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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2020Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 16

Home Win Probability

Alabama 83%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -18

Edge: Texas A&M +18 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas A&MTexas A&M
773724
AlabamaAlabama
142171052

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425614-014-714-1428-1435-1742-1745-1752-24
AlabamaTexas A&M

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TAALATAALATAALATAALATAALATATAALATAALATAALATAALATAALATAALAMISS1155ydTD380ydPUNT45ydTD766ydTD575ydTO543ydTD117ydPUNT38ydPUNT37ydTD766ydTD610ydDOWNS940ydTD864ydEND1-1ydPUNT32ydFG1240ydTD375ydDOWNS1252ydFG1068ydTD775ydTD475ydTO860ydUncategorized20yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas A&M and Alabama
StatisticTexas A&MAlabama
Passing26-4720-27
Pass Yards335435
Rush Yards115104
Total Yards450539
Turnovers21
3rd Down10-175-9
Penalties7-586-40
Possession37:4122:03

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas A&M
passing
Kellen Mond
25/44, 318 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Haynes King
5 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Ainias Smith
6 REC, 123 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Alabama
passing
Mac Jones
20/27, 435 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brian Robinson Jr.
10 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
John Metchie
5 REC, 181 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 14 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kam Brown for 9 yds to the TexAM 48

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.11

Isaiah Spiller run for 5 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Isaiah Spiller run for 6 yds to the Alab 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 6 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase Lane

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Ainias Smith run for 14 yds to the Alab 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 1 yd to the Alab 20

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase Lane

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Preston

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Seth Small 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the Alab 26

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Najee Harris run for 1 yd to the Alab 22

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+78 ydsPPA +7.12

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 78 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Preston for 13 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Demond Demas

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ainias Smith run for 2 yds to the TexAM 40

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 35

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase Lane

4th & 13Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 30

4th & 18Punt+11 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds , Jaylen Waddle returns for 11 yds to the Alab 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Najee Harris run for no gain to the Alab 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 1 yd to the Alab 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.99

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 35 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the TexAM 25

1st & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA -0.44

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 12 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 4 yds to the TexAM 9

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaylen Waddle run for 3 yds to the TexAM 6

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.66

Najee Harris run for 6 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kellen Mond run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 32

3rd & 3Penalty+10 yds

Mond, Kellen pass incomplete to Wydermyer, Jalen, PENALTY ALABAMA holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kellen Mond run for 6 yds to the TexAM 48

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Ainias Smith run for 5 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +3.61

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 47 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 20 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.41

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 23 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brian Robinson Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 32

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return+43 ydsPPA -2.69

Mac Jones pass intercepted DeMarvin Leal return for 43 yds to the Alab 17

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ryan Renick for 17 yds for a TD, (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 33

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Jaylen Waddle

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 27

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Isaiah Spiller run for 4 yds to the TexAM 31

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Spiller run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Waddle at the Alab 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.57

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 17 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.97

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 20 yds to the TexAM 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Najee Harris run for 6 yds to the TexAM 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Najee Harris run for 3 yds to the TexAM 20

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.16

Mac Jones run for 2 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 16 yds to the TexAM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Najee Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kellen Mond run for 3 yds to the TexAM 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 10 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Mond, Kellen pass complete to Lane, Chase for 3 yards to the TEXASAM41, PENALTY TEXASAM holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM28, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 7 yds to the TexAM 35

3rd & 13Interception Return Touchdown+47 ydsPPA -7.00

Kellen Mond pass intercepted for a TD Daniel Wright return for 47 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Isaiah Spiller run for 7 yds to the TexAM 32

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Isaiah Spiller run for no gain to the TexAM 32

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.91

Ainias Smith run for 10 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Preston

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.36

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 15 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Kellen Mond pass complete to Kam Brown for 9 yds to the Alab 34

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.34

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 36

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Isaiah Spiller run for 1 yd to the Alab 35

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.39

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Mac Jones pass complete to Najee Harris for 10 yds to the Alab 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Mac Jones pass complete to Miller Forristall for 11 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Mac Jones pass incomplete to DeVonta Smith

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 11 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Najee Harris run for 4 yds to the TexAM 28

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 4 yds to the TexAM 24

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.43

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the TexAM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+13 yds

Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Smith, DeVonta, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 13 yards to the TEXASAM2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mac Jones pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Najee Harris run for 2 yds to the Alab 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Mac Jones pass incomplete to John Metchie III

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Sam Johnson punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 47

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Kellen Mond run for 8 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Isaiah Spiller run for 2 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 3 yds to the Alab 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Chase Lane

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 15 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.95

Kellen Mond run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 27

3rd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 15 yds to the Alab 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kellen Mond run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 13

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Kellen Mond pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Wydermyer

4th & 11Field Goal Good+29 yds

Seth Small 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception-7 ydsPPA -1.32

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 3 yds to the Alab 28 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 18

1st & 17Penalty-5 yds

Jones, Mac pass complete to Smith, DeVonta for 10 yards to the ALABAMA28, PENALTY ALABAMA illegal shift 5 yards to the ALABAMA13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Najee Harris run for 5 yds to the Alab 18

2nd & 17Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 13

2nd & 22Passing Touchdown+87 ydsPPA +7.33

Mac Jones pass complete to Jaylen Waddle for 87 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 10 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 18 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds to the Alab 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Kellen Mond pass complete to Caleb Chapman for 6 yds to the Alab 38

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.59

Kellen Mond run for 1 yd to the Alab 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.56

Isaiah Spiller run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 41

2nd & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 2 yds to the Alab 39

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Jalen Wydermyer) to the Alab 44

3rd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.46

Kellen Mond pass complete to Chase Lane for 18 yds to the Alab 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 5 yds to the Alab 21

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.99

Ainias Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 23

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.87

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Jalen Preston

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.50

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 12 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.34

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 16 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 42

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

Jones, Mac pass incomplete to Metchie III, John, PENALTY TEXASAM pass interference 15 yards to the TEXASAM27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Mac Jones pass complete to DeVonta Smith for 9 yds to the TexAM 18

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.44

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexAM 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 5 yds to the TexAM 6

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Brian Robinson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mac Jones pass incomplete to Brian Robinson Jr.

4th & 7Field Goal Good+27 yds

Will Reichard 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.21

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 43 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kellen Mond run for no gain to the Alab 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 4 yds to the Alab 28

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Kellen Mond pass complete to Jalen Wydermyer for 14 yds to the Alab 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ryan Renick

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kellen Mond pass incomplete to Ryan Renick

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Kellen Mond pass complete to Ainias Smith for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Small KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Mac Jones sacked by Micheal Clemons for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 21

2nd & 14Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.85

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 14 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brian Robinson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Alab 37

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.87

Mac Jones pass complete to John Metchie III for 63 yds for a TD (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Haynes King pass complete to Chase Lane for 17 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Haynes King run for 8 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Haynes King pass incomplete to Chase Lane

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.31

Haynes King run for 7 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Haynes King run for 3 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Haynes King run for 3 yds to the Alab 32

3rd & 4Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.11

Haynes King run for 22 yds to the Alab 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.49

Haynes King pass intercepted, touchback. Malachi Moore return for no gain

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Trey Sanders run for 9 yds to the Alab 29

2nd & 1Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.93

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 20

Situational Analysis

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
34 plays
2nd
0%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
27%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
52%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th