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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2020Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Boston College by 15.1

Home Win Probability

Boston College 82%

Market (consensus)

Boston College -21.5

Edge: Texas State +21.5 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 26, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
777021
Boston CollegeBoston College
0771024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-147-2114-2121-21
Boston CollegeTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSBCTSPUNT514ydMISS1047ydTD970ydPUNT31ydTO413ydTD46ydPUNT642ydPUNT854ydTD1186ydTO412ydEND19ydPUNT38ydTD1387ydTD1272ydPUNT842ydPUNT514ydPUNT618ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-8ydTD848ydPUNT38ydFG749ydUncategorized00yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Boston College
StatisticTexas StateBoston College
Passing19-2926-38
Pass Yards229210
Rush Yards12887
Total Yards357297
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-155-11
Penalties7-617-56
Possession30:5728:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Brady McBride
19/29, 229 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Calvin Hill
12 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Drue Jackson
3 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Boston College
passing
Phil Jurkovec
26/38, 210 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Phil Jurkovec
8 CAR, 37 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Hunter Long
9 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brock Sturges run for 4 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.53

Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 12 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Brock Sturges run for 1 yd to the TexSt 42

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Brady McBride run for 2 yds to the TexSt 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Brady McBride pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 39

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.65

Phil Jurkovec run for 19 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Travis Levy run for 11 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the TexSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.56

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to David Bailey for 14 yds to the TexSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.86

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 12 yds to the TexSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Zay Flowers run for 1 yd to the TexSt 19

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

Jurkovec,P pass complete to Lewis,C for 19 yards to the TXST0, clock 09:15, PENALTY BC ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TXST24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.68

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for no gain to the TexSt 24

3rd & 14Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.12

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Christian Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSt 30

4th & 20Blocked Field Goal+47 yds

Aaron Boumerhi 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Zion Childress

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexSt 31

2nd & 9Penalty+10 yds

McBride, Brady pass incomplete, PENALTY BC holding (Maitre,J) 10 yards to the TXST41, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.84

Jeremiah Haydel run for 29 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brady McBride pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the BC 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 8 yds to the BC 22

4th & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Calvin Hill run for 12 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Brady McBride run for 9 yds to the BC 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jahmyl Jeter run for no gain to the BC 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the BC 34

2nd & 1Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.39

Phil Jurkovec sacked by Gavin Graham and Nico Ezidore for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to David Bailey for 3 yds to the BC 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Haydel at the TexSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Brady McBride pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 12 yds to the TexSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brock Sturges run for 1 yd to the TexSt 43

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brady McBride run for no gain to the TexSt 43

3rd & 9Pass Interception Return+70 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady McBride pass intercepted Mike Palmer return for 70 yds to the TexSt 6

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the TexSt 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

3rd & 5Penalty+3 yds

Jurkovec,P pass incomplete to Flowers,Z, PENALTY TXST pass interference (Morris, Jarron) 3 yards to the TXST2, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Travis Levy run for no gain to the TexSt 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Phil Jurkovec run for 2 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 3 yds to the TexSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.51

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BC 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Calvin Hill run for 12 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Brady McBride sacked by M Roberts and Brandon Barlow for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24

2nd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.75

Brady McBride sacked by M Roberts for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 35

3rd & 27Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brady McBride run for 5 yds to the BC 35

3rd & 22Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (Russell Baker) to the BC 40

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 9

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Phil Jurkovec run for 14 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Zay Flowers run for 3 yds to the BC 12

2nd & 7Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.11

Travis Levy run for 12 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Trevis Graham Jr.) to the BC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the BC 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to David Bailey for 3 yds to the BC 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.41

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 9 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

Jurkovec,P pass complete to Levy,T for 3 yards to the TXST31 (Tupou,Sione;Luper,Brendon), PENALTY BC holding 2 yards to the TXST36, NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter Long

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 23 yds, downed at the TexSt 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 37

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Jahmyl Jeter run for 8 yds to the TexSt 22

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Brady McBride run for 3 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.20

Brady McBride sacked by Shitta Sillah for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 16

2nd & 19Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Jahmyl Jeter run for 8 yds to the TexSt 24

3rd & 11Penalty+4 yds

McBride, Brady pass incomplete to Haydel,Jeremiah, PENALTY BC offside (Bequette,L) 4 yards to the TXST28, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Brady McBride pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 12 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brady McBride pass complete to Jahmyl Jeter for 4 yds to the TexSt 44

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.91

Jahmyl Jeter run for 20 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee, broken up by Josh DeBerry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 17 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.55

Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 13 yds to the BC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Marcell Barbee 6 Yd pass from Brady McBride (Seth Keller Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 6 yds to the BC 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.95

Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Jarron Morris return for no gain to the TexSt 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Calvin Hill run for 9 yds to the TexSt 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 26

2nd & 9Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.63

Travis Levy run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 13 yds to the BC 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 54 yds, downed at the TexSt 13

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.50

Brock Sturges run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 11

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 10 yds to the TexSt 21

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.73

Brady McBride pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 4 yds to the TexSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady McBride run for no gain to the TexSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Drue Jackson, broken up by Jason Maitre

3rd & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.22

Brady McBride pass complete to Chandler Speights for 42 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.34

Brady McBride sacked by Isaiah McDuffie for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 37

2nd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.36

Brock Sturges run for 13 yds to the BC 24

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.23

Brock Sturges run for 2 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 14 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brock Sturges run for no gain to the BC 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 9 yds for a TD, (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 17 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Phil Jurkovec run for 7 yds to the TexSt 48

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Levy,T rush for 10 yards to the TXST38 (Childress,Zion), PENALTY BC illegal procedure 5 yards to the BC47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.78

Travis Levy run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 42

3rd & 13Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.72

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Spencer Witter for 22 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

David Bailey run for 7 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter Long, broken up by Brendon Luper

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

David Bailey run for 3 yds to the TexSt 20

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

David Bailey run for 8 yds to the TexSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.42

Travis Levy run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 14

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 11 yds to the TexSt 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 24

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

McBride, Brady pass incomplete to Jackson,Drue, PENALTY BC pass interference (Maitre,J) 15 yards to the TXST39, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.44

Calvin Hill run for 17 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Calvin Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Trevis Graham Jr.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.18

Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 22 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Hill,Calvin rush for 18 yards to the BC6 (DeBerry,J), PENALTY TXST holding (Smith,Jaydan) 10 yards to the BC34, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the BC 33

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the BC 33

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Brady McBride pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BC 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

David Bailey run for 4 yds to the BC 22

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

David Bailey run for 8 yds to the BC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the BC 31

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brock Sturges run for 8 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.35

Brock Sturges run for no gain to the TexSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Brock Sturges run for 3 yds to the TexSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Brady McBride pass complete to Brock Sturges for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 41

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.09

Brady McBride pass complete to Blake Aragon for 14 yds to the BC 45

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Brock Sturges run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Travis Levy at the BC 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant Carlson punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Haydel at the TexSt 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brady McBride run for 4 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee, broken up by Josh DeBerry

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.77

Brady McBride sacked by Isaiah McDuffie for a loss of 12 yards to the TexSt 23

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 40 yds for a 1ST down , Travis Levy returns for no gain to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down TEXAS STATE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jarron Morris) to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 6 yds to the TexSt 42

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.31

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 5 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 5 yds to the TexSt 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.34

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 11 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 5 yds to the TexSt 16

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill

3rd & 5Penalty+8 yds

Jurkovec,P pass incomplete to Gill,J, PENALTY TXST roughing passer 8 yards to the TXST8, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.

1st & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 3 yds to the TexSt 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 5 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Jeremiah Haydel

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brady McBride pass incomplete to Blake Aragon

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 8 yds to the TexSt 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 35 yds , Travis Levy returns for no gain to the BC 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 14 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 8 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.42

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 15 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.52

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 8 yds to the TexSt 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 4 yds to the TexSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+36 yds

Aaron Boumerhi 36 yd FG GOOD

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
31%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Boston College

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
50%
28 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th