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← Back to GamesOct 10, 2020Week 6
UTSAUTSA
20
-Final
27
BYUBYU

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 27.5

Home Win Probability

BYU 94%

Market (consensus)

BYU -34

Edge: UTSA +34 (6.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 10, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UTSAUTSA
3031420
BYUBYU
0147627

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-314-314-621-1327-1327-20
BYUUTSA

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUUTSBYUUTSBYUUTSBYUUTSBYUUTSBYUUTSUTSBYUUTSBYUUTSBYUUTSBYUUTSBYUTO362ydTO657ydDOWNS751ydFG838ydTD1175ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT617ydPUNT35ydTD545ydPUNT514ydPUNT734ydEND3-5ydFG1056ydPUNT35ydPUNT928ydTD790ydTD565ydPUNT32ydPUNT714ydTD1280ydTD475ydUncategorized48yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UTSA and BYU
StatisticUTSABYU
Passing24-3322-30
Pass Yards287292
Rush Yards72178
Total Yards359470
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-137-14
Penalties9-797-55
Possession26:5832:52

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UTSA
passing
Lowell Narcisse
17/20, 229 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Sincere McCormick
11 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
Zakhari Franklin
7 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD
defense
BYU
passing
Zach Wilson
22/30, 292 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tyler Allgeier
19 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dax Milne
7 REC, 102 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.58

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.66

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 35 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 10 yds Neil Pau'u fumbled, recovered by TexSA

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.36

Sincere McCormick run for 23 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 14 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the BYU 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the BYU 46

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

Harris, Frank pass incomplete to Cephus, Joshua, PENALTY BYU offside 5 yards to the BYU41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UTSA.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the BYU 38

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BYU 33

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.41

Frank Harris pass intercepted Troy Warner return for no gain to the BYU 9

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 18

2nd & 1Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.97

Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 19 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Zach Wilson pass complete to Carter Wheat for 19 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Carter Wheat

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.66

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 47 Tyler Allgeier fumbled, recovered by BYU

3rd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Zach Wilson pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 7 yds to the TexSA 40

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney, broken up by Corey Mayfield Jr.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the TexSA 43

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Sincere McCormick run for 8 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for no gain to the BYU 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.09

Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 21 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Julon Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Frank Harris pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 6 yds to the BYU 22

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brennon Dingle

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 yds

Hunter Duplessis 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Zach Wilson pass complete to Masen Wake for 18 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Gunner Romney run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Lopini Katoa run for 12 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Wilson, Zach pass incomplete to Wheat, Carter, PENALTY BYU illegal block 15 yards to the BYU47, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 5 yds to the TexSA 48

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 10 yds to the TexSA 38

3rd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Tyler Allgeier run for 18 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Zach Wilson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Face Mask (9 yards) (9 Yards) to the TexSA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.61

Dax Milne run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 14

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 6 yds to the TexSA 4

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 4 yds for a TD (Justen Smith KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 20

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Sincere McCormick run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 1 yd to the TexSA 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 40

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Tyler Allgeier

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 49

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.27

Masen Wake run for 5 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Wilson, Zach pass incomplete to Milne, Dax, PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the BYU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Lopini Katoa run for 4 yds to the BYU 48

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Brayden Cosper

3rd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the TexSA 43

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 6

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Sincere McCormick run for 4 yds to the TexSA 10

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSA 11

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the TexSA 43

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.30

Tyler Allgeier run for 17 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive Offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.30

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 17 yds to the TexSA 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 11

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Zach Wilson pass complete to Lopini Katoa for 11 yds for a TD (Justen Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Frank Harris pass complete to Sincere McCormick for 3 yds to the TexSA 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 13 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 39

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Frank Harris pass incomplete to Leroy Watson

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 2

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.28

Tyler Allgeier run for 11 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 20

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the BYU 21

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Lopini Katoa run for 8 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Dax Milne

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Zach Wilson pass complete to Isaac Rex for 7 yds to the BYU 36

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 45 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 4 yds to the TexSA 40 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TexSA 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

B.J. Daniels run for no gain to the TexSA 13

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.24

Lowell Narcisse run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 10

0th & 13End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 13Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.05

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 7 yds to the TexSA 32

2nd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.26

Sincere McCormick run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.19

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Leroy Watson for 24 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Lowell Narcisse run for 2 yds to the BYU 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.24

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Leroy Watson for 18 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the BYU 11

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Sincere McCormick run for 2 yds to the BYU 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 14

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 19

4th & 15Field Goal Good+36 yds

Hunter Duplessis 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 3 yds to the BYU 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 1 yd to the BYU 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Sincere McCormick

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Zakhari Franklin run for 8 yds to the TexSA 29

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.08

Lowell Narcisse run for 4 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 28

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Lowell Narcisse pass incomplete to Joshua Cephus

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 30

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.75

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 14 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Julon Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds to the TexSA 47

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

Narcisse, Lowell pass incomplete to Franklin, Zakhari, PENALTY BYU offside 5 yards to the BYU48, NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sincere McCormick for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dax Milne at the BYU 10

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Zach Wilson run for 1 yd to the BYU 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BYU 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 14 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+52 ydsPPA +3.24

Zach Wilson pass complete to Gunner Romney for 52 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Zach Wilson run for 13 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the TexSA 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Zach Wilson run for 4 yds for a TD (Justen Smith KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to B.J. Daniels for no gain to the TexSA 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.35

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 32 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Lowell Narcisse run for 3 yds to the BYU 30

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Lowell Narcisse run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 32

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +4.19

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 32 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.82

Zach Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 27 Zach Wilson fumbled, recovered by BYU

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Tyler Allgeier

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Sincere McCormick run for 1 yd to the TexSA 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the TexSA 41

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Lowell Narcisse run for no gain to the TexSA 41

4th & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.01

Lowell Narcisse run for 14 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

McCormick, Sincere rush for 9 yards to the BYU36, PENALTY UTSA holding 10 yards to the UTSA45, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Leroy Watson for 7 yds to the BYU 48

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the BYU 45

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.62

Lowell Narcisse sacked by Gabe Summers for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 46

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Lucas Dean punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Gunner Romney run for 2 yds to the BYU 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 10 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Zach Wilson pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 2 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Rashad Wisdom) to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 49 Lopini Katoa fumbled, recovered by BYU

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the TexSA 49

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.90

Zach Wilson pass complete to Dax Milne for 21 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zach Wilson pass incomplete to Carter Wheat

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Tyler Allgeier run for 8 yds to the TexSA 20

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

Wake, Masen rush for 15 yards to the UTSA5, PENALTY BYU holding 10 yards to the UTSA30, NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.82

Tyler Allgeier run for 18 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the TexSA 11

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds to the TexSA 6

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.72

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds for a TD (Justen Smith PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 6 yds to the TexSA 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.52

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 21 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Lowell Narcisse pass complete to Brennon Dingle for 34 yds for a TD (Hunter Duplessis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the TexSA 48

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 49

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 49

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 44

4th & 15Penalty+15 yds

UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.31

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 43

Situational Analysis

UTSA

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
73%
11 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
30 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
55%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays