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← Back to GamesNov 1, 2020Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Utah State 30%

Market (consensus)

Utah State +9

Edge: Utah State +9 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 1, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
73141438
Utah StateUtah State
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-107-177-247-317-38
Utah StateSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSUSSDSPUNT69ydMISS941ydPUNT35ydTD652ydPUNT520ydMISS1348ydTO927ydDOWNS519ydPUNT37ydFG1277ydTD873ydTD1075ydPUNT35ydTD668ydPUNT31ydTD1182ydPUNT1039ydTD699ydTO428ydPUNT3-2ydTO221ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Utah State
StatisticSan Diego StateUtah State
Passing18-2718-31
Pass Yards163112
Rush Yards407103
Total Yards570215
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-146-16
Penalties6-503-32
Possession37:1021:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Carson Baker
18/27, 163 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Greg Bell
22 CAR, 157 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kobe Smith
6 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Utah State
passing
Jason Shelley
13/21, 88 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devonta'e Henry-Cole
11 CAR, 27 YDS
receiving
Deven Thompkins
6 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Shaquez Bond
1 TFL, 2 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jason Shelley pass complete to Broc Lane for 4 yds to the UthSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 1 yd to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for no gain to the UthSt 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Broc Lane

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 16 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Carson Baker pass complete to BJ Busbee for 9 yds to the UthSt 32

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 3 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the UthSt 20

2nd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 2 yds to the UthSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UthSt 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews

4th & 8Blocked Field Goal+33 yds

Matt Araiza 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Hale Motu'apuaka N/A return for no gain to the UthSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jason Shelley pass complete to Broc Lane for 5 yds to the UthSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29

3rd & 1Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Jason Shelley pass complete to John Gentry for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 25

4th & 5Punt+27 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 yds, downed at the UTAHST 33 UTAH ST Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the SDSt 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the UthSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty+12 yds

BAKER, Carson pass incomplete to DEDEAUX, Ethan (BOND, Shaq), PENALTY USU pass interference (BOND, Shaq) 12 yards to the USU36, 1ST DOWN SDSU, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 11 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Carson Baker pass complete to Jordan Byrd for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.82

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the UthSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 15 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jason Shelley pass complete to Derek Wright for 9 yds to the UthSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 4 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 5 yds to the UthSt 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Devonta'e Henry-Cole

4th & 3Punt+7 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 38 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 7 yds to the SDSt 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.20

Carson Baker pass complete to TJ Sullivan for 9 yds to the SDSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carson Baker pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Kaegun Williams run for 11 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the UthSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.22

Carson Baker pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 9 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.05

Carson Baker pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 10 yds to the UthSt 31

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.40

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews, broken up by Shaq Bond

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the UthSt 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews, broken up by Zahodri Jackson

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Matt Araiza 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Jason Shelley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 8 yds to the UthSt 36

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 37

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.23

Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jason Shelley run for 4 yds to the UthSt 45

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

SHELLEY, Jason pass incomplete to SCARVER, Savon (HALL, Darren), PENALTY SDSU offside 5 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Jason Shelley run for 2 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jason Shelley pass complete to Savon Scarver for 3 yds to the SDSt 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Justin McGriff

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -1.84

Jason Shelley pass intercepted Seyddrick Lakalaka return for 8 yds to the SDSt 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 13 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for no gain to the UthSt 35

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Carson Baker run for 3 yds to the UthSt 32

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.41

Carson Baker pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the UthSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jason Shelley pass complete to Savon Scarver for 4 yds to the UthSt 39

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins, broken up by Tayler Hawkins

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 49 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for no gain to the SDSt 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 14

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.37

Greg Bell run for 17 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 40

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Greg Bell run for 6 yds to the SDSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.50

Chance Bell run for 30 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Carson Baker run for 5 yds to the UthSt 19

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Carson Baker pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Chance Bell run for 6 yds to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Greg Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 14

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Carson Baker pass incomplete to Jesse Matthews, broken up by Zahodri Jackson

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the UthSt 11

4th & 8Field Goal Good+28 yds

Matt Araiza 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 3 yds to the UthSt 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.30

Jason Shelley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 8 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jason Shelley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 7 yds to the UthSt 45

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Jason Shelley pass incomplete, broken up by Cameron Thomas

3rd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.29

Jason Shelley run for 14 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jason Shelley pass complete to Devonta'e Henry-Cole for 4 yds to the SDSt 37

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +4.27

Jason Shelley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 37 yds for a TD (Nels Haltom KICK)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-13 ydsPPA -1.27

Greg Bell run for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 22 SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the SDSt 12

1st & 23Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Baker sacked by Cash Gilliam and Justus Te'i for a loss of 3 yards to the SDSt 9

2nd & 26Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.24

Greg Bell run for 16 yds to the SDSt 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.47

Carson Baker pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 16 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.87

Greg Bell run for 30 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Chance Bell run for 10 yds to the UthSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the UthSt 15

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the UthSt 10

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Greg Bell run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 3 yds to the UthSt 24

2nd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.61

Jason Shelley sacked by Cameron Thomas and Kahi Neves for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 21

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jason Shelley run for 5 yds to the UthSt 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDSt 32

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Carson Baker run for 17 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Greg Bell run for 15 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UthSt 34

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Carson Baker pass complete to Kobe Smith for 6 yds to the UthSt 28

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Carson Baker run for 1 yd to the UthSt 27

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.79

Chance Bell run for 27 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for no gain to the UthSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Devonta'e Henry-Cole run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jason Shelley pass incomplete to Jordan Nathan

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 56 yds, downed at the SDSt 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Carson Baker pass complete to Isaiah Richardson for 1 yd to the SDSt 22

3rd & 6Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.11

Greg Bell run for 27 yds to the SDSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Carson Baker run for 3 yds to the UthSt 48

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chance Bell run for 5 yds to the UthSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.03

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Chance Bell run for 4 yds to the UthSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the UthSt 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Carson Baker pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 4 yds to the UthSt 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.32

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Carson Baker pass complete to Greg Bell for 29 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 20

1st & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.67

Elelyon Noa run for 16 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Justin McGriff for 4 yds to the UthSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the UthSt 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 45

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the SDSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Deven Thompkins, broken up by Seyddrick Lakalaka

3rd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.38

Andrew Peasley run for 19 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the SDSt 27

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -2.08

Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 7 yards to the SDSt 36 Elelyon Noa fumbled, forced by Keshawn Banks, recovered by UthSt Elelyon Noa

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Justin McGriff

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds, downed at the SDSt 1

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Chase Jasmin run for no gain to the SDSt 1

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Chase Jasmin run for 8 yds to the SDSt 9

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Chase Jasmin run for 8 yds to the SDSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Chase Jasmin run for 2 yds to the SDSt 19

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Chase Jasmin run for 8 yds to the SDSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+73 ydsPPA +5.93

Jordan Byrd run for 73 yds for a TD (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.00

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 8 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST down SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, personal foul (Segun Olubi) to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Andrew Peasley pass incomplete to Broc Lane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Interception Return+17 ydsPPA -1.63

Andrew Peasley pass intercepted Cedarious Barfield return for 17 yds to the SDSt 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the SDSt 48

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

WILLIAMS, K. rush for 3 yards to the USU49 (MOTU'APUAKA, H.), PENALTY SDSU holding (CAPRA, Jacob) 10 yards to the SDSU38, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 41

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Leka Lotulelei run for 6 yds to the SDSt 47

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 42

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tanner Kuljian punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 2 yds to the UthSt 22

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -0.25

John Gentry run for 19 yds to the UthSt 41 John Gentry fumbled, forced by Michael Shawcroft, recovered by SDSt Michael Shawcroft

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 42

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 43

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
36 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
64%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
20 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th