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← Back to GamesNov 21, 2020Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 26.1

Home Win Probability

Alabama 93%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -31.5

Edge: Kentucky +31.5 (5.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 21, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
30003
AlabamaAlabama
721211463

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256707-314-328-342-349-356-363-3
AlabamaKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENKENALAKENALAKENALAKENALAKENPUNT48ydTD655ydFG858ydPUNT424ydTO1238ydTD458ydMISS1041ydTD575ydPUNT36ydTD671ydEND26ydTO436ydPUNT423ydPUNT30ydTD10ydPUNT3-3ydTD729ydPUNT36ydTD776ydPUNT3-8ydTD1056ydPUNT3-1ydTD1073ydUncategorized35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Alabama
StatisticKentuckyAlabama
Passing10-2518-26
Pass Yards120283
Rush Yards59226
Total Yards179509
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-136-9
Penalties7-694-30
Possession28:4931:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
10/19, 120 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Asim Rose
10 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Josh Ali
4 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
16/24, 230 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jase McClellan
10 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
DeVonta Smith
9 REC, 144 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Asim Rose Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Asim Rose Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 33

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Asim Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 36

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -0.77

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 28 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by Kent Terry Wilson

4th & 14Punt+16 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 43 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 16 yds to the Alab 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.64

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 34 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Kent 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 16 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Kent 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.18

Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 13 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Kavosiey Smoke run for 8 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.26

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 33 yds to the Alab 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Alab 15

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 10

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Landon Young) to the Alab 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 5 yds to the Alab 15

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Matt Ruffolo 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 24 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Najee Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Terry Wilson run for 7 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 3Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.20

Asim Rose Jr. run for 14 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Asim Rose Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.82

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 9 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Kent 48

2nd & 13Penalty+15 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Josh Jobe) to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.43

Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 17 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 5 yds to the Alab 15

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Asim Rose Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Asim Rose Jr. run for 1 yd to the Alab 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Terry Wilson run for 1 yd to the Alab 6

4th & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)-36 ydsPPA -3.87

TEAM run for a loss of 36 yards to the Alab 42 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kent Matt Ruffolo

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 3 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.23

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 27 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Roughing Passer (Phil Hoskins) to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 4 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.57

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 10 yds for a TD ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 8 (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the Kent 35

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.19

Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 21 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Terry Wilson pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for no gain to the Alab 41

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Kavosiey Smoke

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.42

Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 14 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Kavosiey Smoke

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Alab 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Matt Ruffolo 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 18 yds to the Alab 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.24

Najee Harris run for 14 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Najee Harris run for 42 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Asim Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Terry Wilson pass complete to Isaiah Epps for 3 yds to the Kent 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 50 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 3 yds to the Alab 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 3 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Offside (Kordell Looney) to the Alab 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 9 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.13

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 17 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.21

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 19 yds to the Kent 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 18 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 31

0th & 7End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Najee Harris run for a loss of 6 yards to the Alab 19

2nd & 16Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.25

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 18 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yusuf Corker) to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+21 ydsPPA -3.86

Mac Jones pass intercepted Kelvin Joseph return for 21 yds to the Kent 22

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.71

Asim Rose Jr. run for 20 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Alab 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Mac Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Mac Jones pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 39

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+45 ydsPPA -9.24

Terry Wilson pass intercepted for a TD Jordan Battle return for 45 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Joey Gatewood pass incomplete to Josh Ali

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 22

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Joey Gatewood pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt+41 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 48 yds , DeVonta Smith returns for 41 yds to the Kent 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 5 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Kent 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 5 yds to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Asim Rose Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Joey Gatewood pass incomplete to Keaton Upshaw

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Joey Gatewood pass incomplete to Isaiah Epps

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 45 yds, fair catch by DeVonta Smith at the Alab 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+50 yds

Bryce Young pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 35 yds to the ALABAMA 41 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the Kent 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Najee Harris run for 10 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Najee Harris run for 8 yds to the Kent 8

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.24

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 5

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.89

Bryce Young sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 13

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 18

3rd & 18Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.97

Bryce Young pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 18 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.65

Beau Allen sacked by Christian Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 19

3rd & 16Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.07

Beau Allen sacked by Christopher Allen for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 17

4th & 18Punt+9 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 48 yds , DeVonta Smith returns for 9 yds to the Alab 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jase McClellan run for 5 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jase McClellan run for 4 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.01

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.65

Jase McClellan run for 16 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.37

Roydell Williams run for 11 yds to the Kent 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds to the Kent 12

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Roydell Williams run for 9 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Roydell Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Beau Allen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

JuTahn McClain run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Beau Allen pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Patrick Surtain II at the Alab 27

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.57

Jase McClellan run for 23 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 28

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Roydell Williams run for 4 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 25

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.98

Roydell Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 27

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Kent 19

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.65

Jase McClellan run for 19 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Travis Tisdale run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Travis Tisdale run for 4 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Travis Tisdale run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 30

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
25 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
8%
13 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
43%
28 plays
2nd
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
82%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play