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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2020Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

South Florida by 2.5

Home Win Probability

South Florida 53%

Market (consensus)

South Florida -17.5

Edge: The Citadel +17.5 (15.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
33006
South FloridaSouth Florida
7130727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-37-613-627-6
South FloridaThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TCSFTCSFTCSFTCSFTCSFTCSFTCSFTCSFTCSFTCSFSFTCSFTO736ydDOWNS1027ydFG1038ydTD862ydFG1054ydPUNT731ydTD3-6ydTD00ydPUNT30ydTD560ydMISS1256ydMISS539ydPUNT613ydPUNT1042ydPUNT83ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT932ydTD786ydPUNT423ydPUNT543ydDOWNS48ydTO317ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and South Florida
StatisticThe CitadelSouth Florida
Passing4-1818-25
Pass Yards84102
Rush Yards200302
Total Yards284404
Turnovers30
3rd Down8-185-12
Penalties7-635-50
Possession32:1727:43

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
Brandon Rainey
4/18, 84 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Rainey
20 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Ryan McCarthy
2 REC, 44 YDS
defense
South Florida
passing
Jordan McCloud
11/16, 68 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kelley Joiner Jr.
8 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Bryce Miller
3 REC, 36 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the Citad 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the Citad 33

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Keefe White run for 12 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Brandon Rainey run for 6 yds to the SFla 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the SFla 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.85

Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -3.52

Logan Braucht run for 2 yds to the SFla 39 Logan Braucht fumbled, forced by Rashawn Yates, recovered by SFla Mike Hampton , return for no gain to the SFla 39

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kelley Joiner run for 8 yds to the SFla 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.08

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 1 yd to the SFla 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Kelley Joiner run for 1 yd to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan McCloud run for 2 yds to the Citad 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 7 yds to the Citad 42

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Citad 47

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.03

Jordan McCloud run for 7 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Johnny Ford run for a loss of 5 yards to the Citad 45

3rd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.30

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 11 yds to the Citad 34

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.22

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Kelley Joiner

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Keefe White run for 11 yds to the Citad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Darique Hampton run for 1 yd to the Citad 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.36

Brandon Rainey pass complete to Keefe White for 23 yds to the SOUFLA 31 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Brandon Rainey run for 6 yds to the SFla 25

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Logan Braucht

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.60

Brandon Rainey run for 4 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Logan Braucht run for 2 yds to the SFla 19

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Darique Hampton run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 20

3rd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.70

Keefe White run for a loss of 3 yards to the SFla 23 Keefe White fumbled, recovered by Citad Keefe White , return for no gain to the SFla 23

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 28

4th & 17Field Goal Good+45 yds

Colby Kintner 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Johnny Ford for 4 yds to the SFla 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.58

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 12 yds to the Citad 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kelley Joiner run for 5 yds to the Citad 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds to the Citad 38

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.08

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 12 yds to the Citad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the Citad 22

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Johnny Ford run for 12 yds to the Citad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Jordan McCloud pass complete to DeVontres Dukes for 10 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK) THE CITADEL Penalty, ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Logan Braucht run for 4 yds to the Citad 26

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brandon Rainey run for no gain to the Citad 26

3rd & 6Rush+41 ydsPPA +4.03

Raleigh Webb run for 41 yds to the SFla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Logan Braucht run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 31

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Brandon Rainey pass complete to Ryan McCarthy for 10 yds to the SFla 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Logan Braucht run for 5 yds to the SFla 16

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Raleigh Webb) to the SFla 31

2nd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Logan Braucht run for 5 yds to the SFla 26

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Logan Braucht run for 2 yds to the SFla 24

4th & 13Field Goal Good+41 yds

Colby Kintner 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Darrian Felix run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Bryce Miller for 14 yds to the SFla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Darrian Felix run for 8 yds to the SFla 46

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.08

Darrian Felix run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the Citad 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the Citad 18

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.40

Darique Hampton run for a loss of 3 yards to the Citad 15

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh Webb, broken up by Mike Hampton

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Citad 10

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for a loss of 10 yards , Omarion Dollison returns for no gain for a TD SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Citad 8 (Spencer Shrader PAT MISSED)

1st & 3Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Citad 8

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Logan Braucht run for 2 yds to the Citad 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Keefe White

3rd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.48

Keefe White run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 34

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 41 yds , KJ Sails returns for no gain to the SFla 34 THE CITADEL Penalty, kick catching interference (Brian Horn) to the SFla 40

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Noah Johnson run for 9 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the SFla 43

2nd & 7Rush+43 ydsPPA +2.64

Johnny Ford run for 43 yds to the Citad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JOHNSON, Noah rush for 1 yard to the CIT13 (Dalton Owens), PENALTY USF holding (MARCELLUS, Jean) 10 yards to the CIT24, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.69

Noah Johnson run for 14 yds to the Citad 10

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Noah Johnson run for 1 yd to the Citad 9

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Logan Braucht run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 23

2nd & 12Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Brandon Rainey run for 15 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh Webb

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Logan Braucht run for 3 yds to the Citad 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.64

Brandon Rainey pass complete to Ryan McCarthy for 34 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthy

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Brandon Rainey run for 2 yds to the SFla 23

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the SFla 18

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.89

Brandon Rainey run for 5 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh Webb

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brandon Rainey sacked by Antonio Grier for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 19 Brandon Rainey fumbled, , return for 0 yards , return for 0 yards to the SFla 19

3rd & 16Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Colby Kintner 36 yd FG MISSED

0th & 16End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +2.56

Kelley Joiner run for 41 yds to the Citad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 25

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete to Bryce Miller

3rd & 11Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.12

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Randall St. Felix for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 26

4th & 12Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Spencer Shrader 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Keefe White run for 7 yds to the Citad 33

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Logan Braucht run for 1 yd to the Citad 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Brandon Rainey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 35

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Keefe White run for 3 yds to the Citad 38

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 39

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Noah Johnson run for 4 yds to the SFla 19

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.61

Noah Johnson pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the SFla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the SFla 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Noah Johnson pass complete to Bryce Miller for 10 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Noah Johnson pass incomplete to DeVontres Dukes

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the SFla 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Noah Johnson pass complete to Randall St. Felix for 8 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Bryce Miller run for 4 yds to the Citad 45

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Noah Johnson run for 3 yds to the Citad 42

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Kelley Joiner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 43

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Brandon Rainey run for 9 yds to the Citad 19

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Cooper Wallace

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Brandon Rainey run for no gain to the Citad 19

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Keefe White run for 2 yds to the Citad 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Brandon Rainey run for 7 yds to the Citad 28

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Citad 23

2nd & 8Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.65

Keefe White run for 3 yds to the Citad 26 THE CITADEL Penalty, illegal block (Raleigh Webb) to the Citad 13

2nd & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Darique Hampton run for no gain to the Citad 13

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Keefe White

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by KJ Sails at the SFla 45

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Latrell Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the SFla 44

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Johnny Ford run for no gain to the SFla 44

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.76

Jordan McCloud sacked by Willie Eubanks III for a loss of 6 yards to the SFla 38

4th & 17Punt+2 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 43 yds , Dominick Poole returns for 2 yds to the Citad 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Clay Harris run for 1 yd to the Citad 22

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Keefe White run for 8 yds to the Citad 30

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Brandon Rainey run for 3 yds to the Citad 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Logan Braucht run for no gain to the Citad 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Keefe White

3rd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.58

Raleigh Webb run for 9 yds to the SFla 42 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Blake Green) to the SFla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the SFla 42

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SFla 47

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthy

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthy

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 33 yds , KJ Sails returns for no gain to the SFla 14

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +2.00

Kelley Joiner run for 27 yds to the SFla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Brian Battie run for 10 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Noah Johnson sacked by Marquise Blount for a loss of 2 yards to the SFla 49

2nd & 12Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.48

Noah Johnson run for 20 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.31

Omarion Dollison run for 19 yds to the Citad 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the Citad 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

Kelley Joiner run for 3 yds for a TD (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Cooper Wallace run for 8 yds to the Citad 37

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Darique Hampton, PENALTY USF unsportsmanlike conduct (LOGAN, Tramel) 15 yards to the USF48, 1ST DOWN CIT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 3 yards to the Citad 49

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh Webb

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Logan Braucht run for 3 yds to the SFla 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SFla 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.02

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sincere Brown for 19 yds to the SFla 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.93

Odunayo Seriki run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Sean Atkins for 4 yds to the Citad 46

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Odunayo Seriki run for 3 yds to the Citad 43

3rd & 3Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Jacob Mathis for a loss of 4 yards to the Citad 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Trent Schneider punt for 33 yds , Dominick Poole returns for no gain to the Citad 20 Dominick Poole fumbled, recovered by SFla Brock Nichols , return for no gain to the Citad 20

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.48

Katravis Marsh pass complete to Terrence Horne for a loss of 9 yards to the Citad 29

2nd & 19Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.27

Katravis Marsh sacked by Dewey Greene IV for a loss of 7 yards to the Citad 36

3rd & 26Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.27

Brian Battie run for 24 yds to the Citad 12

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.90

Katravis Marsh pass incomplete to Sincere Brown, broken up by Destin Mack SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh Webb

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Brandon Rainey pass complete to Keefe White for 17 yds to the Citad 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+18 ydsPPA -1.22

Brandon Rainey pass intercepted Mekhi LaPointe return for 18 yds to the Citad 39

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 41

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play