Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 4, 2020Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 10.3

Home Win Probability

Utah State 26%

Market (consensus)

Utah State +13.5

Edge: Utah State +13.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 4, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Air ForceAir Force
7147735
Utah StateUtah State
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-147-217-287-35
Utah StateAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFUSAFTD1565ydTD1175ydPUNT813ydTD682ydPUNT641ydTD899ydTO733ydPUNT3-15ydDOWNS722ydTD1171ydPUNT39ydTD983ydTO631ydDOWNS1035ydDOWNS618ydEND614yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Utah State
StatisticAir ForceUtah State
Passing7-917-32
Pass Yards127123
Rush Yards334109
Total Yards461232
Turnovers02
3rd Down5-109-14
Penalties6-676-65
Possession34:5425:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
7/9, 127 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kadin Remsberg
11 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ben Peterson
2 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Utah State
passing
Andrew Peasley
17/32, 123 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Andrew Peasley
8 CAR, 53 YDS
receiving
Carson Terrell
2 REC, 27 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 35

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 7 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 47

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.02

Andrew Peasley run for 14 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Pailate Makakona run for 1 yd to the AFA 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.55

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 10 yds to the AFA 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the AFA 19

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the AFA 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 9 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Pailate Makakona run for 5 yds to the AFA 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 4 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Jake Spiewak for 7 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.36

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Daniel Morris for 15 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the UthSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Kadin Remsberg run for 2 yds to the UthSt 34

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the UthSt 32

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 35

4th & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.86

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Daniel Morris for 14 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Kadin Remsberg run for 21 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 28

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Elelyon Noa run for 8 yds to the UthSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.30

Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek Wright

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Carson Terrell for 12 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the AFA 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dalton King for 12 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Daniel Morris for 6 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 38

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.34

Kadin Remsberg run for 13 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Ben Peterson for 49 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Pailate Makakona run for 5 yds to the UthSt 17

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Pailate Makakona run for 4 yds to the UthSt 21

3rd & 1Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.71

Andrew Peasley run for 27 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 7 yds to the AFA 44

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

NOA, Elelyon rush for no gain to the AF44 (NOREN, Parker), PENALTY USU illegal motion 5 yards to the AF49, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the AFA 47

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 46 yds, downed at the AFA 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 3

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.71

Kadin Remsberg run for 16 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Joshua Stoner run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Joshua Stoner run for 11 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Matthew Murla run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Jake Spiewak

3rd & 8Rushing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.52

Haaziq Daniels run for 37 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Andrew Peasley run for 10 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Andrew Peasley sacked by Matthew Malloy for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 11 yds to the AFA 47

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.18

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 6 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -3.11

Andrew Peasley sacked by Brandon Gooding for a loss of 11 yards to the UthSt 48

2nd & 21Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.91

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 4 yds to the UTAHST 48 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Matthew Malloy) to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.10

Andrew Peasley pass intercepted Demani Hansford return for no gain to the AFA 3

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-11 yds

REMSBERG, Kadin rush for 12 yards to the AF37 (VONGPHACHANH, A;HENINGER, Nick), PENALTY AF illegal block 11 yards to the AF14, NO PLAY.

1st & 21Penalty-7 yds

DANIELS, Haaziq pass complete to SPIEWAK, Jake for 31 yards to the AF45, PENALTY AF pass interference 7 yards to the AF7, NO PLAY.

1st & 28Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.04

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 5

2nd & 30Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.05

Kadin Remsberg run for 12 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 18Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.06

Haaziq Daniels sacked by Justus Te'i for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 10

4th & 25Punt+3 yds

Joseph Carlson punt for 44 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek Wright

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

PEASLEY, Andrew pass complete to MCGRIFF, Justin for 13 yards to the AF38, out-of-bounds (HANSFORD, Daman), PENALTY USU holding (EDWARDS, Alfred) 10 yards to the USU39, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Justin McGriff, broken up by Demani Hansford

3rd & 20Rush+26 ydsPPA +4.15

Andrew Peasley run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul (Grant Donaldson) to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Justin McGriff

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 6 yds to the AFA 29

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.69

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Derek Wright

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Kadin Remsberg run for 8 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.44

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Joshua Stoner run for 14 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the UthSt 25

2nd & 3Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.62

Brad Roberts run for 20 yds to the UthSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty-14 yds

ROBERTS, Brad rush for 2 yards to the USU3 (MAILE, Kina), PENALTY AF illegal block 14 yards to the USU19, NO PLAY.

1st & 19Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.62

Kadin Remsberg run for 14 yds to the UthSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kadin Remsberg run for 4 yds to the UthSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Matthew Murla run for 1 yd for a TD AIR FORCE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 8 (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK) UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

John Gentry run for 7 yds to the UthSt 41

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.01

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 43

4th & 1Punt+5 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 45 yds , Ben Peterson returns for 5 yds to the AFA 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kadin Remsberg run for 6 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Haaziq Daniels run for 5 yds to the AFA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kadin Remsberg run for 5 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Ben Peterson for 24 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Haaziq Daniels run for 8 yds to the UthSt 27

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.15

Brad Roberts run for 12 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Brad Roberts run for 15 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Andrew Peasley run for 2 yds to the UthSt 17

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Taylor Compton for 4 yds to the UthSt 21

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.02

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 6 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Carson Terrell for 15 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 4 yds to the UthSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return+6 ydsPPA -2.27

Andrew Peasley pass intercepted Matthew Malloy return for 6 yds to the UthSt 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Elijah Robinson run for 6 yds to the UthSt 39

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Elijah Robinson run for 10 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elijah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 22

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 20

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.76

Ben Brittain run for 2 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jorden Gidrey run for no gain to the UthSt 18

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Elijah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 13

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 11

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -3.87

Ben Brittain run for 1 yd to the UthSt 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Tim Patrick Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Tim Patrick Jr. for 11 yds to the UthSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Derek Wright for 5 yds to the UthSt 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 2 yds to the UthSt 28

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Quinton Hadnot

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.07

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Pailate Makakona

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 30

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Elijah Robinson run for 5 yds to the UthSt 25

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Elijah Robinson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 24

4th & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.53

Jensen Jones run for 7 yds to the UthSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jensen Jones run for 6 yds to the UthSt 11

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.64

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 14

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
69%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play