Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 14, 2020Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Stanford by 3.3

Home Win Probability

Stanford 61%

Market (consensus)

Stanford -9.5

Edge: Colorado +9.5 (6.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 14, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
7714735
StanfordStanford
3671632

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-06-76-149-1424-3532-35
StanfordColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLCOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLSTACOLFG737ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydTO431ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydPUNT33ydTD257ydFG855ydTD1075ydFG863ydPUNT30ydPUNT515ydEND1041ydTD975ydPUNT36ydTD361ydTD982ydTD1080ydDOWNS623ydPUNT3-7ydTD1173ydPUNT621ydTD1380ydPUNT38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and Stanford
StatisticColoradoStanford
Passing15-2430-55
Pass Yards255333
Rush Yards17770
Total Yards432403
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-145-16
Penalties6-617-50
Possession28:3331:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
Sam Noyer
15/24, 255 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarek Broussard
27 CAR, 121 YDS
receiving
Dimitri Stanley
6 REC, 126 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Stanford
passing
Davis Mills
30/55, 333 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Davis Mills
6 CAR, 36 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Connor Wedington
8 REC, 79 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 8 yds to the Colo 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.07

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Austin Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 5 yds to the Colo 30

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Elijah Higgins

4th & 6Field Goal Good+48 yds

Jet Toner 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Maurice Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 4 yds to the Colo 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Daniel Arias

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 47 yds, downed at the Stanf 26

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Stanf 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the Stanf 35

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Davis Mills pass incomplete

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 30

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 2 yds to the Colo 21

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.82

Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Colo 26 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Noyer run for 3 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.31

Sam Noyer pass intercepted Malik Antoine return for no gain to the Stanf 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Davis Mills pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Davis Mills pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 47 yds, downed at the Colo 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ashaad Clayton run for 3 yds to the Colo 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Maurice Bell

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Michael Wilson at the Stanf 20

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Austin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 18

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Stanf 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi Fehoko

4th & 7Punt+5 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 39 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 5 yds to the Colo 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 45

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.15

Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 55 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 7 yds to the Stanf 37

2nd & 3Penalty+16 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Face Mask (16 yards) (Jamar Montgomery) to the Colo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Davis Mills run for 12 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 6 yds to the Colo 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 9 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justus Woods run for 4 yds to the Colo 16

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the Colo 15

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Michael Wilson

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jet Toner 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 16 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaren Mangham run for 3 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Sam Noyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 42

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Offside (Andres Fox) to the Colo 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.82

Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 29 yds to the Stanf 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Noyer run for no gain to the Stanf 24

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the Stanf 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Noyer run for 3 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Stanf 6

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 7

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Sam Noyer run for 7 yds for a TD (Evan Price KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Davis Mills run for 15 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Davis Mills sacked by Carson Wells for a loss of 3 yards to the Stanf 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 3 yds to the Stanf 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.85

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 34 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Mills, Davis pass incomplete to Jones, Austin, PENALTY COLORADO holding (Landman, Nate) 10 yards to the COLORADO14, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the Colo 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Nathaniel Peat run for 2 yds to the Colo 7

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Colo 5

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Colo 10

4th & 6Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jet Toner 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Dimitri Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Sam Noyer pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 1 yd to the Colo 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Jarek Broussard

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Davis Mills pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 11 yds to the Stanf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 8 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Austin Jones

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 21

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.65

Sam Noyer pass complete to Daniel Arias for 10 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sam Noyer pass complete to Matt Lynch for 6 yds to the Colo 40

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Sam Noyer run for 6 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Noyer pass incomplete to La'Vontae Shenault

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sam Noyer pass complete to Brenden Rice for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.36

Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 11 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Sam Noyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sam Noyer pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the Colo 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.32

Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 18 yds to the Colo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaren Mangham run for 5 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Sam Noyer run for 9 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Noyer, Sam pass incomplete to Shenault, La'Vontae, PENALTY STANFORD offside (Fox, Jordan) 5 yards to the STANFORD38, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Stanf 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.25

Sam Noyer pass complete to Jaylon Jackson for 14 yds to the Stanf 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Stanf 10

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 27

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 3 yds to the Stanf 30

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi Fehoko

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.71

Sam Noyer pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 22 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Stanf 34

1st & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -0.78

Davis Mills pass complete to Casey Filkins for a loss of 6 yards to the Stanf 12

2nd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 2 yds to the Stanf 14

3rd & 14Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.57

Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 26 yds to the Stanf 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (Barrett Miller) to the Stanf 35

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Mills, Davis pass incomplete to Wedington, Connor, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference (Gonzalez, Christian) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.21

Davis Mills pass complete to Elijah Higgins for 29 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Colo 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Austin Jones

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.76

Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 14 yds to the Colo 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Scooter Harrington

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 9 yds to the Colo 29

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jaren Mangham run for no gain to the Colo 29

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.87

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.98

Sam Noyer pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 22 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Jarek Broussard run for 18 yds to the Stanf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Stanf 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Sam Noyer pass incomplete to Matt Lynch

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.17

Jarek Broussard run for 17 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaren Mangham run for 4 yds to the Stanf 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Davis Mills pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.14

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 15 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Nathaniel Peat

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Connor Wedington

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 48

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 47

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 48

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 43

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 30 yds, downed at the Stanf 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 7 yds to the Stanf 34

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Davis Mills run for 9 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 3 yds to the Stanf 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Davis Mills pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Michael Wilson

4th & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +3.28

Davis Mills pass complete to Simi Fehoko for 10 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Austin Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 9 yds to the Colo 35

3rd & 1Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.86

Davis Mills pass complete to Austin Jones for 19 yds to the Colo 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Davis Mills pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+14 yds

Mills, Davis pass incomplete to Higgins, Elijah, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference (Rakestraw, Derrion) 14 yards to the COLORADO2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Austin Jones run for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Mills pass to Connor Wedington for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Colo 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jarek Broussard run for 8 yds to the Colo 45

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the Colo 46

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Stanf 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 10 yds to the Stanf 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 11 yds to the Stanf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Michael Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi Fehoko

3rd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.75

Davis Mills pass complete to Connor Wedington for 28 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Connor Wedington

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Davis Mills pass complete to Brycen Tremayne for 12 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Austin Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Davis Mills pass complete to Michael Wilson for 16 yds to the Colo 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Davis Mills run for 1 yd to the Colo 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Simi Fehoko

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Davis Mills pass incomplete to Connor Wedington

4th & 2Penalty+1 yds

Mills, Davis pass incomplete to Tremayne, Brycen, PENALTY COLORADO pass interference (Blackmon, Mekhi) 1 yards to the COLORADO1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN STANFORD.

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Davis Mills pass complete to Scooter Harrington for 1 yd for a TD (Davis Mills pass to Tucker Fisk for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Stanf 46

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Stanf 40

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Stanf 38

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 30 yds, downed at the Stanf 8

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
52%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
4 plays
50%
30 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play