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← Back to GamesDec 5, 2020Week 14
IowaIowa
35
-Final
21
IllinoisIllinois
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Iowa by 14.1

Home Win Probability

Illinois 20%

Market (consensus)

Illinois +13.5

Edge: Iowa -13.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 5, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IowaIowa
01381435
IllinoisIllinois
770721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-714-1014-1314-2114-2814-3521-35
IllinoisIowa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IOWILLIOWILLIOWILLIOWILLIOWILLIOWILLIOWILLILLIOWILLIOWILLIOWILLIOWILLIOWPUNT35ydTD970ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT33ydPUNT625ydTD875ydPUNT417ydTO34ydTD852ydPUNT3-8ydFG632ydPUNT36ydFG844ydEND1-2ydPUNT518ydTD970ydPUNT923ydPUNT848ydPUNT46ydTD232ydDOWNS1563ydTD1088ydTD1075ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa and Illinois
StatisticIowaIllinois
Passing18-2817-35
Pass Yards220199
Rush Yards204149
Total Yards424348
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-129-18
Penalties3-223-30
Possession30:3329:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa
passing
Spencer Petras
18/28, 220 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Tyler Goodson
19 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Brandon Smith
5 REC, 58 YDS
defense
Illinois
passing
Brandon Peters
10/18, 116 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chase Brown
18 CAR, 83 YDS
receiving
Josh Imatorbhebhe
4 REC, 48 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the Iowa 18

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.53

Spencer Petras sacked by Khalan Tolson for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 11

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.09

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 9 yds to the Iowa 20

4th & 5Punt+4 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 54 yds , Caleb Griffin returns for 4 yds to the Illin 30

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 36

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.80

Brandon Peters pass complete to Chase Brown for 18 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 3 yds to the Iowa 43

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Iowa 38

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Brandon Peters run for 13 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Reggie Love III run for 1 yd to the Iowa 24

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brandon Peters run for no gain to the Iowa 24

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.61

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 24 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 5

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 6

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Caleb Griffin at the Iowa 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Iowa 47

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Iowa 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.69

Brandon Peters pass complete to Chase Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Iowa 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Mekhi Sargent run for 7 yds to the Iowa 18

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Spencer Petras run for 1 yd to the Iowa 19

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.08

Tyler Goodson run for 10 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 34

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the Iowa 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Caleb Griffin at the Illin 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 12 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the Illin 44

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Reggie Love III run for 8 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Reggie Love III run for 7 yds to the Iowa 41

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Iowa 41

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Iowa 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.52

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 25 yds to the Iowa 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 12 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Spencer Petras pass complete to Monte Pottebaum for 20 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Goodson run for no gain to the Iowa 45

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Shaun Beyer

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Spencer Petras sacked by Isaiah Gay and Owen Carney Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the Iowa 42

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Caleb Griffin at the Illin 13

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.63

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 6

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Peters run for 1 yd to the Illin 7

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.08

Brandon Peters pass complete to Casey Washington for 10 yds to the Illin 17

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 35 yds , Nico Ragaini returns for no gain to the Iowa 48 Nico Ragaini fumbled, recovered by Iowa Nico Ragaini

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Mekhi Sargent run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 6 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Tyler Goodson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 42

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 9 yds to the Illin 33

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.90

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 11 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 22 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brown, Chase rush for 1 yard to the ILLINOIS26, PENALTY ILLINOIS holding 10 yards to the ILLINOIS15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Peters run for 2 yds to the Illin 17

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 13 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Goodson run for 12 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Mekhi Sargent run for 1 yd to the Illin 22

4th & 3Field Goal Good+40 yds

Keith Duncan 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chase Brown run for 6 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 37 yds , Charlie Jones returns for no gain to the Iowa 31 ILLINOIS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Iowa 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Spencer Petras pass complete to Tyler Goodson for 7 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.81

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 24 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Illin 16

2nd & 4Penalty-9 yds

IOWA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the Illin 25

2nd & 13Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.67

Spencer Petras pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 21 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Brandon Smith

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

IOWA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 9

4th & 9Field Goal Good+27 yds

Keith Duncan 27 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 23

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Chase Brown run for 10 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+2 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 2 yds to the Iowa 30

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Tyler Goodson run for 8 yds to the Iowa 38

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Iowa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Tyler Goodson run for 6 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 8 yds to the Illin 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Illin 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.10

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 19 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Mekhi Sargent run for 8 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 8 yds to the Illin 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Spencer Petras pass complete to Ihmir Smith-Marsette for 4 yds for a TD (Spencer Petras pass to Tyler Goodson for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brandon Peters run for 5 yds to the Illin 26

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Brandon Peters run for 4 yds to the Illin 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.82

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 11 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 4 yds to the Illin 47

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.70

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 49 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 9 yds to the Iowa 16

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Mekhi Sargent run for 4 yds to the Iowa 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.72

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 7 yds to the Iowa 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Mekhi Sargent run for 20 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Goodson run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Spencer Petras pass complete to Brandon Smith for 13 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Spencer Petras pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyler Goodson run for 1 yd to the Illin 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Spencer Petras pass incomplete to Sam LaPorta

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tory Taylor punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 6

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.62

Chase Brown run for 16 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 25

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 25

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.36

Brandon Peters sacked by Daviyon Nixon and Chauncey Golston for a loss of 8 yards to the Illin 17

4th & 15Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 12

4th & 20Punt+18 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 38 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 18 yds to the Illin 32

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Goodson run for 16 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Spencer Petras pass complete to Shaun Beyer for 16 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Williams run for 8 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Isaiah Williams run for 9 yds to the Illin 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 42

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Isaiah Williams run for 2 yds to the Illin 44

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.69

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Donny Navarro for 10 yds to the Iowa 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 7 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Donny Navarro

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Daniel Barker for 2 yds to the Iowa 33

3rd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Chase Brown run for 17 yds to the Iowa 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaiah Williams run for 4 yds to the Iowa 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.65

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Chase Brown

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mekhi Sargent run for 5 yds to the Iowa 17

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Ivory Kelly-Martin run for 2 yds to the Iowa 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Spencer Petras pass complete to Sam LaPorta for 3 yds to the Iowa 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mekhi Sargent run for no gain to the Iowa 22

2nd & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.27

Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 31 yds to the Illin 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Tyler Goodson run for 7 yds to the Illin 40

2nd & 3Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyrone Tracy Jr. run for 21 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Goodson run for 4 yds to the Illin 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Tyler Goodson run for 2 yds to the Illin 13

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Ihmir Smith-Marsette run for 13 yds for a TD (Keith Duncan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Isaiah Williams run for 11 yds to the Illin 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 6 yds to the Illin 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Luke Ford for 11 yds to the Iowa 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete to Luke Ford

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.73

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Dalevon Campbell for 18 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.32

Isaiah Williams pass complete to Carlos Sandy for 29 yds for a TD (James McCourt KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 48

Situational Analysis

Iowa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
59%
29 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
31%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play