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← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San José State by 2.7

Home Win Probability

San José State 55%

Market (consensus)

San José State +2.5

Edge: San José State +2.5 (5.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NevadaNevada
10100020
San José StateSan José State
7020330

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-107-137-2014-2021-2030-20
San José StateNevada

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSNEVSJSPUNT415ydMISS565ydFG555ydTD673ydTD1265ydDOWNS557ydFG1054ydTO31ydTD28ydPUNT711ydMISS1479ydTD00ydTO1064ydTD1299ydPUNT57ydTD169ydPUNT613ydFG977ydTO236ydDOWNS938ydDOWNS720ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Nevada and San José State
StatisticNevadaSan José State
Passing33-4820-30
Pass Yards260306
Rush Yards138200
Total Yards398506
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-135-11
Penalties7-6211-93
Possession31:4328:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Nevada
passing
Carson Strong
33/48, 260 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Toa Taua
11 CAR, 96 YDS
receiving
Romeo Doubs
9 REC, 75 YDS
defense
San José State
passing
Nick Starkel
20/30, 306 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Nevens
12 CAR, 184 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bailey Gaither
7 REC, 156 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 12 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Toa Taua run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nevad 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.62

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for no gain to the Nevad 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kenyon Reed at the SJSt 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+57 ydsPPA +3.79

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 57 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Kairee Robinson run for 8 yds to the Nevad 17

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Nick Starkel pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Matt Mercurio 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+52 ydsPPA +3.62

Toa Taua run for 52 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Devonte Lee run for 1 yd to the SJSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 2 yds to the SJSt 25

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan Stovall

4th & 7Field Goal Good+42 yds

Brandon Talton 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 5 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -1.25

Nick Starkel run for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 27 Nick Starkel fumbled,

3rd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.90

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 19 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.04

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 15 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.88

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 33 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 6 yds to the Nevad 41

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carson Strong pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 8 yds to the SJSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 4 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Carson Strong pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.05

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for no gain to the SJSt 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.51

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the SJSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the SJSt 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.01

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 19 yds to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the SJSt 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 2 yds for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.42

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 48 yds to the Nevad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the Nevad 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 20

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Nick Nash run for no gain to the Nevad 20

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.64

Nick Nash run for no gain to the Nevad 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Carson Strong run for 8 yds to the Nevad 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the Nevad 29

4th & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.11

Devonte Lee run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the SJSt 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 11 yds to the SJSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 2 yds to the SJSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole Turner

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 4 yds to the SJSt 26

4th & 4Field Goal Good+43 yds

Brandon Talton 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 4 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.88

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+31 ydsPPA +0.07

Nick Starkel pass intercepted Tyson Williams return for 31 yds to the SJSt 8

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the SJSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Devonte Lee run for 1 yd for a TD (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 5 yds to the SJSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.78

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 8 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton

2nd & 10Penalty+12 yds

STARKEL, Nick pass incomplete to BRADDOCK,Jermai, PENALTY NEV pass interference (ROBINS, Berdale) 12 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 46

2nd & 14Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.41

Nick Starkel sacked by Zak Mahannah for a loss of 10 yards to the SJSt 36

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre Walker

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 51 yds, downed at the Nevad 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 8 yds to the Nevad 21

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.95

Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole Turner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 8 yds to the Nevad 36

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.15

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Carson Strong run for 3 yds to the Nevad 41

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Melquan Stovall) to the Nevad 36

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Carson Strong run for 7 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.00

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 22 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds to the SJSt 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.62

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 16 yds to the SJSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 3 yds to the SJSt 13

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SJSt 8

2nd & 2Penalty0 yds

STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to TURNER, Cole, PENALTY NEV illegal procedure off-setting, PENALTY SJSU pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

3rd & 2Field Goal Missed+25 yds

Brandon Talton 25 yd FG MISSED

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

STRONG, Carson pass complete to TAUA, Toa for loss of 2 yards to the NEV33 (FEHOKO, Viliami), PENALTY SJSU substitution infraction 5 yards to the NEV40, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.84

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 2 yds to the Nevad 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Carson Strong sacked by Noah Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the Nevad 47

2nd & 13Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.82

Toa Taua run for 8 yds to the SJSU 45 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Kenyon Reed) to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the SJSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.51

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 9 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 8 yds to the SJSt 11

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Harmon) to the SJSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Devonte Lee run for 3 yds to the SJSt 1

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -5.10

Toa Taua run for no gain to the SJSt 1 Toa Taua fumbled, forced by Jay Kakiva, recovered by SJSt Jay Lenard

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the SJSt 7

2nd & 4Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.40

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 26 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 8 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Kairee Robinson run for 5 yds to the SJSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nick Starkel run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the Nevad 47

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.67

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 9 yds to the Nevad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Jaime Navarro) to the Nevad 43

1st & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.20

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 16 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.23

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 17 yds to the Nevad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the Nevad 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Starkel pass complete to Sam Olson for 4 yds to the Nevad 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 11 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 12 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole Turner

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan Stovall

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Jermaine Ledbetter) to the Nevad 31

3rd & 15Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.24

Carson Strong sacked by Cade Hall and E.J. Ane for a loss of 11 yards to the Nevad 20

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 31

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Tyler Nevens run for 69 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 3 yds to the Nevad 32

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

3rd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.61

Carson Strong run for 14 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to TURNER, Cole, PENALTY NEV holding (KROLL, Erick) 10 yards to the NEV36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

NEVADA Penalty, false start (Aaron Frost) to the Nevad 31

1st & 25Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 3 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 22Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 8 yds to the Nevad 42

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 51 yds , Kenyon Reed returns for 6 yds to the SJSt 13

1st & 10Rush+54 ydsPPA +3.79

Tyler Nevens run for 69 yds to the SJSU 18 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, sideline interference (-15 Yards) to the Nevad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.87

Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the Nevad 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 21

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.69

Nick Starkel pass complete to Kairee Robinson for 14 yds to the Nevad 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Kyle Hoppe) to the Nevad 12

1st & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the Nevad 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Christian Swint

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Kairee Robinson

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matt Mercurio 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Toa Taua run for 12 yds to the Nevad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

STRONG, Carson pass incomplete to HORTON, Tory, PENALTY SJSU pass interference (NEVENS, Tyler) 15 yards to the SJSU43, 1ST DOWN NEV, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.65

Toa Taua run for 9 yds to the SJSt 34 Toa Taua fumbled, forced by Jay Lenard, recovered by SJSt Tre Jenkins

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Tyler Nevens run for 7 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyler Nevens run for 8 yds to the SJSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyler Nevens run for 6 yds to the Nevad 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the Nevad 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.25

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 8 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the Nevad 33

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 8 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

STARKEL, Nick pass complete to WALKER, Tre for 26 yards to the NEV7 (BRADFORD, M.), PENALTY SJSU IP (HOPPE, Kyle) 5 yards to the NEV38, NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the Nevad 28

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Jordan Lee

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.67

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 18 yds to the Nevad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.25

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 16 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.26

Carson Strong sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the SJSt 45

2nd & 17Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.65

Carson Strong sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 48

3rd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Carson Strong pass incomplete

4th & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.23

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 49

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

Situational Analysis

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
38%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
63%
8 plays
0%
1 play
58%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays