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← Back to GamesNov 8, 2020Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 0.8

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 44%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas +2

Edge: Arkansas +2 (1.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 8, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TennesseeTennessee
3100013
ArkansasArkansas
0024024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-100-137-1314-1324-13
ArkansasTennessee

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENARKTENFG1242ydPUNT631ydTD1681ydMISS1671ydPUNT37ydPUNT429ydFG849ydPUNT422ydEND1-2ydTD1775ydPUNT35ydTD367ydPUNT36ydTD281ydPUNT31ydFG749ydPUNT412ydPUNT5-4ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-10ydTO723ydPUNT517ydTO1072yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee and Arkansas
StatisticTennesseeArkansas
Passing11-2118-25
Pass Yards107215
Rush Yards185198
Total Yards292413
Turnovers20
3rd Down5-159-17
Penalties3-302-20
Possession32:5927:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee
passing
Harrison Bailey
6/9, 65 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Eric Gray
31 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Palmer
2 REC, 28 YDS
defense
Arkansas
passing
Feleipe Franks
18/24, 215 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Trelon Smith
9 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Treylon Burks
5 REC, 95 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarrett Guarantano run for no gain to the Tenn 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.93

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 10 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Ark 45

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Ark 33

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Guarantano,J. rush for 5 yards to the AR25 (Hayden Henry), PENALTY UT holding (Smith,T.) 10 yards to the AR40, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 7 yds to the Ark 33

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.92

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Ark 33

3rd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for no gain to the Ark 33

4th & 13Field Goal Good+50 yds

Brent Cimaglia 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.98

De'Vion Warren run for 22 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Feleipe Franks pass complete to De'Vion Warren for 8 yds to the Tenn 45

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rakeem Boyd run for no gain to the Tenn 40

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 43

3rd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.92

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Rakeem Boyd for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 44

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 25

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.91

Velus Jones Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 35 Eric Gray fumbled, forced by Jalen Catalon, recovered by Tenn Josh Palmer

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.03

Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Tenn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 44

3rd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.22

Jarrett Guarantano run for 20 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.74

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Ark 31

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.99

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 7 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Ark 20

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Ark 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jarrett Guarantano run for 9 yds to the Ark 4

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Eric Gray run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 7 yds to the Ark 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Treylon Burks run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Rakeem Boyd run for 7 yds to the Tenn 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.86

Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.62

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 24 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Trelon Smith run for 6 yds to the Tenn 10

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 12

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 9 yds to the Tenn 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mike Woods

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+21 yds

A.J. Reed 21 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 22

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 20

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.92

Trelon Smith run for 23 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.54

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trelon Smith for a loss of 10 yards Trelon Smith fumbled, recovered by Ark Trelon Smith

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

De'Vion Warren pass incomplete to Trelon Smith, broken up by Quavaris Crouch ARKANSAS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined

3rd & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)+16 ydsPPA +0.95

Feleipe Franks run for 16 yds to the Ark 49 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Ark Feleipe Franks

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Tenn 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Guarantano,J. pass incomplete to Palmer,J., PENALTY AR holding (Hudson Clark) 10 yards to the UT44, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jabari Small run for no gain to the Tenn 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.44

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 18 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Ark 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Ark 31

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete, broken up by LaDarrius Bishop

4th & 3Field Goal Good+48 yds

Brent Cimaglia 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.73

De'Vion Warren run for 19 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Feleipe Franks run for no gain to the Ark 45

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Rakeem Boyd run for 3 yds to the Ark 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Treylon Burks

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sam Loy punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 22

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.77

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Xavier Kelly for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 6 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to De'Vion Warren

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.06

Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 9 yds to the Tenn 41

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Rakeem Boyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 42

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.99

Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to Mike Woods

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 7 yds to the Tenn 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 12 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Trelon Smith for 3 yds to the Tenn 17

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Tenn 12

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +1.46

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 10 yds Blake Kern fumbled, forced by Quavaris Crouch, for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Trelon Smith run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 1 yd for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Darnell Wright) to the Tenn 20

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 26

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jarrett Guarantano run for 4 yds to the Tenn 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 33

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rakeem Boyd run for 5 yds to the Ark 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+56 ydsPPA +3.27

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Mike Woods for 56 yds to the ARKANSAS 6 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Blake Kern for 6 yds for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 31

4th & 4Punt+4 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 54 yds , Treylon Burks returns for 4 yds to the Ark 19

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.78

Trelon Smith run for 22 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +4.66

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 59 yds for a TD (A.J. Reed KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Velus Jones Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Tenn 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brian Maurer pass incomplete to Jalin Hyatt, broken up by Montaric Brown

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ark 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Rakeem Boyd run for 2 yds to the Ark 22

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Rakeem Boyd run for 1 yd to the Ark 23

3rd & 7Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.96

Feleipe Franks run for 24 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete to DeVion Warren (Burrell,W.), PENALTY UT pass interference (Burrell,W.) 15 yards to the UT38, 1ST DOWN AR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Feleipe Franks run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Hudson Henry for 1 yd to the Tenn 31

4th & 3Field Goal Good+48 yds

A.J. Reed 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Brian Maurer sacked by Joe Foucha for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 24

2nd & 11Penalty+10 yds

Maurer,B. pass complete to Johnson,B. for 6 yards to the UT30 (Montaric Brown), PENALTY AR holding (Joe Foucha) 10 yards to the UT34, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brian Maurer run for 4 yds to the Tenn 38

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Maurer pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 36 yds, downed at the Ark 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Feleipe Franks pass complete to Treylon Burks for 8 yds to the Ark 35

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Trelon Smith run for 2 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Feleipe Franks sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 6 yards to the Ark 31

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Feleipe Franks pass incomplete

3rd & 16Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.21

Feleipe Franks sacked by Ja'Quain Blakely for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 23

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 39

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Jabari Small run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 37

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 40

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Maurer pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 20

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Feleipe Franks sacked by Kivon Bennett for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 16

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rakeem Boyd run for 4 yds to the Ark 20

3rd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -0.19

Feleipe Franks sacked by Deandre Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 10 Feleipe Franks fumbled, recovered by Ark Dalton Wagner , return for 0 yards

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 48

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Ark 42

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Ark 40

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Ark 23

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.02

Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 25

4th & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.02

Harrison Bailey pass intercepted Eric Gregory return for no gain to the Ark 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.78

Rakeem Boyd run for 6 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Feleipe Franks run for 2 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Feleipe Franks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 35

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the Ark 40

4th & 4Punt+1 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 43 yds , Eric Gray returns for 1 yd to the Tenn 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 9 yds to the Tenn 27

2nd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 9 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Eric Gray for 9 yds to the Tenn 45

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jabari Small for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Jabari Small for 9 yds to the Ark 41

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.26

Harrison Bailey run for 5 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.48

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 24 yds to the Ark 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Harrison Bailey run for 2 yds to the Ark 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Harrison Bailey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.01

Harrison Bailey pass intercepted, touchback. Jalen Catalon return for no gain

Situational Analysis

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
43%
7 plays
25%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
56%
27 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th