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← Back to GamesDec 13, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 51%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State +2.5

Edge: Oregon State +2.5 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 13, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
6371127
Oregon StateOregon State
777324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-614-614-921-1621-2424-2424-27
Oregon StateStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTASTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTATD1175ydTD877ydPUNT39ydPUNT613ydTD488ydPUNT613ydPUNT42ydPUNT38ydPUNT634ydFG757ydPUNT526ydEND29ydTD671ydTD975ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT613ydTD1390ydFG1367ydFG1062ydTO949ydEND2-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Oregon State
StatisticStanfordOregon State
Passing21-2917-30
Pass Yards292221
Rush Yards116237
Total Yards408458
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-116-14
Penalties5-667-86
Possession30:5329:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Davis Mills
21/29, 292 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Austin Jones
22 CAR, 126 YDS
receiving
Simi Fehoko
6 REC, 110 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
17/30, 221 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jermar Jefferson
18 CAR, 80 YDS
receiving
Tre'Shaun Harrison
5 REC, 91 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 12 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 43

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 45

4th & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.74

Jack Colletto run for 8 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Jermar Jefferson run for 12 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Stanf 26

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Stanf 18

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.82

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 18 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the Stanf 31

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Austin Jones run for 9 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+6 yds

Mills,D pass incomplete to Tremayne,B, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Wright, Nahshon) 6 yards to the STAN46, 1ST DOWN STAN, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 10 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Davis Mills pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 13 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.15

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 12 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Davis Mills pass complete to Tucker Fisk for 12 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 5 yds to the OrgSt 23

4th & 1Punt+30 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 45 yds OREGON ST Penalty, kick catching interference (Tre'Shaun Harrison) to the Stanf 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.31

Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Nathaniel Peat run for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 44

3rd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Davis Mills run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 40

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+61 ydsPPA +3.99

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 61 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Stanf 22

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyjon Lindsey run for 14 yds to the Stanf 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 8 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 3 yds to the Stanf 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 10 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Nathaniel Peat, broken up by Andrzej Hughes-Murray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi Fehoko

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins, broken up by Jaydon Grant

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 14 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Jefferson, J. rush for loss of 3 yards to the OSU31 (Williams,N), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Levengood, Jake) 15 yards to the OSU19, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Chance Nolan run for no gain to the OrgSt 19

2nd & 25Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 15

3rd & 29Penalty0 yds

Jefferson, J. rush for 26 yards to the OSU41 (Herron,S), PENALTY OSU holding off-setting, PENALTY STAN holding off-setting, NO PLAY.

3rd & 29Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.01

Chance Nolan pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 7 yds to the OrgSt 22

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Jones,A rush for no gain to the STAN41 (Julian, Alton), PENALTY STAN holding (Hornibrook,J) 10 yards to the STAN31, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.10

Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 15 yds to the Stanf 46

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 49

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Davis Mills run for no gain to the Stanf 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kolby Taylor at the OrgSt 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 11 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Chance Nolan run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 6 yds to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor, broken up by Jonathan McGill

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 5 yds to the Stanf 19

2nd & 5Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.34

Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 40 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 11 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.19

Davis Mills sacked by Isaac Hodgins for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 34

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 5 yds to the OrgSt 29

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi Fehoko

4th & 9Field Goal Good+47 yds

Jet Toner 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 19 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Jermar Jefferson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Chance Nolan run for 9 yds to the Stanf 47

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.61

Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Chance Nolan punt for 22 yds, downed at the Stanf 27

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.92

Austin Jones run for 21 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Mills,D pass complete to Fehoko,S for 52 yards to the OSU0, clock 00:00, PENALTY STAN holding (Dalman,D) 10 yards to the STAN38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.76

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 36

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.02

Austin Jones run for 7 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi Fehoko

3rd & 9Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +5.51

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 57 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Davis Mills run for 1 yd for a TD (Jet Toner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Tyjon Lindsey run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Jack Colletto run for 7 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Chance Nolan run for 1 yd to the Stanf 44

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Stanf 38

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.13

Jack Colletto run for 8 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 30 yds for a TD STANFORD Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Davis Mills pass incomplete

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.79

Davis Mills sacked by Nahshon Wright for a loss of 8 yards to the Stanf 28 Davis Mills fumbled, recovered by Stanf Davis Mills , return for 0 yards

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.94

Jack Colletto run for 9 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Chance Nolan sacked by Dalyn Wade-Perry for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 47

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+57 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 47 yds for a touchback STANFORD Penalty, Offensive holding (Donjae Logan)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the Stanf 16

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.25

Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 5 yds to the Stanf 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 25

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.18

Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 10 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Davis Mills sacked by Kitan Oladapo for a loss of 7 yards to the Stanf 29 Davis Mills fumbled, recovered by Stanf Nathaniel Peat , return for 0 yards

2nd & 16Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.04

Austin Jones run for 20 yds to the Stanf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Davis Mills run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Austin Jones run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Austin Jones run for no gain to the OrgSt 31

3rd & 2Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 18 yds to the OrgSt 13 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 7 yds to the OrgSt 6

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

Davis Mills run for 6 yds for a TD OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Rejzohn Wright) to the OrgSt 1 (Davis Mills pass for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 13 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Stanf 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Teagan Quitoriano

3rd & 7Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.79

B.J. Baylor run for 25 yds to the Stanf 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyjon Lindsey run for 9 yds to the Stanf 14

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.49

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the Stanf 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Kolby Taylor run for 1 yd to the Stanf 10

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to B.J. Baylor

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 7 yds to the Stanf 3

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 8

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Everett Hayes 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Stanf 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.61

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 16 yds to the Stanf 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 7 yds to the Stanf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Austin Jones run for no gain to the Stanf 45

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.74

Davis Mills pass complete to John Humphreys for 30 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Davis Mills pass complete to Houston Heimuli for 7 yds to the OrgSt 16

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, false start (Scooter Harrington) to the OrgSt 21

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

4th & 6Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jet Toner 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chance Nolan run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 3 yds to the OrgSt 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.28

Chance Nolan pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 3 yds to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 8 yds to the Stanf 46

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Zeriah Beason

3rd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the Stanf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -3.34

Chance Nolan run for 5 yds to the Stanf 16 Chance Nolan fumbled, forced by Gabe Reid, recovered by Stanf Caleb Robinson

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 14

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 12

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
44%
27 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
62%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays