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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2020Week 12
PurduePurdue
31
-Final
34
MinnesotaMinnesota
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 5.2

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 64%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota +2.5

Edge: Minnesota +2.5 (7.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PurduePurdue
7314731
MinnesotaMinnesota
1477634

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-714-714-1021-1028-1728-2434-2434-31
MinnesotaPurdue

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURMINPURPURMINPURPURMINPURMINPURMINTD869ydTD1091ydTD1193ydPUNT33ydPUNT512ydFG956ydTD1175ydMISS1071ydEND1-1ydTD584ydTD975ydUncategorized00ydTD975ydTD975ydUncategorized00ydTD1275ydDOWNS46ydMISS615ydPUNT31ydTO727ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Purdue and Minnesota
StatisticPurdueMinnesota
Passing35-4315-22
Pass Yards367264
Rush Yards125131
Total Yards492395
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-127-11
Penalties4-384-41
Possession29:4230:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Purdue
passing
Jack Plummer
35/42, 367 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Alexander Horvath
10 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Rondale Moore
15 REC, 116 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
15/22, 264 YDS
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
25 CAR, 102 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Chris Autman-Bell
5 REC, 129 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Witham for 3 yds to the Minn 40

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.73

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.18

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 24 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Prdue 20

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.14

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 7 yds to the Prdue 6

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

Cam Wiley 6 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 8

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Zander Horvath run for 6 yds to the Prdue 14

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.74

Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the Prdue 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.77

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 33 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Zander Horvath run for 4 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Zander Horvath run for no gain to the Minn 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.09

Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 16 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.20

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 14 yds to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 5 yds to the Minn 8

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.46

Rondale Moore 8 Yd Run (J.D. Dellinger Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.81

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 42 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Prdue 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.02

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 20 yds to the Prdue 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 15 for a 1ST down PURDUE Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (8 Yards) to the Prdue 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mike Brown-Stephens

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Prdue 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 1 yd to the Prdue 38

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Zac Collins punt for 51 yds, downed at the Minn 11

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 18

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 48 yds, downed at the Prdue 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.48

Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 29 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 13 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.87

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Minn 23 PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 33

1st & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.66

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 10 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.03

King Doerue run for 9 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

King Doerue run for no gain to the Minn 14

2nd & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.25

King Doerue run for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 21

3rd & 17Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds Rondale Moore fumbled, forced by Mariano Sori-Marin, recovered by Prdue Rondale Moore

4th & 11Field Goal Good+32 yds

J.D. Dellinger 32 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.39

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 19 yds to the Minn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryce Williams run for 4 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.13

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 9 yds to the Prdue 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.59

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Jake Paulson for 19 yds to the Prdue 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Prdue 20

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Prdue 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Prdue 11

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Williams for 8 yds to the Prdue 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

Seth Green 3 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Rondale Moore run for 1 yd to the Prdue 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Prdue 28

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.75

Zander Horvath run for 2 yds to the Prdue 30 for a 1ST down

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Prdue 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.78

Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 39 yds to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.21

Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 16 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale Moore

3rd & 10Blocked Field Goal+27 yds

J.D. Dellinger 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Mariano Sori-Marin

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 10

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jack Plummer run for 1 yd to the Prdue 17

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.11

Rondale Moore run for 11 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Zander Horvath run for 24 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Zander Horvath run for 1 yd to the Minn 47

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +4.52

David Bell 47 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 17 yds to the Minn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Bryce Williams run for 2 yds to the Minn 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.22

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Seth Green for 20 yds to the Prdue 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Prdue 33

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Preston Jelen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34

4th & 8Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +4.34

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 33 yds to the Prdue 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mohamed Ibrahim 1 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)

No play data available
1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.71

Zander Horvath run for 21 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for no gain to the Minn 41

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jack Plummer run for 6 yds to the Minn 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.05

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Minn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 8 yds to the Minn 21

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.28

Zander Horvath run for 5 yds to the Minn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 7 yds to the Minn 9

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.26

David Bell 9 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.97

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 39 yds to the Prdue 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Cam Wiley run for 9 yds to the Prdue 23

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.44

Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Prdue 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.73

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 4 yards to the Prdue 23

2nd & 14Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.12

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 21 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.23

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 3 yards to the Prdue 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Mohamed Ibrahim 5 Yd Run (Brock Walker PAT failed)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

King Doerue run for 4 yds to the Prdue 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 10 yds to the Prdue 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PURDUE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Prdue 34

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Jack Plummer run for 9 yds to the Prdue 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

King Doerue run for 5 yds to the Prdue 48

3rd & 1Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.32

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the MINNESOTA 41 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Minn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 5 yds to the Minn 21

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

King Doerue run for 1 yd to the Minn 20

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 3 yds to the Minn 17

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.67

King Doerue run for 3 yds to the Minn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Payne Durham

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Plummer pass complete to David Bell for 3 yds to the Minn 11

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (5 Yards) to the Minn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Payne Durham 6 Yd pass from Jack Plummer (J.D. Dellinger Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Minn 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Bryce Williams run for 1 yd to the Minn 34

4th & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.20

Seth Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the Minn 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale Moore

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 11 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 1 yd to the Minn 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to Rondale Moore

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jack Plummer pass complete to Zander Horvath for 3 yds to the Minn 16

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+33 yds

J.D. Dellinger 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Cam Wiley run for 1 yd to the Minn 22

3rd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.19

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 21

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by TJ Sheffield at the Prdue 39

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jack Plummer run for no gain to the Minn 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jack Plummer pass incomplete to David Bell

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Jack Plummer pass complete to Milton Wright for 13 yds to the Minn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jack Plummer pass complete to Payne Durham for 5 yds to the Minn 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Zander Horvath run for 3 yds to the Minn 25

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.42

Jack Plummer pass complete to Rondale Moore for 6 yds to the Minn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

PURDUE Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the Minn 34

1st & 25Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -2.76

Jack Plummer pass intercepted Josh Aune return for 5 yds to the Minn 18

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 17

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Minn 16

Situational Analysis

Purdue

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
46%
28 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
42%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
38%
26 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play