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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2020Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 75%

Market (consensus)

Wisconsin -13.5

Edge: Indiana +13.5 (2.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 5, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IndianaIndiana
077014
WisconsinWisconsin
03306

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-73-73-146-14
WisconsinIndiana

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WISINDWISINDWISINDWISINDWISINDWISINDWISINDWISINDWISINDPUNT517ydPUNT30ydPUNT37ydPUNT740ydTO938ydTD1253ydFG1281ydPUNT629ydEND33ydTD775ydTO537ydTO420ydFG1252ydPUNT419ydPUNT838ydPUNT827ydDOWNS1471ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Indiana and Wisconsin
StatisticIndianaWisconsin
Passing13-2220-34
Pass Yards130202
Rush Yards87140
Total Yards217342
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-108-16
Penalties1-158-81
Possession24:4035:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Indiana
passing
Jack Tuttle
13/22, 130 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Stevie Scott
18 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Whop Philyor
4 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
20/34, 202 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Berger
15 CAR, 87 YDS
receiving
Jake Ferguson
5 REC, 54 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Jalen Berger run for 12 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Mason Stokke run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Wisc 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+5 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 47 yds , Reese Taylor returns for 5 yds to the Ind 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 16

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Garrett Groshek run for 7 yds to the Ind 44

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Conor Schlichting punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jacolby Hewitt at the Ind 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

David Ellis run for 2 yds to the Ind 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 15 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 2 yds to the Ind 29

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

David Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 28

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference 15 yards to the INDIANA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 44

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the Ind 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Stevie Scott III for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Haydon Whitehead punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 15

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Graham Mertz sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Graham Mertz pass complete to Mason Stokke for 5 yds to the Wisc 19

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 13 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jalen Berger run for 3 yds to the Wisc 35

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Jalen Berger run for 10 yds to the Wisc 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Ind 49

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.05

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 15 yds to the Ind 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Graham Mertz sacked by Tiawan Mullen for a loss of 8 yards to the Ind 47 Graham Mertz fumbled, recovered by Ind

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jack Tuttle pass complete to David Ellis for 9 yds to the Wisc 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 5 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Wisc 28

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 23

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Jack Tuttle run for 3 yds to the Wisc 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Whop Philyor

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.30

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 16 yds to the Wisc 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jack Tuttle run for 3 yds to the Wisc 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Peyton Hendershot for 1 yd for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jalen Berger run for 4 yds to the Wisc 13

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 10 yds to the Wisc 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 4 yds to the Wisc 27

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jalen Berger run for no gain to the Wisc 27

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.44

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 16 yds to the Wisc 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Wisc 45

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Mertz, Graham pass incomplete to Pryor, Kendric, PENALTY INDIANA pass interference (Williams, Jaylin) 15 yards to the INDIANA40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WISCONSIN.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Ind 33

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.19

Jalen Berger run for 19 yds to the Ind 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Ind 11

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Ind 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Collin Larsh 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 19 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.58

Stevie Scott III run for 5 yds to the Wisc 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Wisc 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Whop Philyor

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Whop Philyor

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wisc 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Graham Mertz run for 1 yd to the Wisc 2

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Wisc 5

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.11

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 4

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Ind 29

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Bjorson, Matt, PENALTY WISCONSIN roughing passer 15 yards to the INDIANA44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.74

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Ty Fryfogle for 35 yds to the Wisc 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Stevie Scott III run for 4 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

David Ellis run for 7 yds to the Wisc 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Wisc 9

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Wisc 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 7 yds for a TD (Charles Campbell KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 19 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Jalen Berger run for 20 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.38

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 38

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return+20 ydsPPA -1.89

Graham Mertz pass intercepted Jamar Johnson return for 20 yds to the Ind 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

David Ellis run for 11 yds to the Wisc 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

David Ellis run for 3 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Jack Tuttle pass complete to David Ellis for 6 yds to the Wisc 40

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.20

Jack Tuttle run for 2 yds to the Wisc 38 Jack Tuttle fumbled, recovered by Wisc Nick Herbig

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Graham Mertz pass complete to Mason Stokke for 1 yd to the Wisc 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.83

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 25 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Ind 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 7 yds to the Ind 28

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.44

Jalen Berger run for 2 yds to the Ind 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Berger run for 9 yds to the Ind 17

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.85

Jalen Berger run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 19

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.35

Mason Stokke run for 3 yds to the Ind 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Graham Mertz run for 5 yds to the Ind 11

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Berger run for 1 yd to the Ind 10

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Kendric Pryor, broken up by Tiawan Mullen

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 yds

Collin Larsh 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Stevie Scott III run for 3 yds to the Ind 28

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Tuttle, Jack pass incomplete to Fryfogle, Ty, PENALTY WISCONSIN pass interference (Williams, Caesar) 15 yards to the INDIANA43, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN INDIANA.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Miles Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Stevie Scott III run for 2 yds to the Ind 45

3rd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jack Tuttle sacked by Scott Nelson for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Haydon Whitehead punt for 40 yds, downed at the Wisc 16

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

Berger, Jalen rush for 22 yards to the WISCONSIN38, PENALTY WISCONSIN holding 8 yards to the WISCONSIN8, NO PLAY.

1st & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Jalen Berger run for 6 yds to the Wisc 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.30

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 14 yds to the Wisc 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Garrett Groshek run for 5 yds to the Wisc 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 1 yd to the Wisc 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.70

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 17 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Graham Mertz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Garrett Groshek run for 3 yds to the Ind 46

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Reese Taylor at the Ind 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Stevie Scott III run for 8 yds to the Ind 22

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Stevie Scott III run for 1 yd to the Ind 23

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Whop Philyor for 6 yds to the Ind 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Stevie Scott III run for 7 yds to the Ind 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Jack Tuttle pass complete to Jacolby Hewitt for 5 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Stevie Scott III run for no gain to the Ind 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Ty Fryfogle

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Tuttle pass incomplete to Peyton Hendershot INDIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Haydon Whitehead punt for 51 yds, downed at the Wisc 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Graham Mertz pass complete to A.J. Abbott for 9 yds to the Wisc 17

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.01

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 8 yds to the Wisc 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.69

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Eschenbach for 22 yds to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 2 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jack Dunn

3rd & 8Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Graham Mertz run for 18 yds to the Ind 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Graham Mertz run for no gain to the Ind 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Graham Mertz pass complete to Chimere Dike for 9 yds to the Ind 24

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Nakia Watson run for 3 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Graham Mertz run for 4 yds to the Ind 17

2nd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Graham Mertz sacked by Micah McFadden for a loss of 4 yards to the Ind 21

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Jake Ferguson

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Chimere Dike, broken up by Reese Taylor

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ind 19

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ind 18

Situational Analysis

Indiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
30%
23 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
100%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
4th

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
14 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play