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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wisconsin by 23.5

Home Win Probability

Wisconsin 91%

Market (consensus)

Wisconsin -20.5

Edge: Wisconsin -20.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
IllinoisIllinois
07007
WisconsinWisconsin
72101745

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-728-735-742-745-7
WisconsinIllinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLWISILLTO215ydTD633ydPUNT33ydPUNT36ydPUNT841ydTD1488ydPUNT435ydPUNT514ydDOWNS528ydTD211ydTD572ydPUNT3-9ydTD153ydEND1-1ydPUNT519ydDOWNS625ydPUNT714ydDOWNS858ydTD1066ydPUNT35ydTD1174ydTO2-2ydFG715ydUncategorized18yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Illinois and Wisconsin
StatisticIllinoisWisconsin
Passing8-2220-21
Pass Yards87248
Rush Yards134182
Total Yards221430
Turnovers21
3rd Down2-108-14
Penalties5-603-15
Possession15:4743:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Illinois
passing
Brandon Peters
8/19, 87 YDS
rushing
Brandon Peters
7 CAR, 75 YDS
receiving
Josh Imatorbhebhe
3 REC, 26 YDS
defense
Wisconsin
passing
Graham Mertz
20/21, 248 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Garrett Groshek
13 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Danny Davis III
2 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 11 yds to the Illin 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike Epstein run for 4 yds to the Illin 33 Mike Epstein fumbled, recovered by Wisc

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 3 yds to the Illin 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.40

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 12 yds to the Illin 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Illin 14

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Illin 10

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.55

Mason Stokke 10 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Mike Epstein run for 3 yds to the Illin 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brandon Peters pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 45 yds , Danny Davis returns for no gain to the Wisc 27

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.26

Graham Mertz sacked by Khalan Tolson for a loss of 7 yards to the Wisc 20

2nd & 17Rush0 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the Wisc 20

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.31

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 13 yds to the Wisc 33

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 60 yds, downed at the Illin 7

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jakari Norwood run for 1 yd to the Illin 8

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 6 yds to the Illin 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.64

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 6 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jakari Norwood run for no gain to the Illin 20

2nd & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +3.10

Brandon Peters run for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

3rd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.90

Brandon Peters pass complete to Chase Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 48

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 12

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Wisc 12

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 7 yds to the Wisc 19

3rd & 3Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.98

Graham Mertz pass complete to Danny Davis for 19 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Garrett Groshek run for 8 yds to the Wisc 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.36

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for no gain to the Wisc 46

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, False Start (Hayden Rucci) to the Wisc 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 6 yds to the Wisc 47

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Nakia Watson run for 1 yd to the Wisc 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Illin 49

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.45

Garrett Groshek run for 1 yd to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (Roderick Perry II) to the Illin 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Graham Mertz run for 13 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the Illin 12

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Illin 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Isaac Guerendo run for 4 yds to the Illin 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Jake Ferguson 5 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.66

Brandon Peters run for 31 yds to the Wisc 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Doug Kramer) to the Illin 46

1st & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Williams run for 5 yds to the Wisc 49

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Brandon Peters pass complete to Josh Imatorbhebhe for 9 yds to the Wisc 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

4th & 6Punt+34 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jack Dunn at the Wisc 11 WISCONSIN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Dean Engram) to the Wisc 6

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Danny Davis run for 4 yds to the Wisc 10

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Nakia Watson run for 8 yds to the Wisc 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wisc 15

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 5 yds to the Wisc 20

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Graham Mertz run for no gain to the Wisc 20

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 44

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.36

Mike Epstein run for 20 yds to the Wisc 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Wisc 35

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Wisc 30

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Wisc 28

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.01

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Isaac Guerendo run for 2 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 8Fumble Return Touchdown+39 ydsPPA -7.63

Tarique Barnes 39 Yd Fumble Return (James McCourt Kick)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jack Dunn run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.94

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 34 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Garrett Groshek run for 2 yds to the Illin 14

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Jake Ferguson 14 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.62

Brandon Peters sacked by Nick Herbig for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 9

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

3rd & 15Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.04

Brandon Peters sacked by Isaiahh Loudermilk for a loss of 4 yards to the Illin 5

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 47

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Danny Davis 53 Yd pass from Graham Mertz (Collin Larsh Kick)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 10

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.14

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Wisc 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaac Guerendo run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wisc 14

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

WISCONSIN Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Wisc 9

2nd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 11 yds to the Wisc 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jack Dunn for 3 yds to the Wisc 23

4th & 2Punt+8 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 39 yds , James Frenchie Jr. returns for 8 yds to the Illin 46

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Illin 47

2nd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Brandon Peters run for 15 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Brandon Peters run for 8 yds to the Wisc 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Casey Washington

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Mike Epstein run for 1 yd to the Wisc 29

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.06

Brandon Peters run for no gain to the Wisc 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Graham Mertz run for 5 yds to the Wisc 34

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Wisc 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Kendric Pryor run for 2 yds to the Wisc 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 10 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.83

Graham Mertz sacked by Tarique Barnes for a loss of 9 yards to the Wisc 43

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Wisc 43

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Graham Mertz pass incomplete to Garrett Groshek

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Andy Vujnovich punt for 49 yds, fair catch by James Frenchie Jr. at the Illin 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.51

Brandon Peters pass complete to Brian Hightower for 26 yds to the Illin 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Mike Epstein run for 7 yds to the Illin 41

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.45

Mike Epstein run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.99

Brandon Peters pass complete to Mike Epstein for 22 yds to the Wisc 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Josh Imatorbhebhe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Daniel Barker

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Brandon Peters pass complete to Daniel Barker for 9 yds to the Wisc 29

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ILLINOIS Penalty, False Start (Brian Hightower) to the Wisc 34

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.97

Brandon Peters pass incomplete to Brian Hightower

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the Wisc 37

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Isaac Guerendo run for no gain to the Wisc 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.38

Graham Mertz pass complete to Kendric Pryor for 23 yds to the Illin 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Illin 34

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Nakia Watson run for no gain to the Illin 34

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.05

Graham Mertz pass complete to Garrett Groshek for 8 yds to the Illin 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Illin 17

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.13

Garrett Groshek run for 10 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Illin 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

John Chenal run for 2 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Brown run for 5 yds to the Illin 26

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Williams pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Blake Hayes punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wisc 26

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Isaac Guerendo run for 6 yds to the Wisc 32 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wisc 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaac Guerendo run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Isaac Guerendo run for 13 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.14

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 39

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Illin 35

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.69

Garrett Groshek run for 13 yds to the Illin 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Garrett Groshek run for 6 yds to the Illin 16

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.26

Garrett Groshek run for 9 yds to the Illin 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Garrett Groshek run for no gain to the Illin 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Garrett Groshek run for 4 yds to the Illin 3

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Graham Mertz pass complete to Jake Ferguson for 3 yds for a TD (Collin Larsh KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Reggie Love III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Illin 14

2nd & 12Pass Interception Return+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Isaiah Williams pass intercepted Titus Toler return for 10 yds to the Illin 16

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Nakia Watson run for 5 yds to the Illin 11

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nakia Watson run for 4 yds to the Illin 7

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.58

Nakia Watson run for 6 yds to the Illin 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mason Stokke run for no gain to the Illin 1

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Nakia Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Illin 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Chase Wolf run for 1 yd to the Illin 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+19 yds

Collin Larsh 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Matt Robinson run for 8 yds to the Illin 32

Situational Analysis

Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Wisconsin

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
63%
8 plays
67%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play