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← Back to GamesDec 13, 2020Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 21.4

Home Win Probability

BYU 89%

Market (consensus)

BYU -16.5

Edge: BYU -16.5 (4.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 13, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
1400014
BYUBYU
7103828

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-77-1414-1420-1428-14
BYUSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUSDSBYUTD1075ydTD977ydTO18ydTD633ydPUNT515ydTO1258ydTD554ydPUNT821ydPUNT623ydPUNT38ydEND635ydTO567ydFG1380ydDOWNS1247ydTD772ydDOWNS1572ydPUNT39ydTO816ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and BYU
StatisticSan Diego StateBYU
Passing21-3126-35
Pass Yards231303
Rush Yards16882
Total Yards399385
Turnovers21
3rd Down10-176-11
Penalties2-255-25
Possession36:4323:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Jordon Brookshire
21/31, 231 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kaegun Williams
17 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jesse Matthews
5 REC, 51 YDS
defense
BYU
passing
Zach Wilson
26/35, 303 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Lopini Katoa
14 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Dax Milne
8 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 18 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 9 yds to the SDSt 48

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Wilson, Zach pass incomplete to Pau'u, Neil, PENALTY BYU ineligible downfield on pass (Christensen, Brady) 5 yards to the BYU47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Lopini Katoa run for 10 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Zach Wilson pass complete to Brayden Cosper for 5 yds to the SDSt 38

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Lopini Katoa

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.33

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 21 yds to the SDSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Brayden Cosper

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Wilson run for 5 yds to the SDSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the SDSt 29

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.65

Jordon Brookshire run for 6 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kaegun Williams run for 5 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.45

Kaegun Williams run for 12 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordon Brookshire run for 4 yds to the BYU 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Greg Bell for 14 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Kaegun Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 28

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordon Brookshire run for 3 yds to the BYU 25

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.32

Kaegun Williams run for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.92

Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 8 yds Isaac Rex fumbled, forced by Michael Shawcroft, recovered by SDSt Tariq Thompson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordon Brookshire run for 3 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the BYU 24

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.99

Tanner Kuljian run for 6 yds to the BYU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 3 yds to the BYU 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 15 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 6 yds to the BYU 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Lopini Katoa run for 9 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by BJ Busbee at the SDSt 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to BJ Busbee

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 20

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.72

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 13 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSt 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Kaegun Williams run for 9 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jordon Brookshire run for no gain to the BYU 41

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the BYU 36

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.26

Jordon Brookshire run for 7 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Caden Haws) to the BYU 24

1st & 5Pass Interception Return-4 ydsPPA -4.80

Jordon Brookshire pass intercepted for a 1ST down Drew Jensen return for 11 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Greg Bell) to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 7 yds to the SDSt 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the SDSt 45

4th & 1Rush+43 ydsPPA +4.22

Lopini Katoa run for 43 yds to the SDSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Byrd run for 4 yds to the SDSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 6 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jordan Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.76

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 46

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Kaegun Williams run for no gain to the SDSt 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Elijah Kothe

4th & 10Punt+1 yds

Tanner Kuljian punt for 43 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for 1 yd to the BYU 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.52

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 11 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.51

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 11 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.90

Zach Wilson sacked by Cameron Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 26

2nd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 9 yds to the BYU 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jesse Matthews at the SDSt 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 16

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 17

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the SDSt 23

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tanner Kuljian punt for 45 yds, downed at the BYU 32

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Wilson, Zach pass complete to Cosper, Brayden for 5 yards to the BYU37, PENALTY BYU illegal formation 5 yards to the BYU27, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 2 yds to the BYU 29

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.44

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 15 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.32

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 19 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (James Empey) to the SDSt 42

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 9 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Greg Bell for 28 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Greg Bell run for 22 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Bracken El-Bakri) to the BYU 20

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 16

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.46

Kaegun Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -4.49

Kaegun Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 8 Kaegun Williams fumbled, forced by Kavika Fonua, recovered by BYU Seleti Fevaleaki

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.40

Zach Wilson sacked by Jonah Tavai for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 6

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 9

3rd & 9Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.23

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 28 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 11 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 7 yds to the SDSt 45

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 4 yds to the SDSt 35

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

3rd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.33

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 19 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.54

Neil Pau'u run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 18

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 6 yds to the SDSt 12

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jake Oldroyd 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 8 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 32

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 4 yds to the SDSt 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.00

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Dominic Benson for 15 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the BYU 47

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kaegun Williams run for 6 yds to the BYU 41

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.03

Kaegun Williams run for 5 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 32

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Nolan Givan

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the BYU 28

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.01

Jordon Brookshire run for no gain to the BYU 28

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Lopini Katoa run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 3 yds to the BYU 29

3rd & 9Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.95

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 34 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the SDSt 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.51

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 14 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 20 yds for a TD (Zach Wilson pass to Lopini Katoa for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brookshire, Jordon pass complete to Bell, Greg for 9 yards to the SANDIEGOST34, PENALTY SANDIEGOST holding 10 yards to the SANDIEGOST15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the SDSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kaegun Williams run for 5 yds to the SDSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.19

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Nolan Givan for 13 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to TJ Sullivan

3rd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.66

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 17 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to TJ Sullivan for 4 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaegun Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Nolan Givan for 8 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 12 yds to the BYU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the BYU 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the BYU 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Greg Bell run for no gain to the BYU 1

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.21

Jordon Brookshire run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 3

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the BYU 5

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Lopini Katoa run for 6 yds to the BYU 11

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Lopini Katoa run for 1 yd to the BYU 12

4th & 1Punt+13 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 37 yds , Jesse Matthews returns for 13 yds to the BYU 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.54

Jordon Brookshire sacked by George Udo for a loss of 8 yards to the BYU 44

3rd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 5 yds to the BYU 39

4th & 13Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.71

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to TJ Sullivan for 27 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 5 yds to the BYU 7

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete to Isaiah Richardson

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete

4th & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -3.89

TEAM run for a loss of 13 yards to the BYU 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by SDSt Jordon Brookshire

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 19

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
27%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
45%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play