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← Back to GamesJan 3, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 0.8

Home Win Probability

North Carolina 51%

Market (consensus)

North Carolina +10

Edge: North Carolina +10 (10.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 3, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
71002441
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
3107727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-76-76-1013-1720-1720-2027-2727-41
North CarolinaTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TANCTANCTANCTANCTANCNCTANCTANCTANCTANCTANCTANCTANCTAPUNT37ydTO3-7ydTD728ydFG1163ydPUNT36ydFG1136ydFG768ydTD875ydTD875ydEND10ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-3ydTD966ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydFG1274ydTD175ydTD775ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydPUNT414ydTD387ydDOWNS49ydTD334ydDOWNS615ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and North Carolina
StatisticTexas A&MNorth Carolina
Passing16-2618-31
Pass Yards232234
Rush Yards22590
Total Yards457324
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-135-15
Penalties9-875-38
Possession32:1327:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Kellen Mond
16/26, 232 YDS
rushing
Devon Achane
12 CAR, 140 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ainias Smith
6 REC, 125 YDS
defense
North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
18/31, 234 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
British Brooks
15 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Josh Downs
4 REC, 91 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 18

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

British Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 16

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Brian Anderson) to the NCaro 11

3rd & 17Pass Interception Return+25 ydsPPA +0.35

Sam Howell pass intercepted Andre White Jr. return for 10 yds to the NCaro 21 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the NCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the NCaro 22

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the NCaro 19

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.14

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the NCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the NCaro 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah Jones

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 7 yds to the NCaro 9

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.94

Isaiah Spiller run for 9 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.73

British Brooks run for 17 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

British Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 14 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Sam Howell run for 13 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Asim Richards) to the TexAM 17

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the TexAM 11

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sam Howell run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 14 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Hezekiah Jones) to the TexAM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Khafre Brown

2nd & 7Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Sam Howell sacked by Buddy Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 9

3rd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.77

Josh Downs run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 12

4th & 12Field Goal Good+29 yds

Grayson Atkins 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the TexAM 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for no gain to the TexAM 31

4th & 4Punt+23 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 23 yds to the NCaro 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

British Brooks run for 4 yds to the TexAM 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

British Brooks run for 1 yd to the TexAM 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Henderson for 2 yds to the TexAM 44

4th & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.82

Sam Howell run for 15 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Josh Henderson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 21

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.32

British Brooks run for 5 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for no gain to the TexAM 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 15

4th & 9Field Goal Good+32 yds

Grayson Atkins 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 31 yds to the NCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 6Rush+27 yds

Kellen Mond run for 14 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Morrison) to the NCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kellen Mond run for 2 yds to the NCaro 11

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the NCaro 7

4th & 4Field Goal Good+25 yds

Seth Small 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

British Brooks run for 1 yd to the NCaro 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Khafre Brown

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 10 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Sam Howell run for 1 yd to the NCaro 37

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jayden Peevy) to the NCaro 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.39

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 12 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Sam Howell run for 18 yds to the TexAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 28 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Kellen Mond sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 7 yds to the TexAM 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.46

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 27 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Kellen Mond sacked by Trey Morrison for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 47

2nd & 18Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.99

Kellen Mond run for 14 yds to the NCaro 39

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.45

Isaiah Spiller run for 13 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.26

Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 23 yds to the NCaro 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

British Brooks run for no gain to the NCaro 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

British Brooks run for 3 yds to the NCaro 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 2 yds to the NCaro 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz Newsome

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 4 yds to the TexAM 25

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexAM 15

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 17

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase Lane

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 5 yds to the TexAM 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.15

Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 26 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Sam Howell run for no gain to the TexAM 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 14 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 9 yds to the TexAM 17

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Josh Henderson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Sam Howell run for 1 yd to the TexAM 15

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TexAM 10

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.78

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 10 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah Jones

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Devon Achane run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32

3rd & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.58

Kellen Mond sacked by Tony Grimes for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 24

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 1 yd to the NCaro 31

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Howell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 33

4th & 1Punt+1 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 47 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 1 yd to the TexAM 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 25

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.65

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 18 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Renick) to the TexAM 44

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.29

Kellen Mond pass complete to Devon Achane for 15 yds to the NCaro 41

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Devon Achane run for no gain to the NCaro 41

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Desmond Evans) to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds to the NCaro 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 yds

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 14 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyler McMichael) to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the NCaro 5

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Carson Green) to the NCaro 10

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kellen Mond run for 5 yds to the NCaro 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Seth Small 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 75 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Hezekiah Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 5 yds to the TexAM 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Kellen Mond pass complete to Hezekiah Jones for 10 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.70

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 54 yds to the NCaro 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the NCaro 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Kellen Mond run for 4 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Khafre Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Howell pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 1 yd to the NCaro 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCaro 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

British Brooks run for 4 yds to the NCaro 44

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Bobby Brown III) to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.31

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 43

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

British Brooks run for no gain to the TexAM 43

3rd & 12Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.19

Sam Howell sacked by McKinnley Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 46

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Kellen Mond pass complete to Devon Achane for 9 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.15

Devon Achane run for 76 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

British Brooks run for 9 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Sam Howell pass incomplete to British Brooks

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

British Brooks run for no gain to the NCaro 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Josh Henderson run for no gain to the NCaro 34

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the NCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.73

Devon Achane run for 22 yds to the NCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Devon Achane run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 9 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 8 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.23

Sam Howell sacked by Tyree Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 38

3rd & 14Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.44

Sam Howell sacked by Tyree Johnson and Andre White Jr. for a loss of 13 yards to the NCaro 25

4th & 27Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.39

Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 15 yds to the NCaro 40

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 41

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
30%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play