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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2020Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Illinois 30%

Market (consensus)

Illinois +7.5

Edge: Minnesota -7.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MinnesotaMinnesota
7217641
IllinoisIllinois
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-217-287-3514-41
IllinoisMinnesota

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINILLMINPUNT635ydPUNT3-3ydTO319ydPUNT414ydTD1193ydPUNT617ydTD661ydPUNT47ydTD877ydTD683ydTD1075ydEND1-2ydPUNT1227ydPUNT748ydPUNT36ydTD771ydPUNT82ydTO10ydTD379ydTD562ydPUNT3-8ydEND1040yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Minnesota and Illinois
StatisticMinnesotaIllinois
Passing17-276-17
Pass Yards216106
Rush Yards325169
Total Yards541275
Turnovers20
3rd Down8-103-12
Penalties2-2212-115
Possession37:3522:25

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
17/27, 216 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
30 CAR, 224 YDS, 4 TD
receiving
Rashod Bateman
10 REC, 139 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Illinois
passing
Coran Taylor
6/17, 106 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Mike Epstein
11 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Imatorbhebhe
2 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 15 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.19

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 14 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 5 yds to the Illin 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Tanner Morgan punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Illin 21

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Coran Taylor run for 2 yds to the Illin 23

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.35

Coran Taylor sacked by Esezi Otomewo for a loss of 7 yards to the Illin 16

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 38

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -3.91

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 43 Mohamed Ibrahim fumbled, recovered by Illin Isaiah Gay

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Chase Brown run for 16 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Minn 39

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Coran Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 49

3rd & 18Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Coran Taylor pass complete to Brian Hightower for 6 yds to the Minn 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 36 yds, downed at the Minn 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

3rd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.73

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 32 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.26

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 22 yds to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Illin 28

3rd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.06

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 19 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Treyson Potts 9 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Coran Taylor run for 8 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.06

Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Mike Epstein run for no gain to the Illin 31

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Illin 26

2nd & 15Penalty+12 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the Illin 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Illin 28

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Coran Taylor run for 5 yds to the Illin 33

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Coran Taylor pass complete to Casey Washington for 8 yds to the Illin 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Coran Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the Illin 36

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 39

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Bryce Witham for 7 yds to the Minn 46

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 9 yds to the Illin 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.05

Treyson Potts run for 36 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Treyson Potts run for 4 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Chase Brown run for 12 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.51

Coran Taylor sacked by Boye Mafe for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 32

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Phillip Howard at the Minn 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 13 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Minn 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.87

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Daniel Jackson for 11 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +0.96

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 15 yds to the ILLINOIS 36 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Illin 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 14 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Seth Green run for 4 yds to the Illin 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds to the Illin 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+63 ydsPPA +3.92

Mike Epstein run for 63 yds to the Minn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Coran Taylor run for 3 yds to the Minn 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Coran Taylor pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 8 yds to the Minn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Minn 14

1st & 14Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Coran Taylor run for 12 yds to the Minn 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Minn 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Mike Epstein run for 1 yd for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tanner Morgan run for 1 yd to the Minn 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 10 yds to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 5 yds to the Minn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 5 yds to the Illin 48

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Cam Wiley run for 17 yds to the Illin 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Clay Geary for 18 yds to the Illin 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Illin 8

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.25

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 6 yds to the Illin 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 2 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Coran Taylor run for 4 yds to the Illin 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 33

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.61

Mike Epstein run for 19 yds to the Minn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Coran Taylor run for 16 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Imatorbhebhe for 11 yds to the Minn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Coran Taylor run for 7 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Minn 12

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Casey Washington

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.51

Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Minn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Coran Taylor run for no gain to the Minn 10

2nd & 10Penalty-15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Minn 25

2nd & 25Fumble Recovery (Own)-23 ydsPPA -2.99

Coran Taylor run for a loss of 23 yards to the Minn 48 Coran Taylor fumbled, recovered by Illin Casey Washington

3rd & 48Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Coran Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 48Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Phillip Howard at the Minn 11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 18 yds to the Minn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Minn 35

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 16 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Illin 31

2nd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.80

Tanner Morgan sacked by Jer'Zhan Newton for a loss of 10 yards to the Illin 41

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Mark Crawford punt for 30 yds, downed at the Illin 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Coran Taylor run for 4 yds to the Illin 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Kyron Cumby run for 2 yds to the Illin 17

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Coran Taylor pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 54 yds, downed at the Minn 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.81

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 11 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 4 yards to the Minn 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 9 yds to the Minn 46

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete, PENALTY ILLINOIS roughing passer 15 yards to the ILLINOIS39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.83

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 27 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd for a TD (Michael Lantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Coran Taylor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Coran Taylor run for 9 yds to the Illin 34

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Mike Epstein run for 9 yds to the Illin 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Mike Epstein run for 2 yds to the Illin 45

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Coran Taylor run for 9 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Coran Taylor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Coran Taylor pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 10Penalty-15 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Clipping (-15 Yards) to the Illin 39

3rd & 25Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.17

Coran Taylor sacked by Boye Mafe for a loss of 12 yards to the Illin 27 Coran Taylor fumbled, recovered by Illin

4th & 37Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 26

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Devon Witherspoon return for no gain to the Illin 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Coran Taylor run for 6 yds to the Illin 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.02

Coran Taylor pass complete to Daniel Barker for 21 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Coran Taylor pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 52 yds for a TD (Caleb Griffin KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cam Wiley run for 4 yds to the Minn 42

2nd & 6Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.24

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 53 yds to the Illin 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Mohamed Ibrahim run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Seth Green run for 2 yds to the Illin 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds for a TD (Michael Lantz PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Coran Taylor sacked by DeAngelo Carter for a loss of 3 yards to the Illin 15

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Coran Taylor pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.06

Coran Taylor run for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 10 ILLINOIS Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass ( Yards) to the Illin 10

4th & 18Punt+8 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 53 yds , Ko Kieft returns for 8 yds to the Minn 45

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 49

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Illin 46

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Cam Wiley run for 8 yds to the Illin 38

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.85

Cam Wiley run for 10 yds to the Illin 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Illin 25

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Cam Wiley run for 6 yds to the Illin 19

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.31

Cam Wiley run for 10 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.55

Cam Wiley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 13

2nd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 15

Situational Analysis

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
35 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
73%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play