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← Back to GamesNov 28, 2020Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 17

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 13%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State +13

Edge: Oregon -13 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 28, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
14107738
Oregon StateOregon State
7662241

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-1410-1413-2113-2419-2426-3134-3841-38
Oregon StateOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSORETD877ydTD291ydTD1193ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-10ydFG1083ydTD675ydFG1145ydTO515ydDOWNS47ydFG629ydEND411ydPUNT39ydPUNT32ydTD638ydTD674ydTD1692ydTO24ydTD233ydTD1075ydDOWNS1355ydPUNT32ydTD1053ydUncategorized38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Oregon State
StatisticOregonOregon State
Passing19-3123-38
Pass Yards266263
Rush Yards183269
Total Yards449532
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-106-16
Penalties7-517-62
Possession25:4934:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Tyler Shough
19/30, 266 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Travis Dye
12 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Devon Williams
4 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Oregon State
passing
Tristan Gebbia
23/37, 263 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jermar Jefferson
29 CAR, 226 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kolby Taylor
7 REC, 114 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.36

CJ Verdell run for 16 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 8 yds to the Oregn 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

CJ Verdell run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -2.19

Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 9 yds to the OREGONST 41 OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Johnny Johnson III) to the Oregn 44

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

CJ Verdell run for 5 yds to the Oregn 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.11

Tyler Shough pass complete to CJ Verdell for 14 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.80

Jaylon Redd 37 Yd Run (Henry Katleman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Trevon Bradford run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 18

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+82 ydsPPA +6.02

Jermar Jefferson 82 Yd Run (Everett Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 12 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 9 yds to the Oregn 28

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.48

Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 20 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tyler Shough run for no gain to the OrgSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.81

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 28 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hutson for 8 yds to the OrgSt 8

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.43

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 1

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for no gain to the OrgSt 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Isaac Hodgins) to the OrgSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Tyler Shough 1 Yd Run (Henry Katleman Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Gebbia, Tristan rush for 2 yards to the OREGONST28, PENALTY OREGONST holding 10 yards to the OREGONST16, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 21

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Jermar Jefferson

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 5 yds to the OrgSt 26

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Devon Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Tevin Jeannis

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.12

Tyler Shough sacked by Andrzej Hughes-Murray for a loss of 10 yards to the OrgSt 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 48 yds, downed at the OrgSt 1

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.84

Jermar Jefferson run for 35 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the OrgSt 36

3rd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.88

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 30 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 29

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jermar Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Oregn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyjon Lindsey run for 9 yds to the Oregn 13

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.89

Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 16

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 yds

Everett Hayes 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 15 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

CJ Verdell run for 8 yds to the Oregn 47

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Shough, Tyler pass incomplete to Williams, Devon, PENALTY OREGON personal foul 15 yards to the OREGON36, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

CJ Verdell run for 4 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 21Passing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +6.79

Devon Williams 60 Yd pass from Tyler Shough (Henry Katleman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Kolby Taylor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the OrgSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 9 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 7 yds to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Jack Colletto run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 19 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Zeriah Beason

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Oregn 30

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Zeriah Beason

4th & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

Everett Hayes 48 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 6 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 42

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.13

Tyler Shough pass intercepted Jaydon Grant return for no gain to the OrgSt 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Trevon Bradford run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Champ Flemings

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

CJ Verdell run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.85

Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 13 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Travis Dye pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 12

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 10

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 15

4th & 7Field Goal Good+33 yds

Henry Katleman 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Champ Flemings for 6 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.06

Tristan Gebbia sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 11 yards to the OrgSt 25

2nd & 21Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Jermar Jefferson run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36

0th & 21End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Jack Colletto pass incomplete to Teagan Quitoriano

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 56 yds, downed at the Oregn 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

CJ Verdell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 15

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to CJ Verdell

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 3 yds to the Oregn 18

4th & 8Punt+23 yds

Tom Snee punt for 43 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 23 yds to the Oregn 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.49

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 19 yds to the Oregn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jermar Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Oregn 13

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Oregn 13

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Oregn 10

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.65

Tristan Gebbia run for 2 yds to the Oregn 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Zeriah Beason 8 Yd pass from Tristan Gebbia (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 30

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.98

Tyler Shough run for 6 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Travis Dye run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.95

Tyler Shough pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 19 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.13

Travis Dye run for 26 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Hunter Kampmoyer 4 Yd pass from Tyler Shough (Henry Katleman Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 12

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.56

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 9 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jermar Jefferson run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 29

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Jermar Jefferson run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 17 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyjon Lindsey run for 6 yds to the Oregn 34

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Oregn 24 Jermar Jefferson fumbled, forced by Deommodore Lenoir, recovered by OrgSt for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Zeriah Beason

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Jermar Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Oregn 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Jermar Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Oregn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Oregn 12

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jermar Jefferson run for no gain to the Oregn 12

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 6 yds to the Oregn 6

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.04

Jermar Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tristan Gebbia 1 Yd Run (Everett Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 12

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Shough pass intercepted Nahshon Wright return for no gain to the Oregn 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.69

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 31 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jermar Jefferson 2 Yd Run (Tristan Gebbia Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 7 yds to the Oregn 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 33

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the Oregn 41

2nd & 7Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.48

Travis Dye run for 14 yds to the OREGONST 45 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.93

Tyler Shough pass complete to Hunter Kampmoyer for 23 yds to the OrgSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Shough run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cyrus Habibi-Likio 1 Yd Run (Henry Katleman Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 13 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 11 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.75

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 8 yds to the Oregn 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Jermar Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Oregn 37

3rd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 3 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jermar Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Oregn 31

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Tristan Gebbia run for 13 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jermar Jefferson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 20

3rd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the Oregn 15

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.42

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Champ Flemings

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 17

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tyler Shough run for no gain to the Oregn 17

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Johnny Johnson III

4th & 8Punt+2 yds

Tom Snee punt for 38 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 2 yds to the OrgSt 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tristan Gebbia pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 12 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Gebbia, Tristan pass incomplete to Bradford, Trevon, PENALTY OREGONST ineligible downfield on pass (Musgrave, Luke) 5 yards to the OREGON35, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.80

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 15 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Jermar Jefferson for 3 yds to the Oregn 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Tristan Gebbia pass complete to Kolby Taylor for 11 yds to the Oregn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jermar Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Oregn 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tristan Gebbia run for 1 yd to the Oregn 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tristan Gebbia run for no gain to the Oregn 1

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) to the Oregn 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Chance Nolan 1 Yd Run (Everett Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Tyler Shough pass complete to Devon Williams for 8 yds to the Oregn 31

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Shough pass incomplete to Devon Williams

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
46%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
58%
31 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays