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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2020Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 16.7

Home Win Probability

San Diego State 84%

Market (consensus)

San Diego State -10.5

Edge: San Diego State -10.5 (6.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San José StateSan José State
0771428
San Diego StateSan Diego State
370717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-010-717-1417-2117-28
San Diego StateSan José State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSDSSJSSJSSDSSJSPUNT521ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydFG766ydPUNT39ydPUNT926ydPUNT3-2ydTD1050ydPUNT36ydPUNT717ydTD1089ydEND1-1ydDOWNS1056ydTO752ydPUNT34ydTD862ydTD769ydPUNT31ydTO2-22ydTD217ydTO1147ydPUNT411ydTD527ydDOWNS622ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San José State and San Diego State
StatisticSan José StateSan Diego State
Passing18-2821-30
Pass Yards182261
Rush Yards116101
Total Yards298362
Turnovers13
3rd Down4-116-15
Penalties2-154-40
Possession23:5236:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San José State
passing
Nick Nash
16/25, 169 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nick Nash
11 CAR, 53 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Derrick Deese Jr.
5 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
San Diego State
passing
Carson Baker
21/30, 261 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Greg Bell
25 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jesse Matthews
6 REC, 139 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nick Starkel pass complete to Tre Walker for 4 yds to the SJSt 33

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Nick Starkel pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 9 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ROBINSON,Kairee rush for no gain to the SJSU42 (BARFIELD, C.), PENALTY SJSU holding 10 yards to the SJSU32, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Nick Starkel pass incomplete to Isaiah Hamilton

2nd & 20Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Nick Nash run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 31

3rd & 21Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.27

Nick Nash run for 19 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 48 yds, downed at the SDSt 2

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Carson Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 5

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+19 yds

Tanner Kuljian punt for 70 yds , Bailey Gaither returns for 19 yds to the SJSt 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Nick Nash pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Nick Nash pass incomplete to Tre Walker

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 17

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Greg Bell run for 8 yds to the SDSt 25

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Carson Baker run for 10 yds to the SDSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +2.69

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 51 yds to the SJSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SJSt 10

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Baker run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 14

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BELL, Greg rush for 8 yards to the SJSU6 (WEBB, Tre;HARMON, Kyle), PENALTY SDSU illegal shift 5 yards to the SJSU19, NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the SJSt 17

4th & 13Field Goal Good+34 yds

Matt Araiza 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Nick Nash pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 8 yds to the SJSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 39

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Nick Nash pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr., broken up by Tariq Thompson

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 4 yds to the SDSt 32

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.07

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 9 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Carson Baker pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 2 yds to the SDSt 43

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 45

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.53

Carson Baker pass complete to BJ Busbee for 11 yds to the SJSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SJSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.83

Carson Baker sacked by Viliami Fehoko for a loss of 5 yards to the SJSt 46

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tanner Kuljian punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Kairee Robinson run for 7 yds to the SJSt 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nick Nash pass incomplete to Tre Walker

3rd & 3Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.66

Kairee Robinson run for a loss of 9 yards to the SJSt 18 SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Greg Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 48

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the SDSt 46

3rd & 14Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.75

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 23 yds to the SJSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the SJSt 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SJSt 22

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SJSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Chance Bell run for 11 yds to the SJSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the SJSt 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the SJSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Carson Baker run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Nick Nash run for 6 yds to the SJSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Nick Nash pass incomplete to Tre Walker

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Nick Nash pass incomplete to Tyler Nevens

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Greg Bell run for 7 yds to the SDSt 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 3 yds to the SDSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.73

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 9 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.12

Carson Baker sacked by Kyle Harmon and Jay Kakiva for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SJSt 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tanner Kuljian punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Bailey Gaither at the SJSt 11

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SJSt 6

1st & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.30

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 22 yds to the SJSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Tyler Nevens run for 10 yds to the SJSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Nick Nash pass complete to Tre Walker for 9 yds to the SJSt 47

2nd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.39

Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.97

Nick Nash pass complete to Tyler Nevens for 5 yds to the SJSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.39

Nick Nash pass complete to Tre Walker for 32 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 10 yds to the SDSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Tyler Nevens run for 9 yds to the SDSt 1

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Nevens run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 4

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 12

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Greg Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 10 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.01

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 24 yds to the SJSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.97

Chance Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the SJSt 32

2nd & 13Penalty-10 yds

BAKER, Carson pass incomplete to BYRD, Jordan, PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SJSU42, NO PLAY.

2nd & 23Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.86

Carson Baker pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 21 yds to the SJSt 21

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the SJSt 20

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.64

Carson Baker run for no gain to the SJSt 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Nash pass incomplete to Bailey Gaither

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Nick Nash run for 10 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Nick Nash pass complete to Jermaine Braddock for 3 yds to the SJSt 33

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.49

Nick Nash pass complete to Isaiah Hamilton for 9 yds to the SJSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.72

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 27 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -3.98

Nick Nash pass intercepted Tariq Thompson return for 5 yds to the SDSt 28

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BELL, Greg rush for 5 yards to the SDSU33 (PARKER, Tysyn;HARMON, Kyle), PENALTY SDSU holding 10 yards to the SDSU18, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 5 yds to the SDSt 23

2nd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.36

Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 32

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Chance Bell

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tanner Kuljian punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SJSt 38

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Nick Nash pass complete to Tyler Nevens for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 37

2nd & 11Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.87

Nick Nash run for 5 yds to the SDSt 42 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Nick Nash pass complete to Derrick Deese Jr. for 13 yds to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nick Nash pass incomplete to Derrick Deese Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.05

Nick Nash pass complete to Tre Walker for 22 yds to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Nevens run for 2 yds to the SDSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nick Nash run for 3 yds to the SDSt 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Nick Nash pass complete to Bailey Gaither for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Greg Bell run for 13 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Greg Bell run for 8 yds to the SJSt 48

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SJSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.87

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 26 yds to the SJSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SJSt 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Carson Baker pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 11 yds to the SJSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Greg Bell run for 5 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Nick Nash run for a loss of 2 yards to the SJSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Nick Nash pass complete to Tre Walker for 3 yds to the SJSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.19

Nick Nash pass complete to Tyler Nevens for no gain to the SJSt 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Carson Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 38

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+45 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Baker run for 45 yds to the SDSt 17 Carson Baker fumbled, recovered by SJSt Viliami Fehoko , return for no gain to the SDSt 17

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Tyler Nevens run for 14 yds to the SDSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tyler Nevens run for 3 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 8 yds to the SDSt 46

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.17

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Isaiah Richardson, broken up by Malik Welch

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the SJSt 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Greg Bell run for no gain to the SJSt 41

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.08

Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the SJSt 35 for a 1ST down SAN JOSÉ ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.45

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 24 yds to the SJSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chance Bell run for no gain to the SJSt 11

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Carson Baker sacked by Cade Hall for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 15

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.52

Carson Baker pass intercepted, touchback. Tre Jenkins return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Kairee Robinson run for 10 yds to the SJSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Kairee Robinson run for 4 yds to the SJSt 34

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Kairee Robinson run for 1 yd to the SJSt 35

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.70

Nick Nash run for a loss of 4 yards to the SJSt 31

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Elijah Fischer punt for 42 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for no gain to the SDSt 27 Jordan Byrd fumbled, forced by Tre Walker, recovered by SJSt Rico Tolefree

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.89

Nick Nash run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 30 Nick Nash fumbled, recovered by SJSt

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kairee Robinson run for 3 yds to the SDSt 27

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyler Nevens run for 12 yds to the SDSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Nevens run for 1 yd to the SDSt 14

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.81

Nick Nash run for 14 yds for a TD (Matt Mercurio KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Carson Baker pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 7 yds to the SDSt 47

2nd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Carson Baker pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 10 yds to the SJSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 4 yds to the SJSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 1 yd to the SJSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carson Baker pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.70

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Chance Bell

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the SJSt 37

Situational Analysis

San José State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play