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← Back to GamesJan 1, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 10.5

Home Win Probability

Alabama 75%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -18.5

Edge: Notre Dame +18.5 (8.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Jan 1, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Notre DameNotre Dame
070714
AlabamaAlabama
1477331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-721-728-731-731-14
AlabamaNotre Dame

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDALANDALANDALANDALANDALAALANDALANDALANDALANDNDPUNT521ydTD779ydPUNT619ydTD597ydTD1575ydTD684ydPUNT618ydPUNT921ydMISS856ydEND1-2ydPUNT829ydTO727ydTD562ydPUNT413ydFG1047ydDOWNS1062ydPUNT520ydTD1480ydUncategorized638yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Notre Dame and Alabama
StatisticNotre DameAlabama
Passing28-4225-30
Pass Yards236297
Rush Yards139140
Total Yards375437
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-166-10
Penalties3-256-59
Possession33:4326:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Notre Dame
passing
Ian Book
27/39, 229 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Kyren Williams
16 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Michael Mayer
7 REC, 62 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
25/30, 297 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Najee Harris
15 CAR, 125 YDS
receiving
DeVonta Smith
7 REC, 130 YDS, 3 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ian Book run for 4 yds to the NDame 12

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.96

Kyren Williams run for 15 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Ian Book run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 22 Ian Book fumbled, recovered by NDame

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley

3rd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Ian Book run for 7 yds to the NDame 29

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 50 yds, fair catch by DeVonta Smith at the Alab 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.18

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 15 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 8 yds to the NDame 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.05

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 5 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.33

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the NDame 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Slade Bolden, broken up by Kyle Hamilton

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.19

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 26 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 6 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.12

Kyren Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 42

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Ian Book run for 2 yds to the NDame 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 53 yds, downed at the Alab 3

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.47

Najee Harris run for 15 yds to the Alab 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 8 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.71

Najee Harris run for 53 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 12 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.90

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 27 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.01

Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 25

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 4 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the Alab 12

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Kyren Williams run for no gain to the Alab 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 6 yds to the Alab 3

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Ian Book run for 2 yds to the Alab 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Mac Jones run for 6 yds to the Alab 22

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 3 yds to the Alab 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.64

Mac Jones run for 2 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.17

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 24 yds to the NDame 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.83

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 15 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 34 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 3 yds to the NDame 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Ian Book pass complete to George Takacs for 10 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 1 yd to the NDame 42

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery Davis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 23

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 30

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 32

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.98

Mac Jones run for 3 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 1 yd to the Alab 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 8 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.96

DeVonta Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 44

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Ian Book run for 9 yds to the NDame 20

2nd & 1Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.15

Ian Book run for 20 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.69

Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 20 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.25

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 8 yds to the Alab 33

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+51 yds

Jonathan Doerer 51 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.61

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 22 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the NDame 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 5 yds to the NDame 43

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.17

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the NDame 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee Harris

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 38

3rd & 11Pass Reception-8 ydsPPA -1.97

Mac Jones pass complete to Mac Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 46

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

C'Bo Flemister run for no gain to the NDame 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 6 yds to the NDame 16

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 5 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Ian Book run for 3 yds to the NDame 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the NDame 37

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.27

Ian Book pass intercepted Christian Harris return for no gain to the Alab 38

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.31

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 40 yds to the NDame 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Harris, Najee, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the NOTREDAME32, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 10 yds to the NDame 22

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the NDame 16

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Mac Jones run for 9 yds to the NDame 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ben Skowronek run for 4 yds to the NDame 29

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

Book, Ian pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer (Young, Byron) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.81

Ian Book sacked by Christian Barmore for a loss of 14 yards to the NDame 30

2nd & 24Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 31

3rd & 23Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Drew Pyne pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 7 yds to the NDame 38

4th & 16Punt+20 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 52 yds , DeVonta Smith returns for 20 yds to the Alab 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.17

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 14 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee Harris

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the NDame 42

3rd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.21

Najee Harris run for 13 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Mac Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NDame 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 4 yds to the NDame 23

4th & 4Field Goal Good+41 yds

Will Reichard 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 18 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 8 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Kyren Williams run for 7 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 7 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 4 yds to the Alab 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 18 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Alab 18

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 4 yds to the Alab 14

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Ian Book run for 1 yd to the Alab 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.31

Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery Davis

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 10 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Smith, DeVonta, PENALTY NOTREDAME roughing passer (Ademilola, Justin) 15 yards to the ALABAMA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Alex Leatherwood) to the Alab 36

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Alab 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.87

Mac Jones pass complete to Xavier Williams for no gain to the Alab 42

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.51

Mac Jones sacked by Jayson Ademilola and Adetokunbo Ogundeji for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 34 ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Alab 34

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 3 yds to the NDame 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.16

Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 20 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the NDame 46

2nd & 7Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.26

Ian Book sacked by DeMarcco Hellams for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 45

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael Mayer

4th & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.61

Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +0.49

Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek for a 1ST down ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (TEAM) to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 2 yds to the Alab 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 10 yds to the Alab 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ian Book pass incomplete to Braden Lenzy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 5 yds to the Alab 8

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.87

Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 7 yds to the Alab 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Ian Book run for no gain to the Alab 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ian Book run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben Skowronek

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.95

Ian Book run for 11 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Jobe) to the Alab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ian Book pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 33

2nd & 15Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 3 yds to the Alab 30

3rd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.80

Ian Book run for 15 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery Davis

Situational Analysis

Notre Dame

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
26%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
63%
16 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
28 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
45%
11 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th