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← Back to GamesDec 12, 2020Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northwestern by 17.5

Home Win Probability

Northwestern 83%

Market (consensus)

Northwestern -13.5

Edge: Northwestern -13.5 (4.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
300710
NorthwesternNorthwestern
01414028

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-314-321-328-328-10
NorthwesternIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORILLNORPUNT414ydTO14ydMISS46ydPUNT526ydFG1459ydTD675ydMISS1035ydDOWNS739ydPUNT3-6ydTD1764ydEND311ydTD975ydPUNT31ydTD1081ydPUNT33ydPUNT938ydTD786ydDOWNS556ydDOWNS940ydEND12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Northwestern
StatisticIllinoisNorthwestern
Passing7-227-12
Pass Yards10782
Rush Yards155411
Total Yards262493
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-126-15
Penalties4-356-40
Possession25:2534:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Isaiah Williams
4/8, 86 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chase Brown
14 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Brian Hightower
2 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Northwestern
passing
Peyton Ramsey
7/12, 82 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Evan Hull
13 CAR, 149 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kyric McGowan
4 REC, 72 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Chase Brown run for 16 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Chase Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 2 yds to the Illin 46

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington, broken up by Paddy Fisher

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 52 yds, downed at the Nwest 2

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+18 ydsPPA -0.02

Drake Anderson run for 3 yds to the Nwest 21 Drake Anderson fumbled, forced by Jartavius Martin, recovered by Illin Devon Witherspoon ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Nwest 21

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 22

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Mike Epstein run for 8 yds to the Nwest 14

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.57

Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 15

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+32 yds

James McCourt 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Peyton Ramsey run for 12 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 15 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Peyton Ramsey run for 4 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Michael Marchese

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman) to the Nwest 46

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mike Epstein run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.20

Chase Brown run for 15 yds to the Nwest 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Brandon Peters run for 3 yds to the Nwest 32

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Nwest 29

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.75

Brandon Peters run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.14

Chase Brown run for 11 yds to the Nwest 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.30

Team run for no gain to the Nwest 20 Team fumbled, recovered by Illin

2nd & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.82

Isaiah Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Nwest 21

3rd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Nwest 21

4th & 18Field Goal Good+39 yds

James McCourt 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cam Porter run for 2 yds to the Nwest 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the Nwest 34

3rd & 1Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.13

Cam Porter run for 31 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.43

Kyric McGowan run for 22 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.33

Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Marquez Beason) to the Illin 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Charlie Mangieri for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.48

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 8 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 40

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

4th & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.86

Blake Hayes run for 20 yds to the Nwest 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Nwest 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+53 yds

James McCourt 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Peyton Ramsey run for 9 yds to the Nwest 44

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.04

Evan Hull run for 23 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.85

Evan Hull run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 29

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 7 yds to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

Ramsey,Peyton pass complete to Mcgowan,Kyric for 29 yards to the ILL0, clock 09:51, PENALTY NU ineligible downfield on pass (Urban,Nik) 5 yards to the ILL34, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Peyton Ramsey run for 8 yds to the Illin 26

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Cam Porter

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.26

Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to Riley Lees, broken up by Jake Hansen

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, personal foul (Derrick Smith) to the Illin 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 14

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Isaiah Williams run for 6 yds to the Illin 20

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Isaiah Williams run for no gain to the Illin 20 ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 3Punt+17 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 61 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 36 , Riley Lees returns for 17 yds to the Nwest 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Nwest 45

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cam Porter run for no gain to the Nwest 45

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.06

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Illin 45

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Cam Porter for 3 yds to the Illin 38

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Peyton Ramsey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Peyton Ramsey pass incomplete to John Raine

4th & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.10

Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 17 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaiah Bowser run for 4 yds to the Illin 18

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Illin 15

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Peyton Ramsey run for 2 yds to the Illin 13

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.55

Peyton Ramsey run for 3 yds to the Illin 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the Illin 7

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Ramsey,Peyton pass incomplete to Raine,John, PENALTY ILL pass interference (Martin,J.) 5 yards to the ILL2, 1ST DOWN NU, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Cam Porter run for 2 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 11 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Nwest 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Cam Porter run for 1 yd to the Nwest 30

3rd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.73

Cam Porter run for 18 yds to the Nwest 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Illin 47

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.93

Cam Porter run for 12 yds to the Illin 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Kyric McGowan run for 12 yds to the Illin 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Peyton Ramsey run for 1 yd to the Illin 22

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Cam Porter run for 4 yds to the Illin 18

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.04

Cam Porter run for 18 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 36

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Nwest 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cam Porter run for 5 yds to the Nwest 24

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Cam Porter run for 3 yds to the Nwest 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Riley Lees for 5 yds to the Nwest 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.29

Cam Porter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Nwest 29

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Porter run for no gain to the Nwest 29

3rd & 13Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +4.04

Peyton Ramsey pass complete to Kyric McGowan for 33 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, false start (Jordan Butler) to the Illin 43

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Cam Porter run for 7 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Bowser run for 3 yds to the Illin 33

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Isaiah Bowser run for 1 yd to the Illin 32

4th & 4Rushing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.59

Evan Hull run for 32 yds for a TD (Charlie Kuhbander KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 26

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 7Punt-2 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 62 yds , Riley Lees returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 10

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Evan Hull run for 11 yds to the Nwest 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Evan Hull run for 20 yds to the Nwest 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Evan Hull run for 3 yds to the Nwest 44

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Isaiah Bowser run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

Bowser,Isaiah rush for 1 yard to the ILL49 (Newton,JerZhan), PENALTY NU holding (Wiederkehr,E) 10 yards to the NU40, NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.83

Andrew Marty run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.11

Andrew Marty run for 1 yd to the Illin 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Evan Hull run for 1 yd to the Illin 44

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Team run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 47 Team fumbled, recovered by Nwest Andrew Marty

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

NORTHWESTERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Nwest 48

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Derek Adams punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 6 yds to the Illin 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.22

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 20 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.34

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Brian Hightower for 14 yds to the Nwest 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +4.57

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Brian Hightower for 46 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.38

Evan Hull run for 50 yds to the Illin 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Evan Hull run for 4 yds to the Illin 19

3rd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Hull,Evan rush for 5 yards to the ILL14 (Barnes,Bryce), PENALTY NU holding (Gordon,Thomas) 10 yards to the ILL29, NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Andrew Marty run for 10 yds to the Illin 19

4th & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -3.43

Evan Hull run for no gain to the Illin 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 22

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Illin 34

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Reggie Love III run for 2 yds to the Illin 36

3rd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.01

Isaiah Williams run for 17 yds to the Nwest 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Nwest 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Conner Lillig run for 3 yds to the Nwest 46

4th & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.62

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Nwest 41

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Evan Hull run for 2 yds to the Nwest 43

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
23 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
62%
13 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Northwestern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
46%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays