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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 6.9

Home Win Probability

Missouri 30%

Market (consensus)

Missouri +3

Edge: Kentucky -3 (3.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
030710
MissouriMissouri
0107320

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-310-317-1020-10
MissouriKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISMISKENMISKENMISKENMISKENMISPUNT36ydPUNT728ydPUNT618ydPUNT525ydPUNT514ydTD1366ydFG743ydPUNT623ydPUNT3-1ydFG1264ydDOWNS2166ydPUNT36ydTD661ydTD675ydPUNT39ydPUNT32ydFG1561ydTO112ydEND610yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Missouri
StatisticKentuckyMissouri
Passing4-1321-30
Pass Yards47201
Rush Yards98220
Total Yards145421
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-910-20
Penalties1-106-54
Possession16:5043:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
3/9, 35 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
9 CAR, 48 YDS
receiving
Josh Ali
3 REC, 44 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Missouri
passing
Connor Bazelak
21/30, 201 YDS
rushing
Larry Rountree III
37 CAR, 126 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jalen Knox
5 REC, 60 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Terry Wilson pass incomplete, broken up by Martez Manuel

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Terry Wilson pass incomplete KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.08

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 6 yds to the Kent 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.38

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 17 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 40

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 44

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.92

Connor Bazelak run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 46

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Larry Rountree III

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 3 yds to the Misso 49

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kent 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Asim Rose Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 21

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Asim Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 24

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.01

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose Jr. for 3 yds to the Kent 33

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 36 yds, downed at the Misso 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 6 yds to the Misso 37

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.39

Connor Bazelak run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 47

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Kent 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 3 yds to the Kent 44

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 9

2nd & 9Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.18

Terry Wilson run for 3 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Tyree Gillespie) to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.66

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 22 Terry Wilson fumbled, recovered by Kent Terry Wilson

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 8 yds to the Misso 42

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Larry Rountree III run for 13 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Kent 44

2nd & 9Penalty-6 yds

Tyler Badie rush for 8 yards to the UK36 (D. Robinson), PENALTY MU illegal formation 6 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Kent 45

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Kent 40

4th & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 12 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Badie run for 15 yds to the Kent 13 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 10 yds to the Kent 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the Kent 1

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.49

Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Kent 14

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 11

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Asim Rose Jr. run for 29 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 43

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joey Gatewood run for 8 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Joey Gatewood pass incomplete to Josh Ali

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Asim Rose Jr. run for 3 yds to the Misso 32

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Joey Gatewood pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+50 yds

Matt Ruffolo 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Larry Rountree III run for 5 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Connor Bazelak pass complete to D'ionte Smith for 10 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Misso 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 5 yds to the Misso 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds, downed at the Kent 15

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Joey Gatewood run for 2 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 18

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.21

Joey Gatewood sacked by Nick Bolton for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 14

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 12 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 47

2nd & 10Penalty-3 yds

Larry Rountree rush for 13 yards to the UK40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MU holding 3 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 11 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 41

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 4 yds to the Kent 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.98

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 24 yds to the Kent 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Kent 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Niko Hea

3rd & 1Field Goal Good+18 yds

Harrison Mevis 18 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Niko Hea for 2 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Daniel Parker Jr.) to the Misso 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 6 yds to the Misso 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 13 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.82

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 10 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Tyler Badie

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 7 yds to the Kent 43

4th & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.50

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 4 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the Kent 31

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.81

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 35

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.37

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 7 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Kent 19

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.16

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 7

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Kent 7

4th & 1Sack-2 ydsPPA -4.10

Connor Bazelak sacked by Yusuf Corker for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 9

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Terry Wilson run for 2 yds to the Kent 11

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Joey Gatewood pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 15

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.92

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 27 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.37

Larry Rountree III run for 18 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.70

Tyler Badie run for 6 yds to the Kent 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Harrison Mevis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 17 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.55

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Misso 49 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Ennis Rakestraw Jr.) to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Misso 30

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh Ali run for 3 yds to the Misso 27

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.28

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Misso 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 26 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Misso 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Connor Bazelak run for 3 yds to the Misso 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Ali at the Kent 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Asim Rose Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Allen Dailey Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Misso 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Connor Bazelak run for 3 yds to the Misso 41

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Larry Rountree III run for no gain to the Misso 41

3rd & 7Rush+18 ydsPPA +3.10

Connor Bazelak run for 8 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding (Terry Wilson) to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Larry Rountree III run for 7 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Kent 27

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Kent 19

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Connor Bazelak run for 4 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Niko Hea

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.78

Tyler Badie run for 12 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 6

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Kent 5

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Knox run for 4 yds to the Kent 1

4th & 1Field Goal Good+20 yds

Harrison Mevis 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -0.92

Joey Gatewood pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds Josh Ali fumbled, forced by Joshuah Bledsoe, recovered by Misso Joshuah Bledsoe

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Larry Rountree III run for 4 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Kent 30

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Kent 28

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.13

Tyler Badie run for 1 yd to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Badie run for 2 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.90

Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 27

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
16 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
4th

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
35%
31 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
38%
8 plays
43%
14 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
86%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
3 plays