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← Back to GamesNov 15, 2020Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San José State by 20.5

Home Win Probability

San José State 88%

Market (consensus)

San José State -17

Edge: San José State -17 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 15, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UNLVUNLV
377017
San José StateSan José State
10147334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-310-317-1024-1024-1731-1734-17
San José StateUNLV

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSUNLSJSUNLSJSUNLSJSUNLSJSUNLSJSUNLUNLSJSUNLSJSUNLSJSUNLSJSUNLSJSPUNT33ydFG1069ydTD579ydPUNT3-7ydFG839ydPUNT35ydTD653ydTD965ydTO10ydPUNT3-2ydTD870ydEND512ydPUNT66ydPUNT3-5ydTD1490ydTD571ydPUNT34ydPUNT30ydPUNT614ydFG1170ydPUNT38ydEND766yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UNLV and San José State
StatisticUNLVSan José State
Passing19-2818-29
Pass Yards224281
Rush Yards70176
Total Yards294457
Turnovers01
3rd Down8-165-10
Penalties8-845-50
Possession32:3027:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UNLV
passing
Justin Rogers
12/18, 162 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Charles Williams
19 CAR, 55 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kyle Williams
9 REC, 110 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San José State
passing
Nick Starkel
17/28, 274 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nick Nash
8 CAR, 94 YDS
receiving
Bailey Gaither
6 REC, 94 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the UNLV 44

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 3 yds Tre Walker fumbled, forced by Jacoby Windmon, recovered by SJSt Tre Walker

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 2 yds to the UNLV 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 24

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Max Gilliam pass complete to Charles Williams for 6 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Max Gilliam pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 7 yds to the UNLV 40

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.04

Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.14

Max Gilliam pass complete to Kyle Williams for 34 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Gilliam run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 15

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Charles Williams run for no gain to the SJSt 15

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Max Gilliam run for 4 yds to the SJSt 11

4th & 7Field Goal Good+28 yds

Daniel Gutierrez 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Nick Nash run for 12 yds to the SJSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Nick Nash pass complete to Billy Bob Humphreys for 7 yds to the SJSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

STARKEL, Nick LL pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre (LEWIS,Aaron), PENALTY UNLV pass interference (LEWIS,Aaron) 15 yards to the UNLV41, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 41 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 1 yd to the UNLV 23

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Max Gilliam sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 15

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Charles Williams

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Charlton Butt punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.17

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 21 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

STARKEL, Nick LL pass incomplete to HOLINESS,Isaiah (SALU,Malakai), PENALTY SJSU personal foul (NAVARRO, Jaime) 15 yards to the UNLV43, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Nick Starkel run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42

3rd & 21Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.85

Nick Starkel pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 31 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds to the UNLV 8

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

STARKEL, Nick middle pass complete to WALKER, Tre for 4 yards to the UNLV4 (JACKSON,Bryce), PENALTY SJSU pass interference (HAMILTON, Isaia) 15 yards to the UNLV23, NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nick Starkel pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 4 yds to the UNLV 19

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nick Starkel run for 6 yds to the UNLV 13

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matt Mercurio 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Courtney Reese run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Max Gilliam run for 3 yds to the UNLV 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Noah Bean, broken up by Tre Webb

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Tanner Brown punt for 55 yds , Bailey Gaither returns for 6 yds to the SJSt 25 UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Kue Olotoa) to the SJSt 47

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Kairee Robinson run for 11 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.75

Nick Nash run for 28 yds to the UNLV 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Nick Nash run for 9 yds to the UNLV 5

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.25

Nick Nash run for 1 yd to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the UNLV 3

2nd & 3Penalty+1 yds

STARKEL, Nick middle pass incomplete to DEESE, JR, Derr, PENALTY UNLV roughing passer (UASIKE,Kolo) 1 yards to the UNLV2, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 35

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.44

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WILLIAMS,C. rush left for 3 yards to the SJSU48 (HARMON, Kyle), PENALTY UNLV illegal shift (REESE,Courtney) 5 yards to the UNLV44, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.42

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 15 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Charles Williams run for no gain to the SJSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the SJSt 31

3rd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.84

Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kyle Williams for 19 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+23 ydsPPA -2.82

Nick Starkel pass intercepted Tre Caine return for 23 yds to the UNLV 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the UNLV 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 47

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS,C. rush right for 3 yards to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds (WHITE, Tre), PENALTY UNLV holding (OLUWASEUN,J.) 10 yards to the UNLV37, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kyle Williams, broken up by Tre Webb

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlton Butt punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SJSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 10 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 42

3rd & 11Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.76

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 27 yds to the UNLV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither, broken up by Aaron Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 6 yds to the UNLV 25

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

NASH, Nick LL pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (WILLIAMS,Nohl) 15 yards to the UNLV10, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

STARKEL, Nick RR pass incomplete to WALKER, Tre, PENALTY UNLV pass interference (JACKSON,Bryce) 8 yards to the UNLV2, 1ST DOWN SJSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Justin Rogers run for 6 yds to the UNLV 31

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.43

Justin Rogers sacked by Tysyn Parker for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 24

3rd & 11Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Justin Rogers run for 11 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Justin Rogers pass complete to Noah Bean for 9 yds to the UNLV 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Justin Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Zyell Griffin

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.39

Justin Rogers sacked by Christian Webb for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 31

4th & 15Punt+10 yds

Charlton Butt punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 47 , Bailey Gaither returns for 10 yds to the SJSt 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre Walker

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.52

Nick Starkel sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 8 yards to the SJSt 42

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 48 yds, downed at the UNLV 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Charles Williams

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 8 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Zyell Griffin

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Charles Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNLV 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.86

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kyle Williams for 16 yds to the UNLV 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

UNLV Penalty, personal foul (Julio Garcia) to the UNLV 18

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kyle Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kyle Williams for 7 yds to the UNLV 25

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.25

Justin Rogers pass complete to Noah Bean for 7 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Charles Williams run for 10 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Justin Rogers sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+53 ydsPPA +3.87

Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 53 yds to the SJSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the SJSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Charles Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Jesse Chamberlain) to the SJSt 24

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Nick Nash run for 7 yds to the SJSt 31

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 7 yds to the SJSt 38

3rd & 1Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.88

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 28 yds to the UNLV 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.41

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 22 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Kairee Robinson run for 12 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Rogers sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Justin Rogers pass complete to Noah Bean for 5 yds to the UNLV 25

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Justin Rogers run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Charlton Butt punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre Walker, broken up by Aaron Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Tre Walker

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr., broken up by Vic Viramontes

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyleek Collins at the UNLV 30

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Courtney Reese run for 19 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Max Gilliam pass complete to Kyle Williams for 6 yds to the SJSt 45

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.43

Courtney Reese run for 6 yds to the SJSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Charles Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 43

2nd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.10

Max Gilliam sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 8 yards to the UNLV 49

3rd & 22Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.41

Max Gilliam sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 44

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Charlton Butt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 20

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (Jaime Navarro) to the SJSt 15

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.70

Nick Nash run for 14 yds to the SJSt 29

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

NASH, Nick rush up middle for 33 yards to the UNLV38 (JACKSON,Bryce;FAUOLO SR.,G.), PENALTY SJSU holding (ROBBINS, Trevor) 10 yards to the SJSU19, NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Shamar Garrett

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 12 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.59

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 19 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the UNLV 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.09

Nick Starkel pass complete to Isaiah Holiness for 36 yds to the UNLV 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kairee Robinson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr., broken up by Bryce Jackson

4th & 8Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matt Mercurio 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Max Gilliam pass complete to Kyle Williams for 5 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Max Gilliam pass incomplete to Courtney Reese, broken up by Viliami Fehoko

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Max Gilliam pass complete to Noah Bean for 3 yds to the UNLV 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charlton Butt punt for 44 yds, downed at the SJSt 24

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Nick Nash run for 17 yds to the SJSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 42

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Nevens run for 4 yds to the SJSt 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.38

Nick Starkel pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 11 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +1.03

Tyler Nevens run for 35 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 9

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 10

Situational Analysis

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
6 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
4th

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
45%
11 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
4th