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← Back to GamesOct 17, 2020Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 7.9

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 68%

Market (consensus)

Tennessee -6.5

Edge: Tennessee -6.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 17, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
01710734
TennesseeTennessee
07007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-147-177-247-277-34
TennesseeKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENTENKENTENKENTENTENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENPUNT3-3ydPUNT1132ydTO525ydTO618ydPUNT69ydTD520ydTD647ydTO2-11ydFG725ydTD1475ydPUNT34ydPUNT38ydEND25ydPUNT39ydTD1176ydPUNT43ydFG849ydPUNT3-4ydTD754ydDOWNS1062ydUncategorized1067yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Tennessee
StatisticKentuckyTennessee
Passing13-1615-26
Pass Yards107112
Rush Yards189175
Total Yards296287
Turnovers14
3rd Down6-123-12
Penalties1-106-63
Possession33:3326:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Terry Wilson
12/15, 101 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
13 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Ali
4 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Jarrett Guarantano
14/21, 88 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Eric Gray
24 CAR, 128 YDS
receiving
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Asim Rose run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 26

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.26

Terry Wilson sacked by Henry To'o To'o for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for 9 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 5 yds to the Kent 48

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 3 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Kent 37

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Eric Gray run for 7 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Eric Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 31

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Eric Gray

3rd & 11Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.09

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Jamar Watson for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 37

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 37 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Asim Rose run for 4 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 8 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Asim Rose run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 31

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 33

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.60

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 12 yds Josh Ali fumbled, recovered by Tenn

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Kent 42

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Kent 38

4th & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +2.10

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 4 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 8 yds to the Kent 26

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jarrett Guarantano run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 27 Jarrett Guarantano fumbled, recovered by Kent

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 4 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.20

Terry Wilson pass complete to Justin Rigg for 8 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 10 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 48

3rd & 11Penalty-10 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Drake Jackson) to the Kent 38

3rd & 21Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.17

Terry Wilson sacked by LaTrell Bumphus for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 36

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Tenn 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 11 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 37

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 39

3rd & 4Interception Return Touchdown+41 ydsPPA -7.85

Kelvin Joseph 41 Yd Interception Return (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.87

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 25 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 10 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 9 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.24

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+85 ydsPPA -11.24

Jamin Davis 85 Yd Interception Return (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28

2nd & 7Penalty-14 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (Princeton Fant) to the Tenn 14

2nd & 21Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.32

J.T. Shrout pass intercepted Tyrell Ajian return for no gain to the Tenn 37

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Asim Rose run for no gain to the Tenn 37

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Terry Wilson run for 8 yds to the Tenn 29

3rd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Asim Rose run for 10 yds to the Tenn 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Tenn 16

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 4 yds to the Tenn 12

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Keaton Upshaw

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matt Ruffolo 30 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 4 yds to the Tenn 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.32

Eric Gray run for 14 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.86

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Eric Gray run for 5 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.54

Eric Gray run for 13 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Eric Gray run for 2 yds to the Kent 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Kent 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Ty Chandler 4 Yd Run (Brent Cimaglia Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Terry Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 25

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Terry Wilson run for 4 yds to the Kent 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Max Duffy punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 23

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Eric Gray

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Tenn 31

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 33 yds, downed at the Kent 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 2 yds to the Kent 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Terry Wilson pass complete to Asim Rose for 3 yds to the Kent 41

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Tenn 21

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Eric Gray run for 8 yds to the Tenn 29

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Terry Wilson pass incomplete to Josh Ali

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.06

Terry Wilson pass complete to Josh Ali for 16 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Asim Rose run for 3 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.84

Terry Wilson pass complete to Allen Dailey Jr. for 14 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.76

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 25 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Tenn 11

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 9

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.34

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Terry Wilson run for 6 yds to the Tenn 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Allen Dailey Jr. 1 Yd pass from Terry Wilson (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , Velus Jones Jr. return for 26 yds to the TENNESSEE 26 TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Morven Joseph) to the Tenn 16

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Ty Chandler run for 10 yds to the Tenn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.26

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Jordan Wright for a loss of 9 yards to the Tenn 17

2nd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 1 yd to the Tenn 18

3rd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Tenn 19

4th & 17Punt+1 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 40 yds , Josh Ali returns for 1 yd to the Kent 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.99

Terry Wilson pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 18 yds to the TENNESSEE 40 for a 1ST down TENNESSEE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the Tenn 22

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the Tenn 17

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.22

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Terry Wilson pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 5 yds to the Tenn 10

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Tenn 9

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Terry Wilson pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matt Ruffolo 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Tenn 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception-17 ydsPPA -1.41

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ramel Keyton for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 28 TENNESSEE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-14 Yards) to the Tenn 14

3rd & 21Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jacob Warren for 7 yds to the Tenn 21

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 33 yds, downed at the Kent 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 45

2nd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.04

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Tenn 28

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.82

Terry Wilson run for 23 yds to the Tenn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Asim Rose run for 1 yd to the Tenn 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Tenn 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the Tenn 37

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the Tenn 43

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.80

Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +0.90

Harrison Bailey pass complete to Malachi Wideman for 24 yds to the Kent 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Jabari Small run for 10 yds to the Kent 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Kent 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Malachi Wideman

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Jabari Small

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.61

Harrison Bailey pass incomplete to Malachi Wideman

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Kent 10

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Savion Williams) to the Kent 15

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Joey Gatewood run for 2 yds to the Kent 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.77

Joey Gatewood pass complete to Michael Drennen II for 6 yds to the Kent 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Travis Tisdale run for 5 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Travis Tisdale run for 5 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Travis Tisdale run for 6 yds to the Kent 39

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.43

Joey Gatewood run for 14 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

JuTahn McClain run for 7 yds to the Tenn 40

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

JuTahn McClain run for 5 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Joey Gatewood run for 7 yds to the Tenn 28

3rd & 3Penalty+5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tenn 23 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
29 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play