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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2020Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida Atlantic by 43.3

Home Win Probability

Florida Atlantic 99%

Market (consensus)

Florida Atlantic -34

Edge: Florida Atlantic -34 (9.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MassachusettsMassachusetts
00202
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic
7014324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-224-2
Florida AtlanticMassachusetts

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAFAMASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAMASFAPUNT31ydTD857ydPUNT35ydTO627ydDOWNS719ydDOWNS846ydPUNT37ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT56ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT725ydPUNT611ydPUNT31ydEND10ydTD1565ydPUNT39ydTD170ydPUNT37ydSAF31ydDOWNS721ydDOWNS48ydTO10ydPUNT613ydPUNT35ydFG553ydPUNT614ydPUNT3-6ydTO10ydEND326yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Massachusetts and Florida Atlantic
StatisticMassachusettsFlorida Atlantic
Passing15-3015-30
Pass Yards85228
Rush Yards62140
Total Yards147368
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-147-19
Penalties5-694-20
Possession25:1034:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Massachusetts
passing
Will Koch
12/22, 67 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Ellis Merriweather
11 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Josiah Johnson
8 REC, 42 YDS
defense
Florida Atlantic
passing
Javion Posey
13/27, 203 YDS
rushing
Javion Posey
19 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
T.J. Chase
4 REC, 79 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Koch pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Will Koch pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 31 yds, downed at the FlAtl 43

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 44

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

James Charles run for no gain to the FlAtl 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.23

Javion Posey pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 18 yds to the UMass 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Javion Posey pass complete to BJ Emmons for 5 yds to the UMass 33

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

BJ Emmons run for 1 yd to the UMass 32

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Javion Posey pass incomplete

4th & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+31 ydsPPA +3.65

Javion Posey run for 31 yds to the UMass 1 Javion Posey fumbled, forced by Noah Boykin, recovered by FlAtl TJ Chase for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

BJ Emmons run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Koch pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus

4th & 5Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malcolm Davidson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 31

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Federico Maranges) to the FlAtl 29

3rd & 7Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.71

Javion Posey pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 31 yds to the UMass 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Javion Posey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Javion Posey run for 5 yds to the UMass 35

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Federico Maranges) to the UMass 40

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Javion Posey sacked by Uchenna Ezewike for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 47 Javion Posey fumbled, recovered by UMass Donte Lindsey , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Ellis Merriweather run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.06

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 6 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ellis Merriweather run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Ellis Merriweather run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.63

Ellis Merriweather run for no gain to the FlAtl 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

James Charles run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.22

James Charles run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ Chase

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.49

BJ Emmons run for 29 yds to the UMass 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

BJ Emmons run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 25

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the UMass 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds to the UMass 20

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.10

Javion Posey pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Koch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.55

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 9 yds to the UMass 29

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Koch run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlAtl 33

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.44

Javion Posey run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 29

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Javion Posey pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Javion Posey pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds, downed at the UMass 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Koch run for 4 yds to the UMass 34

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Ellis Merriweather run for 7 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Andrew Brito pass complete to Will Koch for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 36

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cam Roberson run for no gain to the UMass 36

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Will Koch pass incomplete to Ellis Merriweather

4th & 15Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 35

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

Javion Posey run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 31

2nd & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

BJ Emmons run for no gain to the FlAtl 31

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Javion Posey pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 52 yds , Samuel Emilus returns for no gain to the UMass 17

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Will Koch run for 11 yds to the UMass 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Koch pass complete to Victor Santiago for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 27

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 4 yds to the UMass 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.18

Will Koch pass complete to Melvin Hill for 10 yds to the UMass 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ellis Merriweather run for 1 yd to the UMass 42

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Josiah Johnson run for no gain to the UMass 42

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Will Koch pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlAtl 9

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Malcolm Davidson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Javion Posey pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 7 yds to the FlAtl 17

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Javion Posey run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Malcolm Davidson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Javion Posey sacked by Jake Byczko for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 20

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Javion Posey pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 26 yds, downed at the FlAtl 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Koch pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 6 yds to the FlAtl 40

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Will Koch pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Will Koch pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 45

4th & 9Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlAtl 11

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

James Charles run for no gain to the FlAtl 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Javion Posey run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Nick Weber) to the FlAtl 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Wright for 8 yds to the FlAtl 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Javion Posey run for 10 yds to the UMass 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Malcolm Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UMass 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 10 yds to the UMass 35

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Federico Maranges) to the UMass 40

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Willie Wright run for no gain to the UMass 40

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.70

Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 7 yds to the UMass 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ Chase

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

POSEY, Javion rush for no gain to the UMASS33 (PEAH, Avien), PENALTY UMASS face mask (PEAH, Avien) 15 yards to the UMASS18, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

BJ Emmons run for no gain to the UMass 18

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Willie Taggart Jr. run for no gain to the UMass 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Nick Tronti pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 12 yds to the UMass 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.80

BJ Emmons run for a loss of 5 yards to the UMass 11

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.47

Nick Tronti run for a loss of 2 yards to the UMass 13

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.33

Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Koch run for 3 yds to the UMass 28

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.90

Will Koch sacked by Ryan Veingrad for a loss of 7 yards to the UMass 21

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.47

Ellis Merriweather run for 13 yds to the UMass 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 30

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Javion Posey run for 70 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 1 yd to the UMass 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the UMass 28

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Koch run for 4 yds to the UMass 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 60 yds, downed at the FlAtl 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Javion Posey run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 9

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ Chase

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Javion Posey pass incomplete to BJ Emmons

4th & 9Blocked Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt blocked by Tanner Davis for a SAFETY blocked by Tanner Davis for a SAFETY for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 11 yds to the UMass 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Will Koch pass complete to Cam Roberson for 10 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Koch pass incomplete to Josiah Johnson

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Will Koch run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33 MASSACHUSETTS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 43

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Will Koch pass complete to Josiah Johnson for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Cam Roberson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36

4th & 5Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.90

Will Koch sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Javion Posey pass incomplete to Michael Irvin II

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.18

James Charles run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 37

3rd & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Javion Posey run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 49

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ Chase

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+2 ydsPPA -3.24

Will Koch pass intercepted Teja Young return for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

BJ Emmons run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 29

2nd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.72

Javion Posey sacked by Cole McCubrey for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 24

3rd & 14Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Javion Posey pass complete to Willie Wright for 19 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.74

Javion Posey run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 40

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Javion Posey pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44

3rd & 9Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.77

Javion Posey sacked by Avien Peah for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UMass 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 11 yds to the UMass 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.82

Garrett Dzuro sacked by Evan Anderson for a loss of 8 yards to the UMass 10

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Garrett Dzuro run for 2 yds to the UMass 12

3rd & 16Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 54 yds, downed at the FlAtl 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.76

Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 49 yds to the UMass 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Willie Taggart Jr. pass incomplete to Javion Posey, broken up by Gerrell Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Javion Posey run for 4 yds to the UMass 13

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Javion Posey pass incomplete to TJ Chase

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 yds

Vladimir Rivas 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

DZURO, Garrett pass complete to HILL, Melvin for 19 yards to the UMASS44 (MUNGIN, Romain), PENALTY UMASS pass interference (HILL, Melvin) 12 yards to the UMASS13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Melvin Hill

2nd & 22Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Ellis Merriweather run for 14 yds to the UMass 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Garrett Dzuro pass complete to Samuel Emilus for 12 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Samuel Emilus, broken up by Zyon Gilbert

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Victor Santiago

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Garrett Dzuro pass incomplete to Javon Turner

4th & 10Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

James Charles run for no gain to the FlAtl 27

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.41

Javion Posey sacked by Gerrell Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 18

4th & 16Punt+33 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds , Samuel Emilus returns for 33 yds to the FlAtl 27

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA -4.26

Garrett Dzuro pass intercepted David Belvin III return for 11 yds to the FlAtl 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.29

Javion Posey pass complete to Malcolm Davidson for 28 yds to the UMass 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Javion Posey pass complete to TJ Chase for 13 yds to the UMass 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-15 ydsPPA -3.14

Javion Posey sacked by Billy Wooden for a loss of 15 yards to the UMass 41 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

Situational Analysis

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
11%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida Atlantic

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
32%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
12 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
43%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play