Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
WisconsinWisconsin
7
-Final
28
IowaIowa
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 9

Home Win Probability

Iowa 70%

Market (consensus)

Iowa +2

Edge: Iowa +2 (11.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WisconsinWisconsin
00707
IowaIowa
3315728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-06-014-021-728-7
IowaWisconsin

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISWISIOWWISWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWWISIOWPUNT635ydTO412ydFG520ydPUNT37ydPUNT30ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydPUNT31ydPUNT515ydPUNT735ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-8ydPUNT31ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydDOWNS43ydFG636ydEND15ydMISS946ydTD571ydPUNT39ydTD325ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-6ydTD478ydDOWNS1656ydDOWNS4-14ydTO43ydTD180ydPUNT31ydEND55yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wisconsin and Iowa
StatisticWisconsinIowa
Passing20-3814-25
Pass Yards169211
Rush Yards56127
Total Yards225338
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-183-14
Penalties5-406-50
Possession34:1125:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
20/38, 169 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Nakia Watson
13 CAR, 29 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jack Dunn
5 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Iowa
passing
Spencer Petras
14/25, 211 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tyler Goodson
11 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
7 REC, 140 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 9 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Mekhi Sargent run for 15 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Wisc 44

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 6 yds to the Wisc 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 6 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.06

Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -1.66

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 32 Nakia Watson fumbled, recovered by Iowa Nick Niemann

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 14 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 20

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 8 yds to the Wisc 12

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Keith Duncan 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Nakia Watson run for 2 yds to the Wisc 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 2 yds to the Iowa 21

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Iowa 28

3rd & 1Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.89

Spencer Petras sacked by Noah Burks for a loss of 9 yards to the Iowa 19 IOWA Penalty, intentional grounding (Spencer Petras) to the Iowa 19

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the Wisc 48

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Jack Campbell

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 5 yds to the Iowa 19

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 40

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike, broken up by Riley Moss

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 60 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 10 yds to the Iowa 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 39

2nd & 3Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.05

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 33

3rd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Spencer Petras pass complete to Nico Ragaini for 2 yds to the Iowa 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.24

Chimere Dike run for 18 yds to the Wisc 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.99

Graham Mertz run for no gain to the Wisc 34 Graham Mertz fumbled, recovered by Wisc Graham Mertz

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.42

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 10 yds to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jack Dunn run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Nakia Watson

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 32

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Iowa 33

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.57

Spencer Petras sacked by Isaiahh Loudermilk for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 26

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 29

2nd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.67

Graham Mertz sacked by Seth Benson for a loss of 10 yards to the Wisc 19

3rd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Wisc 22

4th & 18Punt+62 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 47 yds , Charlie Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Iowa 21 IOWA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Iowa 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brady Schipper run for 3 yds to the Wisc 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn, broken up by Jack Campbell

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 4 yds to the Wisc 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 51 yds, downed at the Iowa 2

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 4

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Iowa 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Nico Ragaini

4th & 6Punt+34 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 39 yds IOWA Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Iowa 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 4 yds to the Iowa 33

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Iowa 31

4th & 1Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.89

Garrett Groshek run for a loss of 6 yards to the Iowa 37

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

[SG], PENALTY WIS pass interference (Williams, C.) 15 yards to the WIS48, 1ST DOWN IOWA, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Spencer Petras run for 5 yds to the Wisc 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.81

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 11 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

[SG], Petras,Spencer pass incomplete to Tracy,Tyrone, PENALTY IOWA pass interference (Tracy,Tyrone) 15 yards to the WIS47, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

2nd & 25Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.90

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 20 yds to the Wisc 27

3rd & 5Field Goal Good+45 yds

Keith Duncan 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mason Stokke run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 13 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.27

Graham Mertz pass complete to Mason Stokke for 11 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Iowa 32

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

4th & 2Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Collin Larsh 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 14 yds to the Iowa 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.86

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 38 yds to the Wisc 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Wisc 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.41

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 19 yds for a TD (Spencer Petras pass for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 3 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wisc 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 10 yds to the Wisc 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Mason Stokke run for 1 yd to the Wisc 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 41 yds , Charlie Jones returns for no gain to the Iowa 25 Charlie Jones fumbled, recovered by Wisc Adam Bay

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chimere Dike run for 3 yds to the Iowa 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.90

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 21 yds to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Nakia Watson run for 1 yd for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Iowa 32

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Wisc 29

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.46

Graham Mertz sacked by Chauncey Golston for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 20

4th & 16Punt+1 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 22 , Charlie Jones returns for 1 yd to the Iowa 21 IOWA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Iowa 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 27

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31

3rd & 1Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.19

Tyler Goodson run for 16 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 53 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Mertz, Graham rush left for no gain to the WIS25 (VanValkenburg,Z;Niemann,Nick), PENALTY WIS illegal formation 5 yards to the WIS20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.99

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 14 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 5 yds to the Wisc 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Graham Mertz run for 2 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jack Dunn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Mason Stokke

3rd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.15

Graham Mertz pass complete to Devin Chandler for 16 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chimere Dike run for no gain to the Iowa 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Graham Mertz pass complete to Devin Chandler for 12 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Iowa 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 5 yds to the Iowa 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Garrett Groshek

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.90

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 13 yds to the Iowa 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Iowa 12

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Watson, Nakia rush left for no gain to the IOWA12 (Benson,Seth), PENALTY WIS holding (Van Lanen, Cole) 10 yards to the IOWA22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Graham Mertz pass complete to A.J. Abbott for 3 yds to the Iowa 19

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.79

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 25

2nd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.98

Mekhi Sargent run for a loss of 4 yards to the Iowa 21

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Tyler Goodson

4th & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA +0.29

Team run for a loss of 11 yards to the Iowa 5 Team fumbled, recovered by Iowa Tory Taylor IOWA Penalty, illegal kicking (Tory Taylor) to the Iowa 5

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Graham Mertz run for no gain to the Iowa 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Iowa 2

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.15

Graham Mertz pass intercepted, touchback. Jack Campbell return for no gain

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+80 ydsPPA +6.39

Tyler Goodson run for 80 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Devin Chandler, broken up by Matt Hankins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Graham Mertz pass complete to Brady Schipper for 6 yds to the Wisc 31

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

[SG], PENALTY WIS false start (Beach, Tyler) 5 yards to the WIS26, NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson, broken up by Joe Evans

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 39 yds, downed at the Iowa 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 40

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.95

Mekhi Sargent run for 6 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 44

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 42

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 40

Situational Analysis

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
29%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
48%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play