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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8
AuburnAuburn
35
-Final
28
Ole MissOle Miss
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Auburn by 6.9

Home Win Probability

Ole Miss 31%

Market (consensus)

Ole Miss +3.5

Edge: Auburn -3.5 (3.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AuburnAuburn
7771435
Ole MissOle Miss
0147728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-77-1414-1421-2121-2728-2728-35
Ole MissAuburn

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMAUBOMPUNT31ydPUNT31ydTO1168ydTD1495ydTD1075ydTD1079ydTD1678ydPUNT925ydEND12ydDOWNS85ydDOWNS41ydPUNT39ydTD389ydTD1088ydPUNT612ydTD1180ydTD1377ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT35ydTD680ydTO946yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Auburn and Ole Miss
StatisticAuburnOle Miss
Passing23-3017-28
Pass Yards238161
Rush Yards224283
Total Yards462444
Turnovers02
3rd Down11-1610-16
Penalties3-351-5
Possession31:4828:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Auburn
passing
Bo Nix
23/30, 238 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tank Bigsby
24 CAR, 129 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Seth Williams
8 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Ole Miss
passing
Matt Corral
16/27, 154 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Matt Corral
10 CAR, 88 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kenny Yeboah
4 REC, 83 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for a loss of 2 yards to the Miss 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 3 yds to the Miss 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Matt Corral pass incomplete, broken up by Jordyn Peters OLE MISS Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.28

Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 26

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Shaun Shivers run for 5 yds to the Aub 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Bo Nix pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 41 yds, downed at the Miss 28

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Jerrion Ealy run for 14 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.01

Jerrion Ealy run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 37

2nd & 15Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.43

Matt Corral run for 24 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Aub 36

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jerrion Ealy run for 5 yds to the Aub 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Aub 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Snoop Conner run for 3 yds to the Aub 25

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.87

Snoop Conner run for 19 yds to the Aub 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the Aub 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the Aub 4

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -4.30

Matt Corral pass intercepted Roger McCreary return for 5 yds to the Aub 5

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.38

Tank Bigsby run for 12 yds to the Aub 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.93

Tank Bigsby run for 14 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 7 yds to the Aub 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for a loss of 1 yard to the Aub 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.44

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the Miss 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Miss 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.74

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Tank Bigsby run for 8 yds to the Miss 31

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA -0.09

Shaun Shivers run for 12 yds to the Miss 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Bo Nix run for 9 yds to the Miss 10

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Miss 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bo Nix run for 5 yds to the Miss 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Snoop Conner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Miss 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

John Rhys Plumlee pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 7 yds to the Miss 31

3rd & 4Rush+37 ydsPPA +3.74

John Rhys Plumlee run for 37 yds to the Aub 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

John Rhys Plumlee run for 3 yds to the Aub 29

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Jerrion Ealy run for 8 yds to the Aub 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the Aub 20

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 10 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Aub 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the Aub 6

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 6 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 5 yds to the Aub 26

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Shaun Shivers run for 14 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Shaun Shivers run for 12 yds to the Miss 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 9 yds to the Miss 39

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Tank Bigsby run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.81

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 21 yds to the Miss 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 1 yd to the Miss 20

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Miss 14

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Bo Nix run for 10 yds to the Miss 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Bo Nix run for 4 yds for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

Elijah Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 19

2nd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.25

John Rhys Plumlee run for 8 yds to the Miss 27

3rd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.80

Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 10 yds to the Miss 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Corral pass complete to Braylon Sanders for 5 yds to the Miss 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 1 yd to the Miss 43

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.01

Snoop Conner run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the Aub 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jerrion Ealy run for 3 yds to the Aub 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jonathan Mingo

4th & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.79

Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 6 yds to the Aub 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders, PENALTY AU pass interference (N. Pritchett) 15 yards to the AU24, 1ST DOWN OM, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 7 yds to the Aub 17

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Snoop Conner run for 2 yds to the Aub 15

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.09

Snoop Conner run for 1 yd to the Aub 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds to the Aub 10

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jerrion Ealy run for 5 yds to the Aub 5

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.49

Matt Corral run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

D.J. Williams run for 8 yds to the Aub 36

2nd & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -1.00

Bo Nix pass complete to Kobe Hudson for 1 yd to the Aub 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Tank Bigsby run for 3 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 40

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Aub 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.75

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Shaun Shivers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Aub 48

2nd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Bo Nix run for 8 yds to the Miss 44

3rd & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Bo Nix sacked by Cedric Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Miss 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Matt Corral pass complete to Jerrion Ealy for 2 yds to the Miss 12

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Aub 23

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Shaun Shivers run for 10 yds to the Aub 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 8 yds to the Aub 41

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Shaun Shivers run for 8 yds to the Aub 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for no gain to the Aub 49

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Ze'Vian Capers, broken up by A.J. Finley

4th & 9Rush-25 ydsPPA -0.38

TEAM run for a loss of 25 yards to the Aub 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

John Rhys Plumlee run for 1 yd to the Aub 24

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jerrion Ealy run for 2 yds to the Aub 22

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

John Rhys Plumlee run for 2 yds to the Aub 20

4th & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -3.28

Luke Logan run for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 26

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Tank Bigsby run for 1 yd to the Aub 27

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Bo Nix run for 6 yds to the Aub 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 49 yds , Elijah Moore returns for no gain to the Miss 11 Elijah Moore fumbled, recovered by Miss Elijah Moore

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.07

Snoop Conner run for 19 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+60 ydsPPA +3.18

Matt Corral pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 60 yds to the Aub 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Matt Corral run for 10 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Tank Bigsby run for 6 yds to the Aub 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.87

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 6 yds to the Aub 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 2 yds to the Aub 26

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Tank Bigsby run for 9 yds to the Aub 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for no gain to the Aub 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Bo Nix pass complete to Ze'Vian Capers for 7 yds to the Aub 42

3rd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.65

Tank Bigsby run for 19 yds to the Miss 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.20

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 38 yds to the Miss 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd for a TD (Anders Carlson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Jerrion Ealy rush for 15 yards to the OM40 (Smoke Monday;Owen Pappoe), PENALTY OM illegal shift 5 yards to the OM20, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds to the Miss 24

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Matt Corral run for 10 yds to the Miss 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Jerrion Ealy run for 1 yd to the Miss 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Elijah Moore run for 5 yds to the Miss 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jonathan Mingo

3rd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Matt Corral sacked by Smoke Monday for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 37

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Mac Brown punt for 50 yds , Eli Stove returns for 7 yds to the Aub 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Tank Bigsby run for 4 yds to the Aub 24

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 26

3rd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.05

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 14 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 9 yds to the Aub 49

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.12

Tank Bigsby run for 9 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.48

Bo Nix run for 12 yds to the Miss 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for a loss of 3 yards to the Miss 33

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Kobe Hudson

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Bo Nix pass complete to John Samuel Shenker for 15 yds to the Miss 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Miss 18

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Tank Bigsby run for 18 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Snoop Conner run for 8 yds to the Miss 31

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Snoop Conner run for 2 yds to the Miss 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Elijah Moore

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Matt Corral run for 7 yds to the Miss 40

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.68

Matt Corral pass complete to Elijah Moore for 5 yds to the Miss 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Matt Corral run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jerrion Ealy run for 13 yds to the Aub 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jerrion Ealy run for 4 yds to the Aub 33

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Snoop Conner run for 13 yds to the Aub 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Kenny Yeboah

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Jonathan Mingo

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Matt Corral pass complete to Jonathan Mingo for 15 yds to the Aub 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jerrion Ealy run for 5 yds for a TD (Luke Logan KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Bo Nix pass complete to A. Schwartz for 9 yards to the AU34 (A.J. Finley;MoMo Sanogo), PENALTY AU holding 10 yards to the AU15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

Tank Bigsby run for no gain to the Aub 15

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony Schwartz, broken up by MoMo Sanogo

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Seth Williams, broken up by Miles Battle

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Oscar Chapman punt for 40 yds, downed at the Miss 45

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Snoop Conner run for no gain to the Miss 45

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.48

John Rhys Plumlee run for a loss of 5 yards to the Miss 40

3rd & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Matt Corral pass complete to Dontario Drummond for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mac Brown punt for 50 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Bo Nix sacked by Sam Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the Aub 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.79

Bo Nix pass complete to Eli Stove for 13 yds to the Aub 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Tank Bigsby run for 2 yds to the Aub 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Bo Nix pass incomplete to Anthony Schwartz

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.21

Bo Nix pass complete to Anthony Schwartz for 27 yds to the Miss 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +3.29

Bo Nix pass complete to Seth Williams for 42 yds for a TD (Bo Nix pass to Seth Williams for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Elijah Moore

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Matt Corral run for 11 yds to the Miss 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Matt Corral run for 8 yds to the Miss 44

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Matt Corral pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 5 yds to the Miss 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Matt Corral run for 11 yds to the Aub 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Braylon Sanders

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.25

Matt Corral pass complete to Kenny Yeboah for 11 yds to the Aub 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt Corral pass incomplete to Kenny Yeboah

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return+35 ydsPPA -3.68

Matt Corral pass intercepted Jordyn Peters return for 35 yds to the Aub 0 OLE MISS Penalty, illegal forward pass ( Yards) declined

Situational Analysis

Auburn

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
52%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Ole Miss

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
35%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays