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← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oklahoma State by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Baylor 44%

Market (consensus)

Baylor +6

Edge: Baylor +6 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oklahoma StateOklahoma State
14147742
BaylorBaylor
00033

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-140-210-280-353-353-42
BaylorOklahoma State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSBAYBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSBAYOSTD275ydPUNT3-8ydTO624ydPUNT514ydTD1192ydPUNT49ydTD667ydPUNT3-9ydTD450ydPUNT515ydPUNT36ydPUNT414ydPUNT1123ydEND822ydPUNT33ydDOWNS49ydPUNT33ydTO551ydPUNT613ydTD875ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT627ydFG1457ydTD775ydPUNT511ydEND424yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oklahoma State and Baylor
StatisticOklahoma StateBaylor
Passing20-3018-34
Pass Yards34786
Rush Yards26170
Total Yards608156
Turnovers20
3rd Down10-154-17
Penalties4-255-40
Possession33:4526:15

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oklahoma State
passing
Spencer Sanders
20/30, 347 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Dominic Richardson
23 CAR, 169 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Dillon Stoner
8 REC, 247 YDS, 3 TD
defense
Baylor
passing
Charlie Brewer
13/26, 68 YDS
rushing
Taye Mcwilliams
5 CAR, 33 YDS
receiving
Qualan Jones
8 REC, 37 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Landon Wolf

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Dillon Stoner 75 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Brady Pohl Kick)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.53

Charlie Brewer sacked by Trace Ford for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 45 Charlie Brewer fumbled, forced by Trace Ford, recovered by Bayl Blake Bedier , return for 0 yards

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 44

4th & 18Punt+33 yds

Issac Power punt for 33 yds , Brennan Presley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 8 yds to the OKSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.86

Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Preston Wilson) to the OKSt 28

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Jelani Woods

2nd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.77

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 18 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.82

Spencer Sanders pass intercepted Christian Morgan return for no gain to the Bayl 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Trestan Ebner run for 3 yds to the Bayl 40

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Trestan Ebner run for 8 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyler Henderson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the OKSt 49

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

Issac Power punt for 44 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 10

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 14

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.81

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 8 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.92

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 35 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the Bayl 43

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dezmon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Jackson, Dezmon rush for 7 yards to the BAYLOR23, PENALTY BAYLOR offside 5 yards to the BAYLOR25, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 3 yds to the Bayl 22

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.28

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 5 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Tay Martin for 2 yds to the Bayl 15

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.77

Dillon Stoner 15 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Brady Pohl Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 12 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Bayl 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 34

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+15 yds

Issac Power punt for 48 yds , Brennan Presley returns for 15 yds to the OKSt 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Spencer Sanders run for 6 yds to the OKSt 39

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Dominic Richardson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon Stoner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 9 yds to the Bayl 45

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.05

Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

Dillon Stoner 40 Yd pass from Spencer Sanders (Brady Pohl Kick)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Gavin Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 21

2nd & 13Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.30

Qualan Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 15

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Dezmon Jackson run for 13 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.47

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 20 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Dominic Richardson 17 Yd Run (Brady Pohl Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Trestan Ebner run for 9 yds to the Bayl 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Trestan Ebner run for 7 yds to the Bayl 43

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.87

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Trestan Ebner

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon Stoner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Spencer Sanders for 1 yd to the OKSt 28

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dezmon Jackson for 5 yds to the OKSt 33

4th & 4Punt+43 yds

Jake McClure punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the BAYLOR 34 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.87

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 21 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Qualan Jones run for 2 yds to the Bayl 47

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.10

Charlie Brewer sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 38

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Seth Jones

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Tay Martin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the OKSt 36

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.48

Spencer Sanders run for 4 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Dominic Richardson run for 12 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 42

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Spencer Sanders run for 5 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -2.82

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the Bayl 37 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 47

1st & 20Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.12

Spencer Sanders sacked by Jalen Pitre for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 44

2nd & 29Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 48

3rd & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 48

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Jake McClure punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 5 yds to the Bayl 20

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Qualan Jones

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 6 yds to the Bayl 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin Holmes

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 6 yds to the Bayl 32

4th & 4Penalty+5 yds

Power, Issac punt 43 yards to the OKLAST25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY OKLAST running into kicker 5 yards to the BAYLOR37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Qualan Jones

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 11

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 4 yds to the Bayl 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Seth Jones

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 35

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.66

Spencer Sanders sacked by TJ Franklin and Abram Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 40

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Dezmon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 33

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dezmon Jackson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 28

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.89

Spencer Sanders run for 2 yds to the Bayl 26

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Khalil Keith) to the Bayl 21

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 7 yds to the Bayl 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Qualan Jones for 4 yds to the Bayl 32

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.62

Charlie Brewer sacked by Kolby Harvell-Peel for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 29

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 28

2nd & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +4.05

Dominic Richardson run for 53 yds to the Bayl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Josh Sills) to the Bayl 24

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon Stoner

2nd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the Bayl 21

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.33

Spencer Sanders pass intercepted, touchback. Zeke Brown return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Taye McWilliams run for 6 yds to the Bayl 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Taye McWilliams run for 3 yds to the Bayl 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Bayl 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Charlie Brewer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jaylen Ellis for 2 yds to the Bayl 33

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.42

Spencer Sanders run for 9 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dezmon Jackson run for no gain to the OKSt 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.70

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 50 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Spencer Sanders pass incomplete to Dillon Stoner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 8 yds to the Bayl 7

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.39

Jelani Woods run for 5 yds to the Bayl 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Dominic Richardson 2 Yd Run (Brady Pohl Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the Bayl 32

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Trestan Ebner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 31

3rd & 7Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.49

Jacob Zeno sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 25

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the OKSt 34

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Dominic Richardson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (William Bradley-King) to the OKSt 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Landon Wolf for 13 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the Bayl 45

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dominic Richardson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 41

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 39

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jake McClure punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Bayl 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the Bayl 28

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Qualan Jones run for 5 yds to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Qualan Jones for 2 yds to the Bayl 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Tyler Henderson for 1 yd to the Bayl 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Jacob Zeno pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 8 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.39

Taye McWilliams run for 17 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Taye McWilliams run for 6 yds to the OKSt 33

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Jacob Zeno run for 9 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Taye McWilliams run for 1 yd to the OKSt 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Taye McWilliams

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 yds

John Mayers 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Dominic Richardson run for 43 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.49

Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 37 Dominic Richardson fumbled, recovered by OKSt Dominic Richardson

2nd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Spencer Sanders run for 11 yds to the Bayl 26

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Dominic Richardson run for 8 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.65

Spencer Sanders pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 17 yds to the Bayl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Dominic Richardson run for no gain to the Bayl 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dominic Richardson 1 Yd Run (Brady Pohl Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Qualan Jones for 8 yds to the Bayl 34

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Qualan Jones run for 4 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Jacob Zeno pass complete to Qualan Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 37

2nd & 11Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.42

Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the Bayl 42 BAYLOR Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Jake Burton) to the Bayl 27

3rd & 21Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.16

Qualan Jones run for 10 yds to the Bayl 37

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Issac Power punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 21

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.09

Micah Cooper run for 14 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Micah Cooper run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Micah Cooper run for 1 yd to the OKSt 40

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.92

Micah Cooper run for 5 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Oklahoma State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
30%
30 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
69%
16 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Baylor

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
4th