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← Back to GamesDec 10, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida Atlantic by 13.7

Home Win Probability

Southern Miss 21%

Market (consensus)

Southern Miss +9.5

Edge: Florida Atlantic -9.5 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 10, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic
71014031
Southern MissSouthern Miss
101414745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-710-710-1017-1724-1731-1731-2438-3145-31
Southern MissFlorida Atlantic

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FASMFASMFASMFASMFASMFASMFASMFASMFASMFASMSMFASMFASMFASMPUNT34ydTO16ydTD120ydTO413ydPUNT38ydTD173ydPUNT630ydFG1260ydFG1248ydTD675ydTD777ydTD1375ydEND18ydTD680ydPUNT510ydPUNT522ydTD661ydTD00ydPUNT3-6ydTD3-7ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT615ydTD990ydDOWNS45ydDOWNS49ydTO1244ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Florida Atlantic and Southern Miss
StatisticFlorida AtlanticSouthern Miss
Passing17-3413-19
Pass Yards162209
Rush Yards164305
Total Yards326514
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-157-12
Penalties7-608-83
Possession28:4131:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Florida Atlantic
passing
Nick Tronti
17/33, 162 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
James Charles
16 CAR, 79 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Brandon Robinson
5 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Southern Miss
passing
Trey Lowe III
13/19, 209 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Frank Gore Jr.
9 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jason Brownlee
3 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

James Charles run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 25

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Tronti run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Nick Tronti pass complete to BJ Alexander for 4 yds to the FlAtl 28

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 58 yds, downed at the SoMis 14

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.34

Frank Gore Jr. run for 6 yds to the SoMis 20 Frank Gore Jr. fumbled, forced by Ahman Ross, recovered by FlAtl Caliph Brice

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 20 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Trey Lowe pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 6 yds to the SoMis 41

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Frank Gore Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 43

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.55

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -2.99

Trey Lowe pass intercepted Diashun Moss return for 6 yds to the FlAtl 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 25

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Nick Tronti run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to James Charles, broken up by Natrone Brooks

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 27

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Frank Gore Jr. run for 73 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.07

Nick Tronti pass complete to James Charles for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 22

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Nick Tronti pass complete to James Charles for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27

3rd & 9Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.51

Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 12 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, personal foul (Dominic Quewon) to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nick Tronti pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to BJ Alexander, broken up by Camron Harrell

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.19

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 20 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.55

Kevin Perkins run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SoMis 40

1st & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.34

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 27 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 31

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Frank Gore Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Trey Lowe run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Perkins run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Tim Jones

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee, broken up by Ashton McNeal

4th & 11Field Goal Good+38 yds

Briggs Bourgeois 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.40

Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 17 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

James Charles run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 47

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

James Charles run for 9 yds to the SoMis 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Nick Tronti run for 4 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

James Charles run for 7 yds to the SoMis 33

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Brandon Robinson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 10 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Tronti run for 3 yds to the SoMis 25

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 2 yds to the SoMis 23

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Nick Tronti run for 1 yd to the SoMis 22

4th & 4Field Goal Good+40 yds

Vladimir Rivas 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Frank Gore Jr. run for 12 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Trey Lowe pass complete to Antavious Willis for 12 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Trey Lowe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Frank Gore Jr. run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 42

3rd & 1Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.43

Trey Lowe pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 29 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Trey Lowe run for 13 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

James Charles run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 31

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Merrell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.59

Jordan Merrell run for 36 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Javion Posey run for 6 yds to the SoMis 25

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

James Charles run for 3 yds to the SoMis 22

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 27

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.99

Javion Posey run for 2 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the SoMis 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

James Charles run for 12 yds for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 11 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Kevin Perkins run for 9 yds to the SoMis 47

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.42

Frank Gore Jr. run for no gain to the SoMis 47

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Kevin Perkins run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 9 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 11 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.16

Trey Lowe sacked by Ahman Ross for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 29

2nd & 16Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.13

Trey Lowe run for 25 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Kevin Perkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Tim Jones

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 5 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

James Charles run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 41

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Trey Lowe pass complete to Antavious Willis for 16 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Frank Gore Jr. run for 5 yds to the SoMis 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the SoMis 42

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Kevin Perkins) to the SoMis 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.71

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 11 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Trey Lowe pass complete to Tim Jones for 9 yds to the FlAtl 43

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +2.86

Trey Lowe pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 43 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

James Charles run for 5 yds to the SoMis 43

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

James Charles run for 5 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to James Charles

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Tronti pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to TJ Chase, broken up by Malik Shorts

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 35 yds, downed at the SoMis 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kevin Perkins run for 5 yds to the SoMis 8

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Kevin Perkins run for 9 yds to the SoMis 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 18

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the SoMis 24

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the SoMis 25

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 36 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 39

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.95

Willie Wright run for 13 yds to the SOUMISS 48 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, personal foul (Josh Ratcliff) to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 10 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.47

Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 16 yds to the SoMis 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

Kelvin Dean Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 9

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

James Charles run for 8 yds to the SoMis 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

James Charles run for 1 yd for a TD, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Aaron Shahriari kickoff for 65 yds , Camron Harrell return for 100 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Kelvin Dean Jr.

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Tronti run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 13

3rd & 12Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.08

Nick Tronti sacked by Michael Pleas Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 9

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Dee Baker run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Darius Maberry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 46

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+43 ydsPPA -1.88

Trey Lowe run for a loss of 6 yards Trey Lowe fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Armani-Eli Adams , return for 43 yds, (Vladimir Rivas KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 30

2nd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.72

Trey Lowe sacked by Leighton McCarthy for a loss of 6 yards to the SoMis 24

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Trey Lowe pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Griffin Fleming punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 36

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

James Charles run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 45

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

CHARLES, James rush up middle for no gain to the FAU45 (MAPLES, Hayes), PENALTY FAU illegal formation 5 yards to the FAU40, NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.69

Nick Tronti pass complete to Brandon Robinson for 13 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

TRONTI, Nick rush scramble for no gain to the USM47 (MAPLES, Hayes), PENALTY FAU illegal cut (PETERSON, Logan) 15 yards to the FAU38, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

James Charles run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Javion Posey pass incomplete to Kelvin Dean Jr.

3rd & 23Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.42

Nick Tronti pass complete to James Charles for 11 yds to the SoMis 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Natrone Brooks at the SoMis 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Kevin Perkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the SoMis 14

3rd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.47

Trey Lowe run for 16 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.90

Darius Maberry run for 41 yds to the FlAtl 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.24

Kevin Perkins run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kevin Perkins run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 5

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.72

Darius Maberry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Darius Maberry run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kevin Perkins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 5 yds to the FlAtl 35

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Nick Tronti pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Willie Taggart Jr.

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.01

Nick Tronti pass incomplete, broken up by Ky'el Hemby

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Demarcus Jones run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 27

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Demarcus Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 28

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Arvin Fletcher) to the FlAtl 33

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Trey Lowe run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 32

4th & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA -2.04

Trey Lowe run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 26

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TRONTI, Nick rush scramble for 5 yards to the FAU31, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FAU holding (CHARLES, James) 10 yards to the FAU16, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Nick Tronti pass complete to Jordan Merrell for 3 yds to the FlAtl 19

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Nick Tronti pass complete to BJ Alexander for 12 yds to the FlAtl 31

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Nick Tronti run for no gain to the FlAtl 31

4th & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.23

Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 8 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nick Tronti pass complete to James Charles for 4 yds to the FlAtl 43

2nd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.93

Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Taggart Jr. for 19 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Brandon Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Tronti pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Willie Taggart Jr.

4th & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.17

Nick Tronti pass complete to Willie Wright for 13 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Jordan Merrell) to the SoMis 30

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Nick Tronti pass incomplete to Willie Taggart Jr., broken up by Camron Harrell

2nd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.20

Nick Tronti pass intercepted, touchback. Ky'el Hemby return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 19

Situational Analysis

Florida Atlantic

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
25 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Southern Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play