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← Back to GamesOct 24, 2020Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 15.5

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 16%

Market (consensus)

Tennessee +21.5

Edge: Tennessee +21.5 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 24, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
AlabamaAlabama
141414648
TennesseeTennessee
0107017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-143-143-2110-2810-3510-4217-4517-48
TennesseeAlabama

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALATENALATENALATENALATENALATENALATENALATENTENALATENALATENALATENALATENALAPUNT535ydPUNT414ydTD670ydPUNT37ydTD776ydFG1360ydTD975ydTD675ydTD575ydPUNT37ydPUNT834ydPUNT32ydEND329ydTD33ydPUNT3-3ydTO320ydPUNT32ydTD1180ydTD485ydFG723ydDOWNS1241ydFG1260ydDOWNS719ydUncategorized1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Alabama and Tennessee
StatisticAlabamaTennessee
Passing28-3614-25
Pass Yards417163
Rush Yards166139
Total Yards583302
Turnovers11
3rd Down7-124-16
Penalties7-458-33
Possession33:3825:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
25/31, 387 YDS
rushing
Najee Harris
20 CAR, 96 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
John Metchie
7 REC, 151 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Jarrett Guarantano
13/24, 162 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Eric Gray
19 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Jalin Hyatt
2 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 12 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 14 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 8 yds to the Alab 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 47

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds to the Tenn 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Tenn 22

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Tenn 26

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.40

Eric Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 23

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.50

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 30 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 11 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 13 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 14 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

4th & 3Punt+4 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 46 yds , Slade Bolden returns for 4 yds to the Alab 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +2.87

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 45 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Najee Harris run for 7 yds to the Tenn 17

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Slade Bolden run for 1 yd to the Tenn 16

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the Tenn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Najee Harris run for 11 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mac Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Princeton Fant for 8 yds to the Tenn 33

2nd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Guarantano, Jarrett pass complete to Gray, Eric for 5 yards to the TENNESSEE38, PENALTY TENNESSEE ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TENNESSEE28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 11 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Alab 45

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.87

Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.59

Ty Chandler run for 11 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Alab 21

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Brandon Kennedy) to the Alab 26

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Alab 21

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the Alab 16

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Alab 15

4th & 2Field Goal Good+33 yds

Brent Cimaglia 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 13 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.37

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 22 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.33

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 17 yds to the Tenn 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 14

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Mac Jones run for 7 yds to the Tenn 7

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Mac Jones run for 2 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

Jones, Mac pass incomplete, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding (Flowers, Trevon) 3 yards to the TENNESSEE2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Evan Neal) to the Tenn 7

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete to Keyton, Ramel, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Jobe, Josh) 10 yards to the TENNESSEE35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Tenn 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 7 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.16

Jarrett Guarantano run for 8 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 38 yds for a TD, (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Tenn 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.01

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 45 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Najee Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Najee Harris run for 9 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 11 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 5 yds to the Alab 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.36

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 14 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.34

Mac Jones sacked by Roman Harrison for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 46 ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Mac Jones) to the Tenn 46

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jahleel Billingsley

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Najee Harris

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Charlie Scott punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Tenn 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 20

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 32

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Najee Harris run for 16 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 13 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Mac Jones pass complete to Jahleel Billingsley for 13 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+28 ydsPPA -0.26

Eric Gray run for a loss of 2 yards Eric Gray fumbled, forced by Malachi Moore, recovered by Alab Malachi Moore , return for 28 yds, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Javontez Spraggins) to the Tenn 30

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 32

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Slade Bolden at the Alab 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 35

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -0.70

Mac Jones pass complete to Slade Bolden for 13 yds Slade Bolden fumbled, forced by Trevon Flowers, recovered by Tenn Theo Jackson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Ty Chandler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 4 yds to the Alab 45

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 46

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 16 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Najee Harris run for 10 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Evan Neal) to the Alab 45

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.95

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 17 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 16 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Mac Jones run for no gain to the Tenn 14

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Tenn 7

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.73

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Tenn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

Harris, Najee rush for loss of 2 yards to the TENNESSEE3, PENALTY TENNESSEE offside (Middleton, Darel) 0 yards to the TENNESSEE1, NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Najee Harris run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 21

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.30

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 4 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.34

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 48 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 27 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 7 yds to the Tenn 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 10 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 32

1st & 15Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Trey Sanders run for 12 yds to the Tenn 20

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Tenn 20

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Najee Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 21

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 yds

Will Reichard 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 7 yds to the Tenn 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds to the Tenn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Guarantano, Jarrett pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA roughing passer (Mathis, Phidarian) 15 yards to the ALABAMA49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Alab 43

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.72

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 48

4th & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +3.50

Jarrett Guarantano run for 12 yds to the Alab 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 2 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Cedric Tillman

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.72

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Trey Sanders run for 4 yds to the Alab 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Bryce Young pass complete to Slade Bolden for no gain to the Alab 38

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Tenn 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Bryce Young pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Bryce Young pass complete to John Metchie III for 18 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.77

Trey Sanders run for 20 yds to the Tenn 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Roman Harrison) to the Tenn 5

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Tenn 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Slade Bolden

3rd & 4Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryce Young sacked by Matthew Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Will Reichard 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 37

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jabari Small run for no gain to the Tenn 37

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (Malachi Wideman) to the Tenn 32

3rd & 13Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.98

Brian Maurer run for 15 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Brian Maurer pass complete to Jabari Small for 1 yd to the Tenn 48

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jabari Small run for 5 yds to the Alab 47

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Alab 45

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Jabari Small run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 46

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jarez Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 45

Situational Analysis

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
67%
36 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
86%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
20%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays