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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2020Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 22.8

Home Win Probability

Air Force 90%

Market (consensus)

Air Force -8

Edge: Air Force -8 (14.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
New MexicoNew Mexico
00000
Air ForceAir Force
7140728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-021-028-0
Air ForceNew Mexico

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFNMAFPUNT946ydTD1186ydPUNT30ydTD1072ydTO841ydTD966ydPUNT34ydPUNT617ydMISS953ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT832ydTO420ydMISS4-10ydTO39ydMISS923ydTO2-2ydMISS4-5ydDOWNS1273ydDOWNS840ydTD144ydTO645ydEND731yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing New Mexico and Air Force
StatisticNew MexicoAir Force
Passing23-424-5
Pass Yards22166
Rush Yards83356
Total Yards304422
Turnovers23
3rd Down4-139-13
Penalties8-705-42
Possession23:3136:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

New Mexico
passing
Trae Hall
23/42, 221 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Bobby Cole
6 CAR, 29 YDS
receiving
defense
Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
4/5, 66 YDS
rushing
Brad Roberts
28 CAR, 177 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Kyle Patterson
2 REC, 34 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 5 yds to the NMex 16

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Bobby Cole run for 9 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trae Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Trae Hall pass complete to Marcus Williams for 10 yds to the NMex 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Trae Hall run for 5 yds to the NMex 40

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.66

Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 15 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

COLE, Bobby rush for 10 yards to the AF35 (PALM, Elisha), PENALTY NM holding 10 yards to the NM45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Trae Hall pass complete to Chad Alexander for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Trae Hall pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 7 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Trae Hall pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 14

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 21

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.88

Matthew Murla run for 5 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Brandon Lewis run for 8 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Joshua Stoner run for 6 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.71

Matthew Murla run for 14 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.58

Matthew Murla run for 25 yds to the NMex 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the NMex 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Haaziq Daniels run for 4 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bobby Cole run for no gain to the NMex 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene, broken up by Corvan Taylor

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Trae Hall pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Haaziq Daniels run for 4 yds to the AFA 37

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 32

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the AFA 37

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.54

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 14 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.97

Joshua Stoner run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 42

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the AFA 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.90

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 28 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jorden Gidrey run for 4 yds to the NMex 25

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the NMex 22

3rd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Haaziq Daniels run for 17 yds to the NMex 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Emmanuel Logan-Greene run for 4 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Bobby Cole run for 3 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Trae Hall pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 4 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Bobby Wooden

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.93

Trae Hall pass complete to Chad Alexander for 6 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -3.81

Trae Hall pass complete to Marcus Williams for 3 yds Marcus Williams fumbled, forced by Caleb Humphrey, recovered by AFA Kalawai'a Pescaia

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 37

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.36

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

DANIELS, Haaziq pass incomplete to LEWIS, Brandon, PENALTY AF holding off-setting, PENALTY NM pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 47

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Joshua Stoner run for 4 yds to the NMex 49

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Brad Roberts run for 12 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.45

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 18 yds to the NMex 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matthew Murla run for 4 yds to the NMex 15

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the NMex 12

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.75

Brad Roberts run for 12 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Bobby Cole run for 4 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson, broken up by Jayden Goodwin

3rd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Trae Hall pass complete to Cedric Patterson III

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NMex 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the AFA 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Charles Bein punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Emmanuel Logan-Greene at the NMex 14

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Daevon Vigilant run for 6 yds to the NMex 20

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 12 yds to the NMex 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Trae Hall pass complete to Anselem Umeh for 12 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Anselem Umeh

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.12

Trae Hall run for 12 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Marcus Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 11 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Blocked Field Goal+50 yds

George Steinkamp 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Michael Purcell

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joshua Stoner run for 8 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 2Penalty-10 yds

DANIELS, Haaziq pass complete to LEWIS, Brandon for 59 yards to the NM8 (BOLDEN, Nico), PENALTY AF holding (FERGUSON, Parke) 10 yards to the AF23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jorden Gidrey run for 1 yd to the AFA 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Kyle Patterson, broken up by Jake Saltonstall

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Charles Bein punt for 52 yds, downed at the NMex 24

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.67

Trae Hall pass complete to Marcus Williams for no gain to the NMex 24

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nathaniel Jones run for 4 yds to the NMex 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.92

Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 10 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 9 yds to the NMex 47

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.03

Daevon Vigilant run for 6 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Daevon Vigilant run for 3 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Andrew Erickson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Trae Hall pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tyson Dyer punt for 40 yds, downed at the AFA 4

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 10

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Kyle Patterson for 6 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.42

Matthew Murla run for 4 yds to the AFA 24 Matthew Murla fumbled, forced by Nico Bolden, recovered by NMex Joey Noble

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.76

Trae Hall sacked by George Silvanic for a loss of 9 yards to the AFA 33 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Marcus Williams, broken up by Parker Noren

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 38

3rd & 24Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trae Hall pass complete to Chad Alexander for 4 yds to the AFA 34

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+51 yds

George Steinkamp 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshua Stoner run for 4 yds to the AFA 38

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -2.72

Joshua Stoner run for 4 yds to the AFA 43 Joshua Stoner fumbled, forced by Nico Bolden, recovered by NMex Patrick Peek

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Nathaniel Jones run for 9 yds to the AFA 34

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.30

Nathaniel Jones run for 7 yds to the AFA 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nathaniel Jones run for 5 yds to the AFA 22

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the AFA 20

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

Trae Hall run for 5 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the AFA 13

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.11

TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NMex Nathaniel Jones

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+37 yds

George Steinkamp 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 24

2nd & 6Penalty-12 yds

PETERSON, Ben rush for 8 yards to the AF32, out-of-bounds (BOLDEN, Nico), PENALTY AF personal foul (KREPSZ, Kyle) 12 yards to the AF12, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Haaziq Daniels run for 7 yds to the AFA 18 Haaziq Daniels fumbled, forced by Joey Noble, recovered by NMex Jerrick Reed II

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Bobby Cole run for 9 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

COLE, Bobby rush for 2 yards to the AF7 (SILVANIC, Georg), PENALTY NM holding (COOK, Austin) 10 yards to the AF19, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.05

Trae Hall pass complete to Chad Alexander for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 23

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Andrew Shelley 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Haaziq Daniels run for 4 yds to the AFA 29 Haaziq Daniels fumbled, forced by Devin Sanders, recovered by AFA Adam Jewell

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Haaziq Daniels run for 7 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Patrick Peek) to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Defensive offside (Joey Noble) to the NMex 32

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the NMex 31

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the NMex 20

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the NMex 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Matthew Murla run for 2 yds to the NMex 11

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Matthew Murla run for 6 yds to the NMex 5

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the NMex 4

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.17

Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the NMex 4

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Marcus Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.67

Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 13 yds to the NMex 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Trae Hall pass complete to Jordan Kress for 16 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Trae Hall pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 11 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

HALL, Trae pass incomplete to KRESS, Jordan, PENALTY AF holding (PALM, Elisha) 10 yards to the AF46, 1ST DOWN NM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Cedric Patterson III

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Trae Hall pass complete to Cedric Patterson III

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Trae Hall run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

4th & 7Sack-13 ydsPPA -1.02

Trae Hall sacked by Brandon Gooding for a loss of 13 yards to the NMex 44

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Brad Roberts run for 44 yds for a TD (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Marcus Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.06

Trae Hall pass complete to Emmanuel Logan-Greene for 49 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Trae Hall run for 8 yds to the AFA 18

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Trae Hall pass incomplete to Jordan Kress

3rd & 2Rush-12 ydsPPA -2.78

Trae Hall run for 3 yds to the AFA 15 NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Kyle Stapley) to the AFA 30

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -2.42

Trae Hall pass intercepted Corvan Taylor return for 20 yds to the AFA 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bo Gross run for 5 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.69

Warren Bryan run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 24

3rd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Micah Davis run for 13 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Bo Gross run for 3 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Bo Gross run for 1 yd to the AFA 41

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Warren Bryan run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

4th & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.87

CJ McNeal run for 8 yds to the NMex 49 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
55%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
43%
28 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play