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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Minnesota by 8.9

Home Win Probability

Minnesota 74%

Market (consensus)

Minnesota +3

Edge: Minnesota +3 (11.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MichiganMichigan
21147749
MinnesotaMinnesota
1077024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-710-1417-2117-2824-3524-4224-49
MinnesotaMichigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MICMINMICMINMICMINMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICMINMICPUNT44ydTD217ydTD170ydPUNT3-11ydMISS725ydTD1-5ydFG1179ydTD28ydTD1075ydTD1077ydDOWNS44ydTD429ydPUNT34ydMISS517ydTD1171ydTD968ydDOWNS978ydTD596ydPUNT1017ydMISS769ydTO23ydDOWNS44ydPUNT714ydUncategorized1-5yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Michigan and Minnesota
StatisticMichiganMinnesota
Passing15-2518-31
Pass Yards225197
Rush Yards253129
Total Yards478326
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-86-14
Penalties7-805-39
Possession24:4035:08

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Michigan
passing
Joe Milton
15/22, 225 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Hassan Haskins
6 CAR, 82 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Ronnie Bell
4 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Minnesota
passing
Tanner Morgan
18/31, 197 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mohamed Ibrahim
26 CAR, 140 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Rashod Bateman
9 REC, 101 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Joe Milton pass complete to Blake Corum for 24 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Joe Milton run for 3 yds to the Minn 43

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Mich 42

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Joe Milton pass incomplete

3rd & 22Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.27

Joe Milton sacked by Boye Mafe for a loss of 8 yards to the Mich 34

4th & 30Blocked Punt+17 yds

Will Hart punt blocked by Preston Jelen blocked by Preston Jelen Preston Jelen return for 17 yds to the Mich 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mich 14

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.69

Ko Kieft 14 Yd pass from Tanner Morgan (Brock Walker Kick)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.69

Zach Charbonnet 70 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Minn 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.98

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 24

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.22

Tanner Morgan sacked by Julius Welschof for a loss of 10 yards to the Minn 14

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Matthew Stephenson punt for 31 yds, downed at the Minn 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 5 yds to the Minn 40

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Minn 40

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.75

Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 18 yds to the Minn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Hassan Haskins run for 8 yds to the Minn 14

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hassan Haskins run for no gain to the Minn 14

3rd & 2Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.29

Zach Charbonnet run for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 20

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Jake Moody 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Fumble Return Touchdown+15 ydsPPA -7.61

Donovan Jeter 15 Yd Fumble Return (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.67

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Chris Autman-Bell for 45 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Mich 40

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Morgan, Tanner pass incomplete to Bateman, Rashod, PENALTY MICHIGAN pass interference 15 yards to the MICHIGAN25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MINNESOTA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 3 yds to the Mich 22

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.30

Treyson Potts run for 9 yds to the Mich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Mich 13

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 11 yds to the Mich 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mich 7

1st & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 11

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Chris Autman-Bell

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for no gain to the Mich 11

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Brock Walker 29 Yd Field Goal

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Joe Milton pass incomplete to Erick All

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Joe Milton pass complete to Ben Mason for 8 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 8 yds to the Minn 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Cam Wiley run for 7 yds to the Minn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Cam Wiley run for no gain to the Minn 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 9 yds to the Minn 49

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.71

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the MINNESOTA 48 for a 1ST down MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Cam Wiley for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.58

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 14 yds to the Mich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mich 20

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Mich 16

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.83

Mohamed Ibrahim 16 Yd Run (Brock Walker Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Joe Milton pass complete to Mike Sainristil for 11 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Giles Jackson run for 8 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Joe Milton run for 9 yds to the Minn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Joe Milton pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.89

Joe Milton pass complete to A.J. Henning for 14 yds to the Minn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chris Evans run for 4 yds to the Minn 31

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Ryan Hayes) to the Minn 36

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.11

Joe Milton run for 8 yds to the Minn 28 MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Minn 38

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Joe Milton run for 6 yds to the Minn 27

3rd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.43

Joe Milton run for 23 yds to the Minn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Hassan Haskins 4 Yd Run (Jake Moody Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 1 yd to the Minn 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA +0.05

Ko Kieft run for a loss of 2 yards to the Minn 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 2 yds to the Minn 27 for a 1ST down MINNESOTA Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (14 Yards) to the Minn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Minn 12

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Chris Evans run for 8 yds to the Minn 4

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.48

Hassan Haskins run for 4 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for no gain to the Minn 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 4 yds to the Minn 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matthew Stephenson punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Minn 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Joe Milton pass incomplete to Erick All

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Joe Milton pass incomplete to Giles Jackson

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.67

Joe Milton pass complete to Chris Evans for 10 yds to the Minn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 7 yds to the Minn 30

2nd & 3Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Jake Moody 48 yd FG MISSED

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Minn 36

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.58

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Minn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Minn 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Ko Kieft for 15 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 7 yds to the Mich 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Mich 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce Witham

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.22

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 25 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mich 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds for a TD (Brock Walker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Joe Milton pass complete to Giles Jackson for 12 yds to the Mich 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Zach Charbonnet run for 4 yds to the Mich 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.99

Joe Milton pass complete to Erick All for 6 yds to the Minn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Joe Milton run for 9 yds to the Minn 37

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.25

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Joe Milton pass incomplete to Erick All

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.91

Joe Milton pass complete to Erick All for 27 yds to the Minn 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Chris Evans run for 1 yd to the Minn 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Joe Milton run for 2 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.02

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 25 yds to the Minn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +1.86

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 38 yds to the Mich 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mich 16

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 5 yds to the Mich 11

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 3 yds to the Mich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 4 yds to the Mich 4

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Mohamed Ibrahim run for no gain to the Mich 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Rashod Bateman

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Mohamed Ibrahim

1st & 10Rush+66 ydsPPA +4.12

Hassan Haskins run for 66 yds to the Minn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Blake Corum run for 7 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.26

Joe Milton pass complete to Roman Wilson for 16 yds to the Minn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Zach Charbonnet run for 2 yds to the Minn 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Chris Evans run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Moody KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Mohamed Ibrahim run for 14 yds to the Minn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tanner Morgan run for 2 yds to the Minn 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Ko Kieft

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Mohamed Ibrahim for 14 yds to the Mich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Treyson Potts run for 3 yds to the Mich 42

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.94

Treyson Potts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mich 46

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.81

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Rashod Bateman for 12 yds to the Mich 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.86

Tanner Morgan sacked by Carlo Kemp for a loss of 11 yards to the Mich 45

2nd & 21Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.33

Tanner Morgan sacked by Kwity Paye for a loss of 7 yards to the Minn 48

3rd & 28Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Tanner Morgan sacked by Kwity Paye for a loss of 6 yards to the Minn 42

4th & 34Punt0 yds

Matthew Stephenson punt for 45 yds, downed at the Mich 13

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

A.J. Henning run for 6 yds to the Mich 19

2nd & 4Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.54

Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 30 yds to the Mich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.35

Joe Milton pass complete to Ronnie Bell for 35 yds to the Minn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Blake Corum run for 3 yds to the Minn 13

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.83

Blake Corum run for a loss of 5 yards to the Minn 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Joe Milton pass incomplete to Ronnie Bell

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+33 yds

Jake Moody 33 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Cam Wiley run for 3 yds to the Minn 23

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return+33 ydsPPA -0.11

Tanner Morgan pass intercepted Josh Ross return for 18 yds to the Minn 41 MICHIGAN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Minn 30

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Blake Corum run for 9 yds to the Minn 21

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

McNamara, Cade pass incomplete to Bell, Ronnie, PENALTY MICHIGAN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the MINNESOTA26, NO PLAY.

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Roman Wilson

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Erick All

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.72

Cade McNamara pass incomplete to Giles Jackson

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Brevyn Spann-Ford

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Tanner Morgan pass complete to Treyson Potts for 9 yds to the Minn 35

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.62

Treyson Potts run for 1 yd to the Minn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MINNESOTA Penalty, False Start (Brevyn Spann-Ford) to the Minn 31

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Treyson Potts

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tanner Morgan pass incomplete to Clay Geary

3rd & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Treyson Potts run for 9 yds to the Minn 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matthew Stephenson punt for 46 yds, downed at the Mich 14

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.62

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mich 9

Situational Analysis

Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
58%
26 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Minnesota

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
60%
15 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays