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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2020Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Army by 16.2

Home Win Probability

Army 82%

Market (consensus)

Army -31

Edge: Abilene Christian +31 (14.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
0371323
ArmyArmy
716151755

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-023-331-331-938-1041-1048-1755-23
ArmyAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ACARMACARMACARMARMACARMACARMACARMACARMACARMACARMACARMACARMACARMACDOWNS510ydTD1045ydDOWNS1137ydFG639ydPUNT3-12ydTD216ydTD558ydFG662ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT33ydPUNT616ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS49ydEND1-3ydTD375ydPUNT730ydPUNT36ydTD961ydTD368ydPUNT515ydFG1155ydTD580ydTD876ydTD374ydTD546ydEND223yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and Army
StatisticAbilene ChristianArmy
Passing25-394-7
Pass Yards30252
Rush Yards86441
Total Yards388493
Turnovers00
3rd Down1-103-11
Penalties6-484-27
Possession28:1531:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Peyton Mansell
23/37, 279 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Lionell McConnell
2 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Lionell McConnell
11 REC, 101 YDS
defense
Army
passing
Jemel Jones
4/7, 52 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jemel Jones
14 CAR, 138 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Michael Roberts
2 REC, 38 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 13 yds to the AblCh 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Darius Lewis run for 5 yds to the Army 47

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Lionell McConnell

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete

4th & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Peyton Mansell sacked by Keeron Henderson for a loss of 8 yards to the AblCh 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the AblCh 40

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the AblCh 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Artice Hobbs IV run for 12 yds to the AblCh 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Anthony Adkins run for 9 yds to the AblCh 14

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the AblCh 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the AblCh 10

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the AblCh 5

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the AblCh 3

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.88

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the AblCh 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 6 yds to the AblCh 34

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.54

Lionell McConnell run for 4 yds to the AblCh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 45

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.29

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 10 yds to the Army 45

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the Army 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Taelyn Williams, broken up by Julian McDuffie

4th & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.54

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 4 yds to the Army 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete, broken up by Amadeo West

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Peyton Mansell run for 5 yds to the Army 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Sandon McCoy run for 8 yds to the AblCh 42

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the AblCh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyrell Robinson run for 8 yds to the AblCh 29 for a 1ST down ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, personal foul (Jairan Parker) to the AblCh 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AblCh 19

1st & 15Penalty-15 yds

Hobbs, Artice rush for 3 yards to the ACU16 (B. Robinson), PENALTY ARMY personal foul 15 yards to the ACU34, NO PLAY.

1st & 30Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Anderson run for 4 yds to the AblCh 30

2nd & 26Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Anthony Adkins run for no gain to the AblCh 30

3rd & 26Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Christian Parrish run for 4 yds to the AblCh 26

4th & 22Field Goal Good+43 yds

Landon Salyers 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Darius Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the AblCh 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Tyrese White for 2 yds to the AblCh 23

3rd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.18

Peyton Mansell sacked by Nolan Cockrill for a loss of 10 yards to the AblCh 13

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 3 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AblCh 16

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the AblCh 6 for a 1ST down ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, face mask (3 yards) (Kameron Stokes) to the AblCh 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Artice Hobbs IV run for 3 yds to the Army 45

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 49

3rd & 3Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.65

Jemel Jones run for 41 yds to the AblCh 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Sandon McCoy run for 7 yds to the AblCh 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Kobe Clark for 12 yds to the AblCh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+55 ydsPPA +2.72

Lionell McConnell run for 55 yds to the Army 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Peyton Mansell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 14 Peyton Mansell fumbled, recovered by AblCh Jermiah Dobbins , return for 2 yds to the Army 14

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Jordan Brooks-Wess

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Jordan Brooks-Wess, broken up by Julian McDuffie

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Blair Zepeda 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the Army 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jemel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 27

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Army 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jemel Jones pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt-3 yds

Zach Harding punt for 43 yds , Jordan Brooks-Wess returns for a loss of 3 yards to the AblCh 32

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for a loss of 1 yard to the AblCh 31

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jordan Brooks-Wess run for 3 yds to the AblCh 34

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Peyton Mansell run for 6 yds to the AblCh 40

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, false start (Kage Hendrix) to the AblCh 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 45 yds , Tyrell Robinson returns for no gain to the Army 20 Tyrell Robinson fumbled, recovered by Army Tyrell Robinson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds to the Army 22

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Sandon McCoy run for 6 yds to the Army 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd to the Army 33

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jemel Jones pass complete to Artice Hobbs IV for 5 yds to the Army 36

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brooks-Wess at the AblCh 12

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the AblCh 13

2nd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.27

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Darius Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the AblCh 10

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Lionell McConnell

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the AblCh 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jemel Jones run for 3 yds to the AblCh 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jemel Jones pass complete to Michael Roberts for 5 yds to the AblCh 37

3rd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Jemel Jones sacked by Kadron Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the AblCh 45

4th & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.60

Jemel Jones pass complete to Brandon Walters for 9 yds to the AblCh 36

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.49

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AblCh 33

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Tyrell Robinson run for 35 yds to the AblCh 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Jemel Jones run for 7 yds to the AblCh 33

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.74

Jemel Jones pass complete to Michael Roberts for 33 yds for a TD (A. Hobbs IV Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Tyrese White for 2 yds to the AblCh 27

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 11 yds Lionell McConnell fumbled, forced by Marquel Broughton, recovered by AblCh Dax Neece for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Jordan Brooks-Wess

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.05

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Dax Neece for 11 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.51

Peyton Mansell sacked by Cedrick Cunningham for a loss of 7 yards to the AblCh 48

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Conrad Perry run for 7 yds to the Army 45

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Jermiah Dobbins, broken up by Andre Carter II

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the Army 11

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Cade Barnard run for 1 yd to the Army 12

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Cade Barnard run for 3 yds to the Army 15

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Brooks-Wess at the AblCh 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyrese White run for 5 yds to the AblCh 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Jordan Brooks-Wess

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.97

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Jordan Brooks-Wess for 5 yds to the AblCh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Jordan Brooks-Wess for 9 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.10

Darius Lewis run for 9 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Kobe Clark for 13 yds to the Army 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyrese White run for 10 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Jermiah Dobbins run for 8 yds to the Army 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Kobe Clark for 2 yds for a TD ARMY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined (Blair Zepeda PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Jemel Jones run for 2 yds to the Army 34

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.34

Jemel Jones run for 17 yds to the AblCh 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Jemel Jones run for 49 yds for a TD (Landon Salyers KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Lionell McConnell, broken up by Malkelm Morrison

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.79

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 12 yds to the AblCh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Darius Lewis run for 5 yds to the AblCh 43

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Jermiah Dobbins run for a loss of 2 yards to the AblCh 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Peyton Mansell pass incomplete to Tyrese White

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Logan Burke punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyrell Robinson at the Army 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jakobi Buchanan run for 5 yds to the Army 27

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.00

Tyrell Robinson run for 19 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down ABIL CHRISTIAN Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyrell Robinson run for 6 yds to the AblCh 48

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Jemel Jones run for 7 yds to the AblCh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jemel Jones pass incomplete to Sean Eckert

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Jemel Jones run for 10 yds to the AblCh 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Anthony Adkins run for 10 yds to the AblCh 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the AblCh 19

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.96

Artice Hobbs IV run for a loss of 4 yards to the AblCh 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jemel Jones pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+40 yds

Quinn Maretzki 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 4 yds to the AblCh 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.14

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 10 yds to the AblCh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.79

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 20 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyrese White run for 1 yd to the Army 45

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+45 ydsPPA +4.34

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Kobe Clark for 45 yds for a TD (Blair Zepeda KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jakobi Buchanan run for 7 yds to the Army 31

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.31

Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +2.68

Tyrell Robinson run for 50 yds to the AblCh 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Anthony Adkins run for 4 yds to the AblCh 11

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Jemel Jones run for 6 yds to the AblCh 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the AblCh 3

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jemel Jones run for no gain to the AblCh 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyrese White run for no gain to the AblCh 26

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.89

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 13 yds to the AblCh 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Peyton Mansell pass complete to Branden Hohenstein for 61 yds for a TD (Blair Zepeda PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyson Riley run for 3 yds to the AblCh 43

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyson Riley run for 5 yds to the AblCh 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Tyson Riley run for 1 yd to the AblCh 37

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.89

Anthony Adkins run for 9 yds to the AblCh 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +2.76

Anthony Adkins run for 28 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Stone Earle pass complete to Taelyn Williams for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Stone Earle pass complete to Lionell McConnell for 3 yds to the Army 47

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
52%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
86%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
57%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
55%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play