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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2020Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Clemson by 37.6

Home Win Probability

Clemson 98%

Market (consensus)

Clemson -50.5

Edge: The Citadel +50.5 (12.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 19, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
The Citadel
00000
ClemsonClemson
28210049

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-035-049-0
ClemsonThe Citadel

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CLETCCLETCCLETCTCCLETCCLETCCLETCCLETCCLETCCLETCCLETCCLETCCLETCCLETCTD775ydPUNT38ydTD149ydPUNT5-9ydTD845ydTD1-8ydPUNT3-4ydTD36ydPUNT3-1ydTD372ydPUNT3-12ydTD861ydPUNT737ydEND35ydPUNT519ydTO954ydPUNT35ydTO27ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT38ydPUNT31ydDOWNS734ydMISS538ydPUNT37ydDOWNS721ydPUNT3-13ydUncategorized939yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing The Citadel and Clemson
StatisticThe CitadelClemson
Passing3-1119-27
Pass Yards76243
Rush Yards87162
Total Yards163405
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-168-14
Penalties11-755-35
Possession34:1725:42

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

The Citadel
passing
Brandon Rainey
2/9, 38 YDS
rushing
Jaylan Adams
12 CAR, 50 YDS
receiving
Ryan McCarthy
1 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Clemson
passing
Trevor Lawrence
8/9, 168 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Travis Etienne
8 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Frank Ladson Jr.
3 REC, 87 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 28

2nd & 7Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.96

Travis Etienne run for 28 yds to the Citad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari Rodgers

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Citad 41

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 13 yds to the Citad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.18

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 11 yds to the Citad 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 17 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brandon Rainey run for no gain to the Citad 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Emeka Nwanze run for 4 yds to the Citad 29

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Keefe White run for 4 yds to the Citad 33

4th & 2Punt+21 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 42 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 21 yds to the CLEMSON 46 THE CITADEL Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Citad 49

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Citad 44

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +2.61

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 44 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Citad 20

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Brandon Rainey run for 4 yds to the Citad 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.12

Brandon Rainey pass complete to Keyonte Sessions for 16 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Citad 25

1st & 25Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 24

2nd & 26Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Brandon Rainey run for no gain to the Citad 24

3rd & 26Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.05

Brandon Rainey run for a loss of 8 yards to the Citad 16 Brandon Rainey fumbled, recovered by Citad

4th & 34Punt+16 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 45 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 16 yds to the Citad 45

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Citad 47

2nd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.09

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 16 yds to the Citad 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Travis Etienne run for 5 yds to the Citad 26

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 1 yd to the Citad 25

3rd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.76

Travis Etienne run for 22 yds to the Citad 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Citad 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Citad 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Trevor Lawrence run for 2 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+17 ydsPPA -0.92

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 8 yards Cooper Wallace fumbled, recovered by Clem James Skalski , return for 17 yds (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Keyonte Sessions run for 1 yd to the Citad 17

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Brandon Rainey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 16

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Citad 11

3rd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Citad 12

4th & 14Punt+44 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 38 yds , Travis Etienne returns for 44 yds to the Citad 6

1st & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Davis Allen for 2 yds to the Citad 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Citad 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brandon Rainey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Emeka Nwanze run for no gain to the Citad 24

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Keefe White run for no gain to the Citad 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Derion Kendrick at the Clem 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.31

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 12 yds to the Clem 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 54 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Citad 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (Thomas Crawford) to the Citad 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete

3rd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.12

Brandon Rainey sacked by Trenton Simpson for a loss of 8 yards to the Citad 13

4th & 22Punt+47 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 47 yds , Derion Kendrick returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Lyn-J Dixon run for 4 yds to the Clem 43

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Destin Mack) to the Citad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Darien Rencher run for 16 yds to the Citad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Darien Rencher run for 4 yds to the Citad 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to E.J. Williams

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Brown for 8 yds to the Citad 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Darien Rencher run for 8 yds to the Citad 6

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Darien Rencher run for no gain to the Citad 6

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.59

D.J. Uiagalelei run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Weitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Cooper Wallace run for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 23 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Derion Kendrick) to the Citad 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Citad 39

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Emeka Nwanze run for 5 yds to the Citad 44

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Citad 39

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.48

Brandon Rainey pass complete to Raleigh Webb for 22 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 44

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Clem 43

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Emeka Nwanze run for 4 yds to the Clem 39

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Clem 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 30 yds, downed at the Clem 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Taisun Phommachanh run for 7 yds to the Clem 15

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Ajou Ajou

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -0.28

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 13 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Clem Taisun Phommachanh

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Emeka Nwanze run for no gain to the Citad 25

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Keefe White run for 17 yds to the Citad 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brandon Rainey run for 1 yd to the Citad 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Keyonte Sessions

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Emeka Nwanze run for 1 yd to the Citad 44

4th & 8Punt+9 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 51 yds , Will Swinney returns for 9 yds to the Clem 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the Clem 22

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chez Mellusi run for 5 yds to the Clem 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Clem 22

1st & 15Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.37

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to J.C. Chalk for no gain to the Clem 22

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.09

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 38 yds to the Citad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Swinney for 3 yds to the Citad 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chez Mellusi run for 4 yds to the Citad 33

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the Citad 32

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -2.67

D.J. Uiagalelei run for no gain to the Citad 32 D.J. Uiagalelei fumbled, forced by Jay Smith, recovered by Clem D.J. Uiagalelei

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Keefe White run for 1 yd to the Citad 33

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brandon Rainey run for 4 yds to the Citad 37

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Ryan McCarthy

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 27 yds, downed at the Clem 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Ajou Ajou

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -0.81

Michel Dukes run for 7 yds to the Clem 43 Michel Dukes fumbled, forced by Javonte Middleton, recovered by Citad Javonte Middleton

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Keyonte Sessions run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 44

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 44 yds for a touchback

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Raleigh Webb

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kobe Pace run for 2 yds to the Clem 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Ajou Ajou

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the Clem 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the Citad 19

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Keefe White run for a loss of 1 yard to the Citad 18

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Emeka Nwanze run for 2 yds to the Citad 20

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Campbell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Will Swinney at the Clem 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Demarkcus Bowman run for 6 yds to the Clem 40

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Demarkcus Bowman run for no gain to the Clem 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.84

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 19 yds to the Citad 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Drew Swinney for 3 yds to the Citad 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Demarkcus Bowman run for 4 yds to the Citad 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to E.J. Williams

4th & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -2.35

D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 2 yds to the Citad 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.71

Raleigh Webb pass complete to Ryan McCarthy for 38 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Donnie Brechtel III run for 1 yd to the Clem 29

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.90

Keyonte Sessions run for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 30

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Colby Kintner 47 yd FG MISSED

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brandon Rainey pass incomplete to Keyonte Sessions

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Sage Ennis

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Chez Mellusi for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 29

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the Clem 37

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, downed at the Citad 22

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Donnie Brechtel III run for 1 yd to the Citad 23

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Citad 18

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylan Adams pass incomplete

3rd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.05

Jaylan Adams run for 17 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jaylan Adams run for 7 yds to the Citad 42

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

THE CITADEL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Citad 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Donnie Brechtel III run for 3 yds to the Citad 40

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaylan Adams run for 2 yds to the Citad 42

4th & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Darique Hampton run for 1 yd to the Citad 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Hunter Helms pass complete to Drew Swinney for 3 yds to the Citad 40

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Citad 45

2nd & 12Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Hunter Helms pass complete to Kobe Pace for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 47

3rd & 14Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.13

Hunter Helms sacked by Chris Beverly for a loss of 9 yards to the Clem 44

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Will Spiers punt for 44 yds, downed at the Citad 12

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaylan Adams sacked by Greg Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Citad 5

2nd & 17Penalty+5 yds

CLEMSON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Citad 10

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jaylan Adams run for 5 yds to the Citad 15

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaylan Adams run for 2 yds to the Citad 27 for a 1ST down Darique Hampton for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Jaylan Adams run for 7 yds to the Citad 34

2nd & 3Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.35

Jaylan Adams sacked by Regan Upshaw and Kevin Swint for a loss of 2 yards to the Citad 32

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaylan Adams run for 4 yds to the Citad 36

4th & 1Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.96

Jaylan Adams run for 15 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Jaylan Adams sacked by DeMonte Capehart for a loss of 6 yards to the Citad 45

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jaylan Adams run for 6 yds to the Clem 49

Situational Analysis

The Citadel

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
19 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
10 plays
38%
8 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Clemson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
50%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
14%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays