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← Back to GamesJan 2, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa State by 4.5

Home Win Probability

Iowa State 60%

Market (consensus)

Iowa State -4.5

Edge: Iowa State -4.5 (0.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
7100017
Iowa StateIowa State
7213334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-714-1428-1731-1734-17
Iowa StateOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ISOREISOREISOREISISOREISOREISISOREISOREISOREISOREISTD1575ydTD773ydTD1469ydTO2-10ydDOWNS813ydTD998ydTD675ydTD327ydFG848ydEND1-1ydPUNT422ydTO1037ydFG4-2ydPUNT37ydPUNT33ydTO38ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydFG1355ydTO836ydEND722yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Iowa State
StatisticOregonIowa State
Passing19-2820-29
Pass Yards226156
Rush Yards86228
Total Yards312384
Turnovers40
3rd Down0-611-19
Penalties3-304-20
Possession17:1242:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Anthony Brown
12/19, 147 YDS
rushing
Travis Dye
8 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Johnny Johnson III
4 REC, 41 YDS
defense
Iowa State
passing
Brock Purdy
20/29, 156 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Breece Hall
34 CAR, 136 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Charlie Kolar
5 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Brock Purdy pass complete to Landen Akers for 16 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.92

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.78

Brock Purdy pass complete to Sean Shaw Jr. for 7 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the Oregn 43

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Brock Purdy run for 10 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Dylan Soehner

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 10 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Breece Hall run for 9 yds to the Oregn 9

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Oregn 9

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.49

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Oregn 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 4 yds to the Oregn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyler Shough run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 26

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 12 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Shough run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.93

Tyler Shough pass complete to Travis Dye for 18 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 11 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.74

Travis Dye run for 23 yds to the IowSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Anthony Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Henry Katleman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the IowSt 37

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Derek Schweiger) to the IowSt 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.35

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 10 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Kene Nwangwu run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.44

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Oregn 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Brock Purdy pass complete to Dylan Soehner for 10 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Oregn 31

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 26

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Breece Hall run for no gain to the Oregn 26

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.12

Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brock Purdy run for 4 yds to the Oregn 15

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Oregn 14

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 14 yds for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.22

Mycah Pittman run for a loss of 10 yards to the Oregn 15

2nd & 20Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.30

Travis Dye run for no gain to the Oregn 15 Travis Dye fumbled, forced by Isheem Young, recovered by IowSt O'Rien Vance

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe Scates

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 12

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 6 yds to the Oregn 6

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.19

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Brock Purdy run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brock Purdy pass complete to Breece Hall for 4 yds to the Oregn 1

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.21

Breece Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.57

Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 12 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.23

Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 19 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to DJ Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 11 yds to the Oregn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.13

Travis Dye run for 15 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 14 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Anthony Brown pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 11 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Anthony Brown run for 16 yds for a TD (Henry Katleman KICK)

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.98

Brock Purdy run for 14 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Isaac Slade-Matautia) to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.97

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 30 yds to the Oregn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Breece Hall run for 7 yds to the Oregn 9

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.38

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Brock Purdy run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 8 yds to the Oregn 19

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.31

Breece Hall run for 18 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Breece Hall run for 1 yd for a TD (Connor Assalley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.29

Anthony Brown pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 26 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (George Moore) to the Oregn 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.98

Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 17 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the IowSt 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Brown pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 4 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Steven Jones) to the IowSt 37

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Anthony Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 8 yds to the IowSt 29

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Devon Williams

4th & 12Field Goal Good+47 yds

Henry Katleman 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 19 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.20

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for 5 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Kene Nwangwu run for 9 yds to the IowSt 40

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Kene Nwangwu run for 9 yds to the Oregn 45

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.21

Breece Hall run for 5 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Xavier Hutchinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.03

Brock Purdy pass complete to Xavier Hutchinson for no gain to the Oregn 40

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Brock Purdy sacked by Jordon Scott for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 43

4th & 13Punt+28 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 28 yds , Mykael Wright returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 14 Mykael Wright fumbled, recovered by IowSt Gerry Vaughn

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for a loss of 5 yards to the Oregn 16

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+33 yds

Connor Assalley 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Anthony Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 7 yds to the Oregn 48

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tarique Milton at the IowSt 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the IowSt 14

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Darren Wilson Jr.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Brock Purdy pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 48 yds , Josh Delgado returns for 5 yds to the Oregn 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 47

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the IowSt 49

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -2.20

Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the IowSt 43 Anthony Brown fumbled, forced by Jake Hummel, recovered by IowSt O'Rien Vance

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brock Purdy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 44

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the IowSt 48

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Brock Purdy pass complete to Tarique Milton for 1 yd to the IowSt 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joe Rivera punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Josh Delgado at the Oregn 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyler Shough pass complete to DJ Johnson for 8 yds to the Oregn 23

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 24

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the Oregn 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 53 yds, downed at the IowSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 8 yds to the IowSt 31

2nd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.47

Breece Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 28

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 23

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.83

Brock Purdy pass complete to Charlie Kolar for 11 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Breece Hall run for 6 yds to the IowSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the IowSt 41

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (Darrell Simmons Jr.) to the IowSt 36

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brock Purdy run for 9 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IOWA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 40

1st & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.26

Breece Hall run for 19 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Brock Purdy pass incomplete to Joe Scates

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Kene Nwangwu run for 11 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Breece Hall run for 2 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Breece Hall run for 1 yd to the Oregn 27

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brock Purdy pass complete to Chase Allen for 5 yds to the Oregn 22

4th & 2Field Goal Good+39 yds

Connor Assalley 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 5 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Sean Dollars

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Tyler Shough pass complete to Josh Delgado for 20 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyler Shough sacked by Will McDonald IV for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 5 yds to the IowSt 34

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the IowSt 33

4th & 5Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -2.19

Tyler Shough pass intercepted Mike Rose return for 12 yds to the IowSt 42

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kene Nwangwu run for 3 yds to the IowSt 45

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Kene Nwangwu run for 6 yds to the Oregn 49

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.14

Breece Hall run for 4 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Breece Hall run for 3 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kene Nwangwu run for 5 yds to the Oregn 37

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Kene Nwangwu run for 2 yds to the Oregn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 36

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
55%
22 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
43%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
8 plays
14%
7 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays