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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2020Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Notre Dame by 22.5

Home Win Probability

Notre Dame 91%

Market (consensus)

Notre Dame -22.5

Edge: South Florida +22.5 (0.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 19, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
00000
Notre DameNotre Dame
142110752

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-028-035-045-052-0
Notre DameSouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSFNDSFNDSFNDSFNDSFNDSFSFNDSFSFNDSFNDSFNDSFTD754ydPUNT3-3ydTD743ydDOWNS638ydTD1158ydPUNT31ydTD553ydPUNT32ydMISS846ydPUNT34ydTD425ydEND38ydDOWNS1354ydFG1060ydTD627ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydDOWNS1071ydPUNT34ydDOWNS523ydTD1066ydUncategorized31yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Notre Dame
StatisticSouth FloridaNotre Dame
Passing12-2813-21
Pass Yards125148
Rush Yards106280
Total Yards231428
Turnovers00
3rd Down2-158-14
Penalties4-402-24
Possession27:3332:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Jordan McCloud
8/14, 64 YDS
rushing
Johnny Ford
6 CAR, 70 YDS
receiving
Latrell Williams
2 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
12/19, 143 YDS
rushing
C'Bo Flemister
13 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tommy Tremble
3 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 24 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 7 yds to the SFla 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 5 yds to the SFla 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the SFla 11

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the SFla 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ian Book run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Kelley Joiner for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 21 yds, downed at the SFla 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.72

Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 22 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the SFla 18

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the SFla 14

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 3 yds to the SFla 7

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the SFla 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Chris Tyree run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Johnny Ford run for 42 yds to the NDame 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to DeVontres Dukes

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.92

Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the NDame 33 SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mitchell Brinkman) to the NDame 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the NDame 37

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan McCloud run for 4 yds to the NDame 33

4th & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.19

Jah'Quez Evans sacked by Isaiah Foskey for a loss of 9 yards to the NDame 42

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.32

C'Bo Flemister run for 6 yds to the SFla 41 C'Bo Flemister fumbled, recovered by NDame Robert Hainsey

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Braden Lenzy run for 3 yds to the SFla 38

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Ian Book pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for 9 yds to the SFla 27

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA -0.32

C'Bo Flemister run for 11 yds to the SFla 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 19

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Ian Book pass incomplete to Jafar Armstrong

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.69

Ian Book pass complete to Jafar Armstrong for 18 yds to the SFla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the SFla 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kelley Joiner run for 2 yds to the SFla 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.17

Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 19

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NDame 47

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Kyren Williams run for 10 yds to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.48

Kyren Williams run for 13 yds to the SFla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds to the SFla 26

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.86

C'Bo Flemister run for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

Latrell Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 14

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres Dukes

3rd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Noah Johnson run for 6 yds to the SFla 20

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 53 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 7 yds to the NDame 34

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.36

Chris Tyree run for 31 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chris Tyree run for no gain to the SFla 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Ian Book pass complete to Braden Lenzy for 9 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Tommy Tremble run for 4 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 6 yds to the SFla 16

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the SFla 15

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.19

Kyren Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the SFla 20

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+38 yds

Jonathan Doerer 38 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 20

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.35

Noah Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 17

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFla 12

3rd & 18Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 12 yds to the SFla 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 1 yd, downed at the SFla 25

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Kyren Williams run for 15 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the SFla 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Noah Johnson run for 5 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 31

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Noah Johnson run for no gain to the SFla 31

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.65

Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 14 yds to the SFla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 12 yds to the SFla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 8 yds to the SFla 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.37

Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Latrell Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 9 yds to the NDame 44

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 45

4th & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.27

Jordan McCloud run for 3 yds to the NDame 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kelley Joiner run for no gain to the NDame 42

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jordan McCloud run for 6 yds to the NDame 36

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.03

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.38

Chris Tyree run for 15 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the SFla 49

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 9 yds to the SFla 40

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +1.98

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the SFla 35 Kyren Williams fumbled, forced by Nick Roberts, recovered by NDame Jarrett Patterson for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.65

Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 27 yds to the SFla 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ian Book pass incomplete to Brock Wright

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the SFla 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ian Book pass incomplete to Joe Wilkins

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jonathan Doerer 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Jordan McCloud run for 14 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the SFla 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.14

Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 14 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Latrell Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Chris Carter for 4 yds to the NDame 39

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.10

Jordan McCloud sacked by Alexander Ehrensberger for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 45

4th & 12Blocked Punt+1 yds

Kenny Scribner punt blocked by Osita Ekwonu, Jordan Botelho return for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Noah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Noah Johnson run for 4 yds to the SFla 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres Dukes

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jordan McCloud punt for 35 yds, downed at the NDame 41

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jafar Armstrong run for no gain to the NDame 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Drew Pyne pass complete to Kevin Bauman for 5 yds to the NDame 46

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Noah Johnson run for no gain to the SFla 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.21

Noah Johnson pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 17 yds to the SFla 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.88

Noah Johnson pass complete to Latrell Williams for 36 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Noah Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.83

Noah Johnson pass complete to Terrence Horne for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 41

3rd & 14Rush+22 ydsPPA +3.03

Johnny Ford run for 22 yds to the NDame 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to Latrell Williams

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres Dukes

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres Dukes

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.96

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 21 NOTRE DAME Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Johnson) to the NDame 11

2nd & 18Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the NDame 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Drew Pyne pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 34 yds, downed at the SFla 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brian Battie run for 4 yds to the SFla 47

2nd & 6Penalty+14 yds

Marsh, Katravis pass incomplete to Berryhill, Logan, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (Rutherford, Isaiah) 14 yards to the NOTREDAME39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUFLA.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the NDame 33

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Brian Battie run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 34

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.09

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete to Logan Berryhill

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

C'Bo Flemister run for 7 yds to the NDame 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the NDame 47

2nd & 8Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.31

C'Bo Flemister run for 31 yds to the SFla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

C'Bo Flemister run for 12 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds to the SFla 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jafar Armstrong run for 3 yds to the SFla 2

3rd & 2Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.51

Jafar Armstrong run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 5

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +3.05

Jafar Armstrong run for 5 yds for a TD (Dawson Goepferich KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Odunayo Seriki run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 31

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Odunayo Seriki run for 2 yds to the SFla 33

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Odunayo Seriki run for no gain to the SFla 33

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
13 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
57%
28 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
78%
9 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play