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← Back to GamesOct 17, 2020Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 5

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 34%

Market (consensus)

Mississippi State +4.5

Edge: Texas A&M -4.5 (0.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 17, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
01414028
Mississippi StateMississippi State
007714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-147-147-2814-28
Mississippi StateTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTATATAMSTAMSTAMSTAMSTAPUNT36ydPUNT3-4ydTO534ydPUNT633ydPUNT38ydTD866ydPUNT3-3ydTD11ydPUNT921ydPUNT43ydPUNT1327ydEND1-1ydTD743ydTD475ydTO22ydTD28ydPUNT49ydPUNT923ydTD1389ydPUNT415ydPUNT514ydEND838yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Mississippi State
StatisticTexas A&MMississippi State
Passing13-2330-40
Pass Yards139219
Rush Yards186-2
Total Yards325217
Turnovers12
3rd Down4-107-15
Penalties5-403-25
Possession30:3229:28

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Kellen Mond
13/23, 139 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Spiller
18 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chase Lane
2 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Buddy Johnson
1 TFL, 2 PD
Mississippi State
passing
Will Rogers
15/18, 120 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
7 CAR, 25 YDS
receiving
Malik Heath
5 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

K.J. Costello run for no gain to the MisSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

K.J. Costello pass complete to Austin Williams for 6 yds to the MisSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Jo'quavious Marks, broken up by Buddy Johnson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 1 yd to the TexAM 30

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 25

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Austin Williams at the MisSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

K.J. Costello pass complete to Malik Heath for 7 yds to the MisSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

Jo'quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.42

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 19 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 4 yds to the TexAM 35

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.77

K.J. Costello pass intercepted, touchback. Myles Jones return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 11 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 6 yds to the TexAM 37

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.22

Isaiah Spiller run for 11 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 49 yards to the MS3 (Aaron Brule;Martin Emerson), PENALTY TAMU holding (Kenyon Green) 10 yards to the TAMU38, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 2 yds to the TexAM 40

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.54

Kellen Mond pass complete to Isaiah Spiller for 13 yds to the MisSt 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

K.J. Costello pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

K.J. Costello pass complete to Malik Heath for 7 yds to the MisSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

K.J. Costello pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 1 yd to the MisSt 28

4th & 2Punt+4 yds

Tucker Day punt for 42 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 4 yds to the TexAM 34

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.15

Isaiah Spiller run for 26 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 36

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.56

Isaiah Spiller run for 10 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the MisSt 21

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the MisSt 17

3rd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.80

Ainias Smith run for 12 yds to the MisSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the MisSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Jo'quavious Marks

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.60

K.J. Costello sacked by Aaron Hansford for a loss of 8 yards to the MisSt 22

4th & 13Blocked Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt blocked by Chris Russell Jr. blocked by Chris Russell Jr.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jaden Walley for 5 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Jo'quavious Marks, broken up by Buddy Johnson

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

K.J. Costello run for 7 yds to the MisSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 40

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.61

K.J. Costello sacked by DeMarvin Leal for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 33

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

K.J. Costello pass incomplete, broken up by McKinnley Jackson

4th & 14Penalty+15 yds

Tucker Day punt 47 yards to the TAMU20, Ainias Smith return to the TAMU20, fumble by Ainias Smith recovered by TAMU Ainias Smith at TAMU19, Ainias Smith for 30 yards to the TAMU49 (Aaron Brule;JaVonta Payton), PENALTY TAMU illegal block declined, PENALTY TAMU illegal block declined, PENALTY TAMU personal foul (Leon ONeal) 15 yards to the MS48, 1ST DOWN MS, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jo'quavious Marks run for 1 yd to the MisSt 49

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

K.J. Costello pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 3 yds to the TexAM 48

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.64

K.J. Costello sacked by Brian Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the MisSt 46

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Tucker Day punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Isaiah Spiller run for 12 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 32

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 27

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith, broken up by Martin Emerson

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, delay of game (Kellen Mond) to the TexAM 22

3rd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the TexAM 23

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Austin Williams at the MisSt 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the MisSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

K.J. Costello pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 6 yds to the MisSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.46

Jo'quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 4 yds to the TexAM 49

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

K.J. Costello run for 4 yds to the TexAM 45

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.36

Jo'quavious Marks run for 8 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

K.J. Costello run for no gain to the TexAM 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.62

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for a loss of 3 yards to the TexAM 40

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (Malik Heath) to the TexAM 45

3rd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.62

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jaden Walley for 19 yds to the TexAM 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.90

K.J. Costello sacked by Jayden Peevy for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 35

2nd & 19Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.28

K.J. Costello pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 6 yds to the TexAM 29 MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, illegal block (Jaden Walley) to the TexAM 44

2nd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

K.J. Costello pass incomplete to Malik Heath

3rd & 28Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jo'quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the TexAM 38

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Reed Bowman punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Isaiah Spiller run for 13 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase Lane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 11 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Isaiah Spiller run for 15 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 4 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the MisSt 32

3rd & 6Interception Return Touchdown+60 ydsPPA -10.14

Kellen Mond pass intercepted for a TD Emmanuel Forbes return for 60 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase Lane

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.41

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 19 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the TexAM 49

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.26

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 51 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

K.J. Costello pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 10 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack+19 ydsPPA +1.70

K.J. Costello sacked by Buddy Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the MisSt 8 K.J. Costello fumbled, recovered by TexAM Jayden Peevy , return for 0 yards , return for 19 yds to the MisSt 8

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Ainias Smith run for 2 yds to the MisSt 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 6 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Will Rogers pass complete to Malik Heath for 11 yds to the MisSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Rogers pass incomplete to Austin Williams, broken up by DeMarvin Leal

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 5 yds to the MisSt 41

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.09

Will Rogers sacked by Micheal Clemons and Tyree Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 34

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Tucker Day punt for 38 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 8 yds to the TexAM 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds to the TexAM 45

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.18

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 9 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.23

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for no gain to the MisSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the MisSt 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith, broken up by Aaron Brule

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Austin Williams at the MisSt 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Will Rogers pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 4 yds to the MisSt 15

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Will Rogers pass complete to JaVonta Payton for 5 yds to the MisSt 20

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.42

Jo'quavious Marks run for 1 yd to the MisSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Rogers pass incomplete to Jaden Walley, broken up by McKinnley Jackson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 13 yds to the MisSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Jo'quavious Marks run for 1 yd to the MisSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Will Rogers pass incomplete to Osirus Mitchell

3rd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.12

Will Rogers pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 17 yds to the TexAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 4 yds to the TexAM 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for no gain to the TexAM 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.99

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 10 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexAM 32

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.29

Will Rogers pass complete to Malik Heath for 32 yds for a TD (Brandon Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 40

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Devon Achane run for no gain to the TexAM 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer, broken up by Shawn Preston Jr.

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 54 yds, downed at the MisSt 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 4 yds to the MisSt 10

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, false start (Greg Eiland) to the MisSt 5

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 16 yds to the MisSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Rogers pass complete to Malik Heath for no gain to the MisSt 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for a loss of 4 yards to the MisSt 17

3rd & 14Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Will Rogers pass complete to Osirus Mitchell for 3 yds to the MisSt 20

4th & 11Punt+22 yds

Tucker Day punt for 42 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 22 yds to the MisSt 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ainias Smith run for no gain to the MisSt 40

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Ainias Smith run for 14 yds to the MisSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Ainias Smith run for 8 yds to the MisSt 18

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ainias Smith run for 3 yds to the MisSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ainias Smith run for 3 yds to the MisSt 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ainias Smith run for 3 yds to the MisSt 9

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.83

Ainias Smith run for 8 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Ainias Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 2

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
46%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
4th

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
4th