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← Back to GamesDec 6, 2020Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wyoming by 19.5

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 11%

Market (consensus)

New Mexico +15.5

Edge: Wyoming -15.5 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 6, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WyomingWyoming
3100316
New MexicoNew Mexico
0100717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-310-1310-1617-16
New MexicoWyoming

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMWYONMWYONMWYONMWYONMWYONMWYOWYONMWYONMWYONMWYONMWYONMWYONMWYONMTO511ydFG43ydTO951ydPUNT521ydTD959ydDOWNS743ydPUNT31ydTD274ydFG52ydFG868ydPUNT525ydEND1-2ydTO22ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT421ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydDOWNS1072ydFG986ydPUNT831ydPUNT39ydTD247ydTO648ydPUNT34ydTO40ydEND46yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wyoming and New Mexico
StatisticWyomingNew Mexico
Passing5-1711-18
Pass Yards9192
Rush Yards283223
Total Yards374315
Turnovers32
3rd Down1-115-15
Penalties2-205-50
Possession25:2834:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wyoming
passing
Levi Williams
4/12, 73 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Trey Smith
24 CAR, 154 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Isaiah Neyor
1 REC, 54 YDS
defense
New Mexico
passing
Isaiah Chavez
5/10, 55 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bobby Cole
22 CAR, 131 YDS
receiving
Bobby Cole
2 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Genal pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 5 yds to the NMex 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Connor Genal pass complete to Marcus Williams for 6 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaiah Chavez run for 2 yds to the NMex 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 48

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -1.45

Bobby Cole run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 15 Bobby Cole fumbled, recovered by Wyom Charles Hicks , return for 28 yds to the NMex 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae Crow

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the NMex 12

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Levi Williams pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

John Hoyland 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bobby Cole run for 5 yds to the NMex 30

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Connor Genal pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 14 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Bobby Cole run for 1 yd to the NMex 43

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Bobby Cole run for 11 yds to the Wyom 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the Wyom 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the Wyom 37

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Bobby Cole run for 13 yds to the Wyom 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.32

Connor Genal pass intercepted C.J. Coldon return for no gain to the Wyom 4

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 6

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.67

Trey Smith run for 13 yds to the Wyom 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trey Smith run for 5 yds to the Wyom 24

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Levi Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Null punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 45

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Nathaniel Jones run for 6 yds to the Wyom 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Nathaniel Jones run for 6 yds to the Wyom 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Connor Genal pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 6 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Bobby Cole run for 7 yds to the Wyom 30

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Bobby Wooden run for 4 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the Wyom 25

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the Wyom 21

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Nathaniel Jones run for 21 yds for a TD, (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Trey Smith run for 7 yds to the Wyom 33

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Trey Smith run for 12 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Levi Williams run for 15 yds to the NMex 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the NMex 38

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Parker Christensen run for 5 yds to the NMex 33

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the NMex 32

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.67

Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the NMex 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the NMex 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.16

Connor Genal pass complete to Austin Erickson for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 32

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 26

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

WILLIAMS, Levi pass complete to WELCH, Treyton for 10 yards to the WYO36 (MILLER, Kameron), PENALTY NM pass interference (MILLER, Kameron) 10 yards to the WYO36, 1ST DOWN WYO, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Trey Smith run for 6 yds to the Wyom 42

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +4.75

Trey Smith run for 58 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Bobby Cole run for no gain to the Wyom 25

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.75

Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the Wyom 21 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding (Teton Saltes) to the Wyom 31

2nd & 16Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.15

Isaiah Chavez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 32

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.87

Connor Genal pass complete to Bobby Cole for 9 yds to the Wyom 23

4th & 8Field Goal Good+40 yds

Donovan Murphree 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trey Smith run for 5 yds to the Wyom 28

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.27

Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the Wyom 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.89

Levi Williams pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 54 yds to the NMex 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Trey Smith run for no gain to the NMex 13

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the NMex 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae Crow

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

John Hoyland 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Bobby Wooden run for 2 yds to the NMex 32

2nd & 8Penalty0 yds

CHAVEZ, Isaiah pass incomplete to ERICKSON, Andre, PENALTY WYO roughing passer off-setting, PENALTY NM intentional grounding off-setting, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 34

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

CHAVEZ, Isaiah pass intercepted by SMITH, Braden at the NM40, SMITH, Braden return to the NM0, clock 00:49, PENALTY WYO personal foul (MUMA, Chad) 15 yards to the NM49, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Marcus Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Marcus Williams for 6 yds to the Wyom 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Bobby Cole

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wyom 17

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 24

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -0.33

Levi Williams pass intercepted Jerrick Reed II return for 5 yds to the Wyom 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Bryson Carroll run for 1 yd to the Wyom 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the Wyom 37

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Bobby Cole run for no gain to the Wyom 37

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (Tyson Dyer) to the Wyom 42

4th & 13Punt+17 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 10 NEW MEXICO Penalty, kick catching interference (Troy Sicaeros) to the Wyom 25

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Levi Williams run for 13 yds to the Wyom 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 7 yds to the Wyom 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.77

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 47

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Trey Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Nick Null punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the NMex 15

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Nathaniel Jones run for 8 yds to the NMex 23

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 23

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Isaiah Chavez run for 1 yd to the NMex 24

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Levi Williams pass complete to Dontae Crow for 3 yds to the Wyom 36

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Levi Williams pass incomplete to Dontae Crow

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Null punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 22

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.42

Bobby Cole run for 17 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaiah Chavez run for 3 yds to the NMex 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 4 yds to the NMex 46

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.52

Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson

2nd & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.50

Bobby Cole run for 36 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Bobby Cole run for 2 yds to the Wyom 13

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Bryson Carroll run for 7 yds to the Wyom 6

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Chavez run for no gain to the Wyom 6

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.13

Bobby Cole run for no gain to the Wyom 6

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 8

2nd & 8Rush+58 ydsPPA +4.15

Isaiah Neyor run for 58 yds to the NMex 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Trey Smith run for 6 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Levi Williams pass complete to Treyton Welch for 9 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Trey Smith run for 11 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Levi Williams run for no gain to the NMex 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Levi Williams pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Patrick Peek

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Levi Williams pass incomplete to Treyton Welch, broken up by Tavian Combs

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

John Hoyland 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Bryson Carroll run for 8 yds to the NMex 21

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Bobby Wooden run for 4 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Isaiah Chavez run for 10 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 3 yds to the NMex 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Isaiah Chavez pass incomplete to Marcus Williams

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the Wyom 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Trey Smith run for 2 yds to the Wyom 12

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Levi Williams run for 3 yds to the Wyom 15

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Trey Smith run for 4 yds to the Wyom 19

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Null punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the Wyom 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.97

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Cole for 44 yds for a TD, (Donovan Murphree KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WYOMING Penalty, delay of game (Levi Williams) to the Wyom 42

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the Wyom 43

2nd & 14Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.08

Levi Williams sacked by Ben Gansallo for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 37

3rd & 20Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Gavin Beerup pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 18 yds to the NMex 45

4th & 2Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.37

Gavin Beerup run for 38 yds to the NMex 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the NMex 4

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -4.67

Trey Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 5 Trey Smith fumbled, forced by Brandon Shook, recovered by NMex Jake Saltonstall

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 8

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryson Carroll run for 3 yds to the NMex 11

3rd & 4Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaiah Chavez pass complete to Bobby Wooden for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 9

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dontae Crow at the NMex 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Gavin Beerup pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Gavin Beerup pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gavin Beerup pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt, broken up by Donte Martin

4th & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.67

Gavin Beerup pass intercepted Brandon Shook return for no gain to the NMex 39

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Bobby Cole run for 21 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.48

Bobby Cole run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 43

2nd & 13Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.98

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Wyom 49

3rd & 19Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMex 45

Situational Analysis

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
15 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play