

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

MEMPHIS Penalty, false start (Obinna Eze) to the Navy 14

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Brady White pass complete to Javon Ivory for 6 yds to the Navy 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj Washington, broken up by Kevin Brennan

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Riley Patterson 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nelson Smith run for 5 yds to the Navy 30

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.98

Nelson Smith run for 18 yds to the Navy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 48

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Xavier Arline run for 4 yds to the Memph 44

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.47

Xavier Arline run for 8 yds to the Memph 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Nelson Smith run for 6 yds to the Memph 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Nelson Smith run for no gain to the Memph 30

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Nelson Smith run for 2 yds to the Memph 28

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Bijan Nichols 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Asa Martin run for a loss of 3 yards to the Memph 25

2nd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Brady White run for 2 yds to the Memph 27

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.66

Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 16 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Marquavius Weaver run for 3 yds to the Memph 46

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marquavius Weaver run for 3 yds to the Memph 49

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Marquavius Weaver run for 2 yds to the Navy 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Adam Williams punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Dalen Morris pass complete to Mark Walker for 15 yds to the Navy 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Dalen Morris pass incomplete to Devin Mathews, broken up by T.J. Carter

Situational Analysis

Memphis

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Navy

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
28%
25 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
20%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
13%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
60%
5 plays