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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2020Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 25

Home Win Probability

Florida 93%

Market (consensus)

Florida -14.5

Edge: Florida -14.5 (10.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
773724
FloridaFlorida
141014038

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-714-1417-1424-1431-1438-1738-24
FloridaSouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOTD1275ydTD875ydPUNT31ydTD569ydPUNT512ydTO10ydTD948ydFG1354ydPUNT3-7ydTD552ydEND316ydPUNT38ydTO626ydTD437ydPUNT3-8ydTD358ydFG1147ydTO611ydTD1139ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1874ydEND30yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and Florida
StatisticSouth CarolinaFlorida
Passing28-4721-29
Pass Yards212268
Rush Yards11780
Total Yards329348
Turnovers12
3rd Down6-174-9
Penalties6-554-44
Possession36:2223:38

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Collin Hill
28/47, 212 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kevin Harris
22 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Shi Smith
12 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
Kyle Trask
21/29, 268 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Dameon Pierce
9 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kadarius Toney
6 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 12 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.54

Collin Hill pass complete to Xavier Legette for 22 yds to the Fla 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Collin Hill pass complete to Josh Vann for 5 yds to the Fla 36

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Kevin Harris run for 11 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the Fla 17

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.32

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the Fla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 7

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.31

Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds to the Fla 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 6 yds to the Fla 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 17 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keir Thomas) to the SCaro 36

1st & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA -0.24

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 20 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the SCaro 7

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.74

Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the SCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Dameon Pierce run for 2 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 1 yd to the SCaro 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Nick Muse

4th & 9Punt+16 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 16 yds to the Fla 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 7 yds to the Fla 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 20 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SCaro 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.05

Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 26 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 13 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the SCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Josh Vann

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith

4th & 10Punt+26 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds , Kadarius Toney returns for 26 yds to the Fla 46

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -2.82

Kyle Trask run for 2 yds to the Fla 48 Kyle Trask fumbled, forced by Tonka Hemingway, recovered by SCaro Ernest Jones

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.47

Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.52

Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Deshaun Fenwick run for 12 yds to the Fla 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 12

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the Fla 4

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 11 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -2.00

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 45

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Trevon Grimes

3rd & 14Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.51

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 16 yds to the SCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Kyle Trask sacked by Aaron Sterling and Jabari Ellis for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.97

Kyle Trask pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 23 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Davis run for 3 yds to the SCaro 16

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Malik Davis run for 5 yds to the SCaro 11

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.46

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 4 yds to the SCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Malik Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Evan McPherson 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Nick Muse

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Collin Hill sacked by Zachary Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kadarius Toney at the Fla 48

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.81

Kyle Trask run for 7 yds to the FLORIDA 45 for a 1ST down SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Kingsley Enagbare) to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dameon Pierce run for 5 yds to the SCaro 25

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Pierce, Dameon rush for 2 yards to the SOCAROLINA23, PENALTY FLORIDA holding (Heggie, Brett) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.62

Kyle Trask run for 19 yds to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.88

Kyle Trask pass complete to Jacob Copeland for 12 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kyle Pitts for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 9

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.71

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 10 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST down

0th & 4End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dameon Pierce run for 6 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 2 yds to the Fla 41

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Jacob Finn punt for 48 yds, downed at the SCaro 11

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the SCaro 20

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.05

Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 32

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 33

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.99

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 20 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Fenwick, Deshaun rush for 10 yards to the FLORIDA37, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Douglas, Eric) 10 yards to the SOCAROLINA43, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Dylan Wonnum) to the SCaro 38

1st & 25Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Collin Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 37 Collin Hill fumbled, recovered by Fla Ventrell Miller

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Kyle Trask pass complete to Malik Davis for 7 yds to the SCaro 30

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

Trask, Kyle pass incomplete to Henderson, Xzavier, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Dixon, John) 15 yards to the SOCAROLINA15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FLORIDA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Kyle Trask pass complete to Justin Shorter for 9 yds to the SCaro 6

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.26

Malik Davis run for 2 yds to the SCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Kyle Trask pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 4 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Kevin Harris

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27

3rd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.37

Collin Hill sacked by Zachary Carter and Khris Bogle for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 42

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.87

Kyle Trask sacked by Keir Thomas for a loss of 4 yards to the Fla 38

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kyle Trask pass complete to Nay'Quan Wright for 5 yds to the Fla 43

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+57 ydsPPA +6.39

Kyle Trask pass complete to Kadarius Toney for 57 yds for a TD, (Evan McPherson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 4 yds to the SCaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the SCaro 34

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Deshaun Fenwick

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.56

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 17 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 9 yds to the Fla 39

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 5 yds to the Fla 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 3 yds to the Fla 28

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.

4th & 2Field Goal Good+45 yds

Parker White 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kyle Pitts

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Dameon Pierce run for 9 yds to the Fla 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Kadarius Toney run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Jacob Copeland

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kyle Trask pass incomplete to Kadarius Toney

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Collin Hill pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+14 yds

Hill, Collin pass incomplete to Powers Jr., Rico, PENALTY FLORIDA pass interference (Elam, Kaiir) 14 yards to the FLORIDA25, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOCAROLINA.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the Fla 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the Fla 19

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 7 yds to the Fla 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 5 yds to the Fla 7

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Rico Powers Jr.

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Collin Hill pass complete to Nick Muse for 4 yds to the Fla 3

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.60

Collin Hill run for 1 yd to the Fla 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.53

Collin Hill sacked by Andrew Chatfield Jr. and Brenton Cox Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Fla 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 9 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dameon Pierce run for 4 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.02

Kadarius Toney run for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.23

Kyle Trask pass complete to Trevon Grimes for 9 yds to the Fla 32

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Fla 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jacob Finn punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Jaycee Horn at the SCaro 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Collin Hill pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 5 yds to the SCaro 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Keveon Mullins

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Collin Hill pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 8 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the SCaro 40

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.94

Collin Hill sacked by James Houston IV for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Collin Hill pass complete to Keveon Mullins for 9 yds to the SCaro 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.80

Collin Hill pass complete to Shi Smith for 8 yds to the SCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Collin Hill run for 12 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Collin Hill pass complete to Rico Powers Jr. for 14 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Collin Hill run for 5 yds to the Fla 20

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Fla 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Fla 16

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.62

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Collin Hill pass complete to Kevin Harris for 10 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Collin Hill pass incomplete to Shi Smith

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.31

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 3

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.10

TEAM run for no gain to the Fla 3

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.03

Kyle Trask run for 1 yd to the Fla 4

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
57%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
25%
12 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
48%
23 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th