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← Back to GamesNov 22, 2020Week 12
TennesseeTennessee
17
-Final
30
AuburnAuburn
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 20.2

Home Win Probability

Auburn 89%

Market (consensus)

Auburn -10.5

Edge: Auburn -10.5 (9.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 22, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TennesseeTennessee
730717
AuburnAuburn
010101030

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-1010-1013-1020-1027-1030-17
AuburnTennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENAUBTENAUBTENAUBTENAUBTENAUBTENAUBTENTENAUBTENAUBTENMISS943ydPUNT414ydTD980ydTO955ydFG850ydTD479ydPUNT36ydFG1370ydPUNT614ydPUNT39ydEND627ydFG1565ydTD1063ydMISS972ydTD1280ydTD975ydFG711ydEND854yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee and Auburn
StatisticTennesseeAuburn
Passing22-3317-26
Pass Yards242220
Rush Yards222165
Total Yards464385
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-159-15
Penalties4-336-60
Possession31:2928:31

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee
passing
Jarrett Guarantano
15/23, 156 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Eric Gray
22 CAR, 173 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Eric Gray
3 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Auburn
passing
Bo Nix
17/26, 220 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
D.J. Williams
11 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Schwartz
3 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 3Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.28

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 28 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.27

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 12 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Aub 27

3rd & 9Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.96

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Jamien Sherwood for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 32

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Brent Cimaglia 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tank Bigsby run for 12 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Eli Stove

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 47

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22

2nd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.58

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by DaQuan Newkirk and Colby Wooden for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 15

3rd & 15Rush+33 ydsPPA +3.32

Eric Gray run for 33 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 16 yds to the Aub 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jimmy Calloway for 6 yds to the Aub 30

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Aub 30

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.94

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 15 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Aub 9

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.38

Jarrett Guarantano run for 9 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 14 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Aub 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.76

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 17 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Shaun Shivers run for 11 yds to the Tenn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Bo Nix run for 13 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

AUBURN Penalty, False Start (Keiondre Jones) to the Tenn 20

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Tenn 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Bo Nix pass incomplete to J.J. Pegues

3rd & 15Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.15

Bo Nix pass intercepted, touchback. Bryce Thompson return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 27

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Tenn 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.01

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 25 yds to the Aub 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 10 yds to the Aub 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.98

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.63

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 8 yds to the Aub 31

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Princeton Fant for 1 yd to the Aub 30

4th & 2Field Goal Good+47 yds

Brent Cimaglia 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Shaun Shivers run for 7 yds to the Aub 28

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Shaun Shivers run for 13 yds to the Aub 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +4.18

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 54 yds for a TD AUBURN Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 8 (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jimmy Holiday run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Eli Stove at the Aub 22

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Tank Bigsby run for 10 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Aub 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Shedrick Jackson

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.71

D.J. Williams run for 7 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.04

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 16 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.35

D.J. Williams run for 12 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

D.J. Williams run for 3 yds to the Tenn 22

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.56

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 6 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Bo Nix run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 15

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

D.J. Williams run for 2 yds to the Tenn 13

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Bo Nix pass complete to D.J. Williams for 5 yds to the Tenn 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+25 yds

Anders Carlson 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.53

Jimmy Calloway run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 26

2nd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 10 yds to the Tenn 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 8 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Aub 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 6 yds to the Aub 33

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Aub 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the Aub 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tenn 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 27

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 8 yds to the Tenn 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jacob Warren for 5 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the Aub 49

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.60

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 21 yds to the Aub 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Bo Nix pass complete to J.J. Pegues for 7 yds to the Tenn 48

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

Bo Nix pass incomplete to John Samuel Shenker

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.68

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 8 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Bo Nix sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 42

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Nix, Bo pass complete to Hudson, Kobe for 14 yards to the TENNESSEE28, PENALTY AUBURN ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TENNESSEE47, NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Bo Nix pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 7 yds to the Tenn 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.38

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 16 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 5 yds to the Tenn 19

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Tenn 15

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.10

Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

D.J. Williams run for 1 yd to the Tenn 12

2nd & 9Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.81

Bo Nix sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 11 yards to the Tenn 23

3rd & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.26

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 13 yds to the Tenn 10

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Anders Carlson 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Tenn 49

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.20

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.89

Eric Gray run for 21 yds to the Aub 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Aub 19

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Aub 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Aub 12

2nd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+100 ydsPPA -11.34

Jarrett Guarantano pass intercepted for a TD Smoke Monday return for 100 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 9

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Jones Jr., Velus, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference 15 yards to the TENNESSEE24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Ty Chandler run for 12 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Chandler, Ty rush for loss of 2 yards to the TENNESSEE34, PENALTY AUBURN face mask 15 yards to the AUBURN49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.86

Eric Gray run for 16 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Aub 24

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Aub 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Aub 15

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Colby Wooden for a loss of 5 yards to the Aub 20

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Brent Cimaglia 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Aub 21

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the Aub 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.26

Bo Nix pass complete to Shedrick Jackson for 6 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

D.J. Williams run for 2 yds to the Aub 35

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Bo Nix run for 2 yds to the Aub 37

3rd & 6Penalty+8 yds

Nix, Bo pass incomplete to Jackson, Shedrick, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 8 yards to the AUBURN45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN AUBURN.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.36

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 14 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.19

D.J. Williams run for 23 yds to the Tenn 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

D.J. Williams run for 4 yds to the Tenn 9

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

D.J. Williams run for 9 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 17 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Ty Chandler for 7 yds to the Tenn 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Jalin Hyatt

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.55

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Bailey, Harrison pass incomplete to Chandler, Ty, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE43, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.01

Eric Gray run for 27 yds to the Aub 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Harrison Bailey run for 8 yds to the Aub 22

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Bailey, Harrison pass incomplete, PENALTY AUBURN pass interference 15 yards to the AUBURN7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.

1st & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jacob Warren for 5 yds to the Aub 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Aub 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Eric Gray run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Eli Stove run for no gain to the Tenn 44

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Tenn 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.53

D.J. Williams run for 2 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Bo Nix run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Tenn 28

3rd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.93

Bo Nix run for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 33

4th & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Anders Carlson 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Bailey, Harrison pass incomplete to Keyton, Ramel, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE14, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Ty Chandler for 12 yds to the Tenn 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Princeton Fant for 15 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Princeton Fant for 12 yds to the Aub 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Princeton Fant

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Jimmy Calloway

3rd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.28

Harrison Bailey sacked by Big Kat Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 48

4th & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +4.07

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jacob Warren for 18 yds to the Aub 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Harrison Bailey run for 12 yds to the Aub 22 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
61%
33 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th