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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2020Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 6.4

Home Win Probability

App State 64%

Market (consensus)

App State -3

Edge: App State -3 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 5, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisianaLouisiana
0915024
App StateApp State
7301121

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-610-910-1710-2417-2419-2421-24
App StateLouisiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUDOWNS1034ydTD850ydDOWNS110ydMISS42ydPUNT624ydTO524ydTD649ydTO626ydPUNT30ydFG823ydEND646ydTO63ydTD952ydPUNT3-3ydTD1074ydTD1480ydSAF4-26ydDOWNS1033ydSAF4-27ydMISS942ydUncategorized1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisiana and App State
StatisticLouisianaApp State
Passing8-2410-21
Pass Yards10192
Rush Yards124198
Total Yards225290
Turnovers03
3rd Down6-159-16
Penalties2-205-46
Possession28:5131:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisiana
passing
Levi Lewis
8/23, 101 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Elijah Mitchell
12 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Jalen Williams
2 REC, 39 YDS
defense
App State
passing
Zac Thomas
10/21, 92 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Camerun Peoples
21 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
4 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.03

Elijah Mitchell run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Trey Ragas run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 49

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 48

4th & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 42

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.28

Zac Thomas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.17

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Levi Lewis run for 5 yds to the AppSt 45

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the AppSt 41

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.95

Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 40

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Mike Evans

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 20

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26

3rd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.12

Levi Lewis run for 26 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.57

Levi Lewis run for a loss of 9 yards to the LaLaf 44 Levi Lewis fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Max Mitchell

4th & 18Punt+10 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds , Malik Williams returns for 10 yds to the AppSt 27

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the AppSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.46

Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 49 Camerun Peoples fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Zi'Yon Hill , return for 2 yds to the AppSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 12 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 5 yds to the AppSt 32

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.28

Levi Lewis run for 16 yds to the AppSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 8 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 7 yds to the AppSt 35

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.05

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.46

Zac Thomas pass intercepted Chauncey Manac return for no gain to the LaLaf 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif Gossett

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+36 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 40 yds , Malik Williams returns for 36 yds to the LaLaf 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 45

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41

4th & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.35

Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 7 yds to the LaLaf 24

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.08

Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 26

4th & 5Field Goal Good+43 yds

Chandler Staton 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 22 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.33

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 17 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the AppSt 9

4th & 2Field Goal Good+26 yds

Kenneth Almendares 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the AppSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.06

Zac Thomas sacked by Chauncey Manac and Andre Jones for a loss of 11 yards to the AppSt 25

2nd & 21Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28

3rd & 18Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.26

Zac Thomas pass intercepted Mekhi Garner return for no gain to the LaLaf 48

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the AppSt 45

4th & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.69

Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the AppSt 20

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 17

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Trey Ragas run for 17 yds for a TD Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 07:52 (L. Lewis Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Zac Thomas pass incomplete

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Zac Thomas sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 29

4th & 13Punt+3 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 48 yds , Eric Garror returns for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Elijah Mitchell run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 32

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.61

Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+46 ydsPPA +2.38

Elijah Mitchell run for 46 yds to the AppSt 16 Elijah Mitchell fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Peter LeBlanc for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 8 yds to the AppSt 8

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 7

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.05

Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty+1 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (1 Yards) to the AppSt 2

1st & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Levi Lewis run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the AppSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Trey Ragas run for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.15

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.32

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 40 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 25

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

3rd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.58

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 16 yds to the AppSt 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.31

Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 15 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Zac Thomas pass complete to Milan Tucker for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.27

Zac Thomas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23

3rd & 3Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.11

Camerun Peoples run for 22 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 29

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 5Safety-31 ydsPPA -1.91

TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Marcus Williams Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 38

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Marcus Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.88

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

Peoples, Camerun rush for 6 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE41, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE substitution infraction 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 12 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 24

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23

4th & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -2.65

Zac Thomas sacked by Ferrod Gardner and Chauncey Manac for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 35

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 2Safety-35 ydsPPA -2.17

TEAM run for a loss of 35 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 12 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 4 yds to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik Williams

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Virgil, Jalen, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE pass interference 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APPALCHAN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

3rd & 10Field Goal Missed+30 yds

Chandler Staton 30 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 18

Situational Analysis

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
60%
15 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
30%
27 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
0%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play