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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2020Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 12.6

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 81%

Market (consensus)

Tennessee -10

Edge: Tennessee -10 (2.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MissouriMissouri
066012
TennesseeTennessee
7147735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-014-314-621-628-628-1235-12
TennesseeMissouri

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENMISTENTD1475ydPUNT617ydMISS957ydPUNT3-4ydTD965ydFG1165ydPUNT421ydFG1051ydTD875ydPUNT30ydUncategorized00ydPUNT441ydTD1692ydTD1075ydPUNT3-16ydTO637ydTD847ydDOWNS1142ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Missouri and Tennessee
StatisticMissouriTennessee
Passing14-2514-23
Pass Yards218190
Rush Yards126232
Total Yards344422
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-156-13
Penalties6-493-20
Possession28:1031:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Missouri
passing
Connor Bazelak
13/21, 218 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Larry Rountree III
18 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Damon Hazelton
4 REC, 66 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Jarrett Guarantano
14/23, 190 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Eric Gray
16 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Josh Palmer
4 REC, 71 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Brandon Kennedy) to the Tenn 20

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 5 yds to the Tenn 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 9 yds to the Tenn 34

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the Tenn 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 5 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Misso 48

2nd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Trajan Jeffcoat for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.00

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 36 yds to the Misso 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Eric Gray run for 6 yds to the Misso 7

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 3 yds to the Misso 4

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.37

Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd to the Misso 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Larry Rountree III run for 8 yds to the Misso 33

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.74

Larry Rountree III run for 9 yds to the Misso 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Shawn Robinson pass complete to Jalen Knox for no gain to the Misso 42

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Shawn Robinson run for 1 yd to the Misso 43

3rd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 42

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Princeton Fant, broken up by Jr. Ennis Rakestraw

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.31

Eric Gray run for 10 yds to the Tenn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.60

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 33 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton, broken up by Adam Sparks

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Misso 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jalin Hyatt

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Ty Chandler for 3 yds to the Misso 22

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Brent Cimaglia 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.41

Shawn Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 18

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Shawn Robinson pass incomplete to Niko Hea

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 9 yds to the Tenn 44

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.44

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 44

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.68

Eric Gray run for 9 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Misso 39

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the Misso 38

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.78

Jarrett Guarantano run for 3 yds to the Misso 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Brandon Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Guarantano,J. pass incomplete to Gray,E., PENALTY MU personal foul 15 yards to the MU20, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Eric Gray run for 20 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Misso 27

2nd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.76

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 30 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding (Damon Hazelton) to the Misso 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jr. Daniel Parker for 5 yds to the Misso 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.27

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 14 yds to the Misso 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.95

Larry Rountree III run for 28 yds to the Tenn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Larry Rountree III run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.32

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 21 yds to the Tenn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Badie run for 3 yds to the Tenn 11

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Tenn 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jalen Knox

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Harrison Mevis 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jabari Small run for 15 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 44

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Tenn 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton, broken up by Ishmael Burdine

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Dominic Gicinto

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.27

Jalen Knox run for 13 yds to the Misso 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Uncategorized+28 yds

Michael Maietti fumbled, for a 1ST down Connor Bazelak pass complete to Keke Chism for 28 yds to the Tenn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Tenn 38

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Connor Bazelak run for 4 yds to the Tenn 28

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyler Badie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 30

3rd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.61

Connor Bazelak sacked by Deandre Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 33

4th & 11Field Goal Good+50 yds

Harrison Mevis 50 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 25

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Ty Chandler run for 13 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.93

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 18 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.58

Ty Chandler run for 21 yds to the Misso 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Misso 16

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the Misso 13

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Eric Gray for 13 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd to the Misso 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 4 yds to the Misso 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Misso 35

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

PENALTY UT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY MU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.24

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 35 yds to the Misso 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Damon Hazelton run for 3 yds to the Misso 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Jalen Knox

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant McKinniss punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Eric Gray at the Tenn 8

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 12 yds to the Tenn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the Tenn 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Josh Palmer, broken up by Joshuah Bledsoe

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Josh Palmer for 17 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jarrett Guarantano pass incomplete to Jalin Hyatt

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Ty Chandler run for 8 yds to the Tenn 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.53

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Brandon Johnson for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Misso 46

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.79

Jarrett Guarantano run for 6 yds to the Misso 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Misso 40

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Jarrett Guarantano run for 9 yds to the Misso 31

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.43

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Misso 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Eric Gray run for 4 yds to the Misso 24

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.59

Eric Gray run for 22 yds to the Misso 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jarrett Guarantano run for 2 yds for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.28

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jalen Knox for 19 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Larry Rountree III run for 6 yds to the Tenn 47

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Tenn 44

4th & 1Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +3.14

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Logan Christopherson for 37 yds to the Tenn 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Larry Rountree III run for 2 yds to the Tenn 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Bazelak run for 3 yds to the Tenn 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd to the Tenn 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Larry Rountree III run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the Tenn 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the Tenn 43

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, false start (Cade Mays) to the Tenn 38

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Guarantano,J. rush for no gain to the UT38 (Adam Sparks), PENALTY UT holding (Wright,D.) 10 yards to the UT28, NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.17

Jarrett Guarantano sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 10 yards to the Tenn 18

4th & 26Punt+6 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 52 yds , Kris Abrams-Draine returns for 6 yds to the Misso 36

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the Misso 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 17 yds to the Tenn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Tyler Badie for 9 yds to the Tenn 38

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Larry Rountree III run for 11 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+36 ydsPPA -4.26

Connor Bazelak pass intercepted Theo Jackson return for 36 yds to the Misso 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.91

Jarrett Guarantano pass complete to Velus Jones Jr. for 22 yds to the Misso 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Eric Gray run for 3 yds to the Misso 22

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Eric Gray run for 11 yds to the Misso 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Misso 10

2nd & 9Penalty+8 yds

Guarantano,J. pass incomplete to Palmer,J., PENALTY MU pass interference (Ennis Rakestraw) 8 yards to the MU2, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Eric Gray run for no gain to the Misso 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Eric Gray run for 1 yd to the Misso 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jarrett Guarantano run for no gain to the Misso 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Jarrett Guarantano run for 1 yd for a TD (Brent Cimaglia KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 21 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Larry Rountree III run for 3 yds to the Misso 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Connor Bazelak run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.78

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Damon Hazelton for 7 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tyler Badie run for 5 yds to the Tenn 36

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

N/A run for 3 yds to the Tenn 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.65

Tyler Badie run for 4 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Bazelak run for no gain to the Tenn 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Keke Chism

3rd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Larry Rountree III for 1 yd to the Tenn 28

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Bobby Lawrence) to the Tenn 33

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Damon Hazelton, broken up by Kenneth George Jr.

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Ty Chandler run for 7 yds to the Tenn 40

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 44

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 42

Situational Analysis

Missouri

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
33%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
31%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
75%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
4 plays